Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Predictions July 30th 2024

James Paxton Returns to Red Sox, Faces Mariners at Fenway

James Paxton is back with the Boston Red Sox, and his first challenge is against his former team, the Seattle Mariners. This game, set to take place at Fenway Park, is crucial for both teams as they adjust to roster changes and aim to improve their standings in the AL.

Game Details

• Teams: Mariners at Red Sox
• Where: Fenway Park, Boston
• Date: Tuesday, July 30th
• Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Broadcast: NESN
• Betting Odds: SEA -119 | BOS +101 O/U 9.5

James Paxton’s Return to the Red Sox

James Paxton, known for his solid pitching, has rejoined the Red Sox after a stint with the Dodgers. With an 8-2 record and a 4.43 ERA this season, Paxton is eager to make a strong impression against the Mariners, a team he knows well. His return to Boston feels like a homecoming, and he expressed excitement about rejoining the team.

Mariners’ Strategy with Luis Castillo

Luis Castillo takes the mound for the Mariners, bringing a record of 8-10 and an ERA of 3.38 into the game. Castillo has been a reliable pitcher, with 14 quality starts this season. His challenge will be containing a Red Sox offense that has been hot lately, especially after their recent 14-7 win over the Mariners, where they showcased a season-high in extra-base hits.

Key Mariners Players:

• Cal Raleigh: Leading the team with 67 RBIs and 23 home runs.
• Julio Rodriguez: Batting .263 with 11 homers and 37 RBIs.
• Randy Arozarena: 16 home runs this season, though batting just .219.

Seattle’s offense has struggled overall, averaging 3.9 runs per game, the lowest in the league. However, they have shown signs of improvement, particularly with Jorge Polanco’s recent performance.

Red Sox Offensive Power

The Red Sox are among the league’s top offensive teams, with a .259 batting average and one of the highest on-base and slugging percentages. Their recent performances have been bolstered by players like Masataka Yoshida and Rafael Devers, who are both hitting well. Devers, in particular, is on a six-game hitting streak and is a key player for the Red Sox.

Key Red Sox Players:

• Jarren Duran: Hitting .316 over the last eight games.
• Tyler O’Neill: 10/30 in his last seven games.
• Rafael Devers: 23 home runs and 64 RBIs this season.

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The Lean

For those betting on the game, the Red Sox are slightly favored. The prediction leans towards a lower-scoring game, with the expectation that the total runs will be under 9.5. Paxton’s strong strikeout potential and the Red Sox’s solid home record make them a promising pick for this matchup.

Conclusion

James Paxton’s return adds a layer of excitement to this game, especially as he faces the Mariners at Fenway Park. Both teams are integrating new players and adjusting strategies, making this series a crucial point in their season. The outcomes will be essential in determining their playoff prospects and overall momentum moving forward.