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It was a tough week in general for college football with quite a few game cancelled due to coronavirus concerns. Out of my Top 10 picks for Scores & Stats, six of the games never got out of the starting gate. Of the four that did take place, I split those games against the closing spread with a 2-2 mark.
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Digging deeper into this Saturday’s scheduled games, I came up with my 10 “best bet” picks for Week 12.
(#4) Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles Pick: Clemson -34½
The Tigers return to action following the loss to Notre Dame on Nov. 7. They have had plenty of time to reflect on that loss as well as figure out how to move forward. This starts with a lopsided rout of their bitter ACC rivals.
(#6) Florida Gators at Vanderbilt Commodores Pick: Florida -31
Florida has become a pivotal player in the SEC as the top team in the East. The Gators realize they can not slip in games they are supposed to win big. They have already covered three of four double-digit spreads this season.
Houston Cougars at SMU Mustangs Pick: SMU -3½
Houston is 3-3 this season (SU and ATS) and only getting 3½ points on the road against the 7- 2 Mustangs. SMU has won eight of its last nine home games SU and it is 10-4 SU in its last 14 conference games.
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(#9) Indiana Hoosiers at (#3) Ohio State Buckeyes Pick: OVER 63½
Indiana has a chance to justify its lofty ranking against the best the Big Ten has to offer. While the Hoosiers will not be able to pull off the upset, they will be able to score enough points to help the total go OVER.
Michigan State Spartans at Maryland Terrapins Pick: Maryland -6
Big Ten teams from the state of Michigan are struggling this year. The Spartans are 1-3 both SU and ATS. Maryland has been one of the better teams in the conference at 2-1 (SU and ATS). The Terrapins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.
UCLA Bruins at (#11) Oregon Ducks Pick: Oregon -14½
UCLA brings a SU six-game road losing streak against Oregon into this Pac-12 matchup. The Bruins are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings overall. Oregon needs a big win to garner some attention in the national polls.
(#7) Cincinnati Bearcats at UFC Knights Pick: OVER 63½
I have been touting the Bearcats all season long at 7-0 SU with a 5-2 record ATS. UFC has won five of seven games SU but it has only covered the closing number twice. This should be a great AAC showdown with more than enough scoring to go OVER.
(#10) Wisconsin Badgers at (#19) Northwestern Wildcats Pick: Northwestern +7½
The Badgers have positioned themselves as a top Big Ten team. However, the Wildcats are also moving up the ranks at 4-0 SU (3-0-1 ATS). They have covered the closing spread in eight of their last nine home games against Wisconsin.
(#22) Texas Longhorns at Kansas Jayhawks Pick: OVER 58
Neither of these teams have been solid plays against the closing spread. Yet, the total has gone OVER in five of the Longhorns’ seven games. It has also gone OVER in the Jayhawks’ last five outings.
Kentucky Wildcats at (#1) Alabama Crimson Tide Pick: UNDER 57½
At 3-4 (SU and ATS) Kentucky is capable of keeping things closer than the 31-point spread. The defense has played well enough to keep the total UNDER in four of its last five games. Look for some rust in Alabama’s offense with the extended three-week layoff.
