2024-25 NFL Most Receiving Yards Odds and Predictions

By:

Kody Miller

in

Last Updated on

The NFL has turned into a passing league and everyone loves to bet on sports that accumulate a ton of stats and points. Naturally, the 2024-25 NFL most receiving yards odds are live at the top sportsbooks, which means it’s time to place some bets.

Who you bet on is open for debate, of course. Tyreek Hill won the receiving yardage crown with 1,799 yards last year, and he somehow did it in just 16 games.

Is Hill a lock to win it again? He is certainly priced like it, as NFL odds are up for this betting market, and he’s the choice to crush the competition.

If you want to bet on who will have the most receiving yards in the NFL in 2024, join me for this breakdown of the latest pricing en route to my prediction.

2024-25 NFL Most Receiving Yards Odds

Most Receiving Yards OddsMost Receiving Yards Odds
Tyreek Hill +600CeeDee Lamb +800
Ja’Marr Chase +850A.J. Brown +1000
Amon-Ra St. Brown +1000Justin Jefferson +1000
Puka Nacua +2000Garrett Wilson +2000
Drake London +2000Chris Olave +2000
DJ Moore +2000DeVonta Smith +2000
Davante Adams +2200Michael Pittman Jr. +2200
Nico Collins +2200Mike Evans +2200
Brandon Aiyuk +2200Stefon Diggs +2200
Cooper Kupp +2200Jaylen Waddle +2500

The top sports betting sites are offering this fun wager, and the odds ensure you’ll get solid value no matter who you bet on.

Hill won the receiving crown a year ago, but he failed to do so the previous year. He’s as good a bet as anyone, but I’d look at the latest odds for this bet and see if some alternatives catch your eye.

Above are the top 20 receivers that could pace the NFL in yardage, based on odds. You can find these exact odds at BetOnline, but a number of viable online sportsbooks should offer this betting market and similar pricing.

Tyreek Hill has been an absolute monster throughout his entire career, so it shouldn’t shock anybody that he is the favorite to win this bet.

Hill had the most yards in the league last year, and he’s been in the top 10 in every year since 2019. Basically, if the guy is healthy, he’s going to ball out.

You’re getting good value with him, and anytime a favorite gets the ball rolling at +600, you know you’re in a good spot, no matter who you back.

Lamb was #2 in receiving yards in 2023 and has officially established himself as one of the NFL’s top wide receivers. The same can be said for Chase, Brown, St. Brown, and Jefferson, who round out the top six options in terms of price.

So, which receiving threat will lead the NFL in yardage this year? Let’s first explore why Tyreek Hill remains a solid bet before seeing which contenders and sleepers stand out the most.

Why is Tyreek Hill Favored to Lead the NFL in Receiving Again?

Regarded as the NFL’s fastest man, Cheetah can take any touch to the house. He’s a yearly contender to lead the NFL in receiving yardage, and nothing about his talent or role with the Miami Dolphins suggests that will change in 2024.

In fact, we know that Hill has records on the brain. He was loud and clear about seeking out a 2,000-yard receiving yardage season going into last year, specifically.

That didn’t come to fruition in 2023, but Hill came pretty close. He got the year started off with a bang with 215 yards in week one of last season, after all.

He fizzled out down the stretch (no games over 100+ receiving yards over his final four games), but that was largely due to injury.

A healthy Hill is absolutely in play to get the job done, even if he may be taking a step back from what could be seen as “selfish” personal goals.

ok

While Hill may not be a lock for 2,000 receiving yards, the fact that he led the league in receiving in one less game than the guy in second place tells you everything you need to know.

Top 2024-25 NFL Receiving Yardage Leader Contenders

While Tyreek Hill claimed the receiving yardage crown a year ago and is the favorite for 2024, he’s still no lock to repeat.

Doing so isn’t easy, especially when 1-2 missed games can derail you completely. There are also numerous elite receivers who are ready to take the top spot (or reclaim it).

That brings me to three of my favorite non-Hill bets up top.

CeeDee Lamb +800

Lamb has to be regarded as one of the top contenders to record the most receiving yards in the NFL this year. He did need an extra game to even come close to Hill in 2023, but he still finished second in all of football with 1,749 yards.

There’s certainly his contract situation to consider, but logic should prevail here. As in, I’d expect Lamb to get paid before the 2024 NFL season starts, and his offense’s need for him to dominate should again put him in play for this wager.

The Dallas Cowboys fed him 181 targets a year ago, and that was with some semblance of a rushing attack in place via Tony Pollard. The Cowboys let him walk, and now they’re hanging their hat on Ezekiel Elliott again? Yuck.

Look for the ‘Boys to toss the rock a ton, and Lamb to benefit from it greatly. That makes him a legit contender and with an extra +200 over Hill at most online sportsbooks.

Ja’Marr Chase +850

Another guy we can’t rule out for this wager is Chase. The guy lost Joe Burrow to a wrist injury in week 11 last year, and still was able to finish 12th in the league in receiving yards.

This was also despite Chase missing a game of his own last year, too.

On paper, the Bengals should be looking to throw the ball quite a bit in 2024. Chase caught 100 balls on 145 targets in 2023, and that was with Jake Browning throwing him passes for a good portion of the year.

Assuming Joe Burrow is at full strength, Chase’s elite athleticism and explosiveness should be on full display, and he should be in this competition until the very end. 

Not convinced? Just look at Chase’s yards per game splits with and without Burrow in 2023.

Receiving Yards with Burrow (Weeks 1-11)Without Burrow (Week 12-18)
83.363.8

Seems different, no?

It’s worth noting that Chase was a bit banged up down the stretch, but it’s easy to see that he was a more consistently explosive receiver with Burrow under center.

Injuries can ruin things for anyone, and that includes Chase. But if his star quarterback is back and playing like normal, the Cincinnati Bengals speedster is 100% in play for this bet.

Justin Jefferson +1000

One more legit contender for this betting market that I am very high on is Jettas. That isn’t to say you can’t bet on St. Brown, Brown, or anyone else with a favorable price tag.

I just don’t love their arguments over Minnesota Vikings stud receiver Justin Jefferson, particularly at this ridiculous price tag.

First off, let’s look at Jefferson’s 2023 campaign. He missed six games due to injury AND lost Kirk Cousins to a torn Achilles in week eight. Despite this, he still found a way to finish with the 19th most receiving yards in pro football.

Absolutely disgusting, right?

Not only that, but Jefferson was still very productive sans Cousins. His numbers naturally dipped without him, but when Jettas was on the field following Captain Kirk’s demise, he averaged 100.6 yards per game.

If he stayed right there for a full 17-game season he’d have had a shot at the top spot last year. Had he never gotten hurt and maintained his pace through the first five weeks in 2023 (114.2), he would have had over 1,900 yards.

Obviously Cousins is now permanently gone, but Jefferson was putting up big numbers even with Joshua Dobbs and Nick Mullens under center. It does remain to be seen what the likes of Sam Darnold or J.J. McCarthy will mean for his stats, but I’d be willing to bet on Jettas producing.

All things considered, Justin Jefferson is a smash value bet for this market and is certainly one of the top contenders, at the very least.

Best 2024-25 NFL Receiving Yardage Leader Value Bet

The receivers I just analyzed are my top threats to pace the NFL in receiving yardage in 2024. I think Tyreek Hill is a viable favorite, but if you don’t like him there are three more awesome bets with just as much logic supporting them.

If you want extra betting value for this NFL market, however, I suggest taking a long, hard look at Garrett Wilson.

The NFL is crazy, so you can absolutely look at other value bets. However, Wilson is the most appealing bet beyond the top contenders.

Why is that? How about because he’s athletically on par with any other top wide receiver in the league, and has found a way to produce despite never having a competent quarterback throwing him passes.

The New York Jets phenom has had to deal with a musical chairs situation under center so far in his career. Despite that, his explosiveness and well-rounded skill-set allowed him to post the 22nd most receiving yards in 2023.

Wilson ranked 15th in that regard the year prior, too.

There is still risk involved with Wilsonl, as we’re depending on a now 40-year old Aaron Rodgers to 1. Stay healthy 2. Fully recover from a torn Achilles and 3. Play well.

None of that is guaranteed, but we do know how good Wilson is, and we also know these two have an obvious connection.

Just as important, we also know how much Rodgers can feed his top dog. Just look at Davante Adams when Rodgers was with him up in Wisconsin.

During their time together, Adams finished 3rd, 5th, and 7th in three of his last four years with the Green Bay Packers.

Wilson is far more explosive than Adams, so if he and Rodgers can stay healthy, the sky’s the limit for the former Ohio State product.

Who Will Have the Most NFL Receiving Yards in 2024-25?

There are probably 10 viable bets for this market that I’d feel reasonably good about. There are only a small handful that offer supreme value, though, so I would refrain from outlandish long shots.

The top contenders I’ve detailed are largely where I’d concentrate most of my funds, with the onus coming on the options with slightly better prices, such as Wilson and Jefferson.

Of the lot, though, Jettas stands out as the best bet.

From a talent and role perspective, he’s as good as anyone. From a production standpoint, we know he can match or exceed anyone else’s numbers, and he’s proven he can do it with subpar or even bad quarterback play.

Jefferson also won the receiving yardage crown in 2022. When you look at everything, he is an insane value for this betting market at his +1000 odds.

Bet: Justin Jefferson +1000

Will the Single-Season NFL Receiving Yardage Record Be Broken in 2024?

  • Yes +400
  • No -825

Before we go, let’s consider whether or not the single-season receiving yardage record can be broken in 2024.

For starters, it absolutely can happen. Calvin Johnson broke the record back in 2012 with 1,964, and Cooper Kupp came dangerously close to topping it (1,947) in 2021.

In all fairness, you basically need 2,000 yards to get it done. However, wide receivers now get an extra game to work with. Since the NFL moved to the 17-game schedule, someone has topped 1,799 yards in receiving every single year.

When you have huge names like Tyreek Hill, CeeDee Lamb, Ja’Marr Chase, and even the still active Cooper Kupp, no record like this is safe.

Ultimately, I see no reason not to give this wager a shot. There is nothing to be gained by betting on it not happening, and the production through the air over the past three seasons suggests this record is a ticking time bomb.

Seriously, of the top 10 single-season receiving yardage years we have, four are already from players in the 17-game era.

Jettas would be my pick to nab it, but luckily this is a mild hedge. Justin Jefferson doesn’t need to be the guy to break the receiving yardage record. You just need one guy to have an insane year and you win.

Bet: Yes (+400)

Top 10 Receiving Yardage Seasons of All-Time

YardsWide ReceiverYear
1,964Calvin Johnson2012
1,947Cooper Kupp2021
1,871Julio Jones2015
1,848Jerry Rice1995
1,834Antonio Brown2015
1,809Justin Jefferson2022
1,799Tyreek Hill2023
1,781Isaac Bruce1995
1,749CeeDee Lamb2023
1,746Charley Hennigan1961