At 6:40 PM ET, the Phillies and Yankees will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and has the Phillies favored on the money line (-123). The Yankees are +104 and will be looking to extend their three-game winning streak.
The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup features Gerrit Cole for the Yankees and Aaron Nola for the Phillies. Cole is 63-45 and 2nd in the AL East, while the Phillies are 65-41 and have lost two straight.
New York vs. Philadelphia Key Information
- Teams: Yankees at Phillies
- Where: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia
- Date: Tuesday, July 30th
- Betting Odds PHI -123 | NYY +104 O/U 9
The Yankees Can Win If…
New York is sending right-hander Gerrit Cole to the mound today as he faces the Phillies on the road. Cole has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 5.40. Looking at his overall numbers, Cole has a WHIP of 1.46 and opponents are batting .271 off him this year. In his last outing, Cole took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Cole has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.
Not only are the Yankees the top-scoring team in the league at 5.1 runs per game, but they have also been the best home run hitting team in the league this season. As a team, they are batting .251, which is 9th in the league, and they are also the league’s top on-base percentage team. New York has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.6 runs per contest.
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Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, hitting .400 over his last 10 games, a stretch in which he has five homers and 14 RBIs. For the season, Judge is batting .315 with a league-leading 39 homers and 99 RBIs. Juan Soto has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 18/42 in his last 10 games with four home runs. Soto is batting .310 for the season, with 27 homers and 77 RBIs.
- The Yankees are 5-5 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Yankees are 3-2 vs. the run line.
- New York has an over/under record of 8-2 in their last ten games.
- The Yankees have an average of 8.6 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten road games, the Yankees are 6-4
- Looking back across the Yankees last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
- New York has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Yankees have averaged 6.4 runs per game on offense
The Phillies Can Win If…
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Yankees at home. Nola has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 11-4 with a 3.44 ERA. He most recently faced the Twins, where he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that outing, Nola had picked up the win in two straight starts. He has one complete game shutout this year and 15 quality starts. Nola’s ERA at home is 3.84 compared to 4.35 on the road.
As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are 4th in batting average and have the league’s 5th best home run total. Philadelphia also does a good job of avoiding strikeouts and are 4th in team walks.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been the Phillies’ top power hitters this season, with Harper’s 24 homers leading the team and Schwarber right behind him with 22. Alec Bohm has also been a key run producer for the Phillies, as his 71 RBIs are the best on the team and 8th in the league. Schwarber has been especially hot of late, going 7/20 with three homers in his last six games.
- The Phillies are 3-7 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Phillies are 1-4 vs. the run line.
- Philadelphia has an over/under record of 4-6 in their last ten games.
- The Phillies have an average of 4.0 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten home games, the Phillies are 3-7
- Looking back across the Phillies last five games as the favorite, they are 1-4
- Philadelphia has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Phillies have averaged 3.4 runs per game on offense
The Lean
For a money-line pick, our lean would be to take the Phillies to come out on top at home. And despite our projections pointing to this being the 3rd lowest-scoring game of the day, we are leaning towards taking the over. Between the two starters, we have Aaron Nola finishing with more strikeouts than Gerrit Cole for the Yankees.
Yankees Attempt to Build on 6-Homer Outburst vs. Phillies
The New York Yankees, with their offense terminating on all chambers, plan to get their fourth continuous triumph as they face the Philadelphia Phillies again on Tuesday.
Yankees’ Hostile Exhibit
The Yankees conveyed a great presentation of force, sending off six grand slams in a 14-4 defeat of the Phillies on Monday, opening the three-game series with a bang. Aaron Judge and Jazz Chisholm Jr. each hit two homeruns and drove in three runs. This noticeable Appointed authority’s third multi-homer round of the time and the 37th of his profession.
Ben Rice added a performance homer and a solitary, while Anthony Volpe contributed a two-run homer and a solitary. Austin Wells hit a two-run triple, and Juan Soto multiplied two times, singled, and drove in three runs.
“We were able to jump on a couple of balls over the plate and give ourselves an early lead,” Judge said in a postgame interview on YES. “We got back in the groove. Big night all around.”
Gerrit Cole Takes the Mound
On Tuesday, the Yankees will turn to Gerrit Cole (3-2, 5.40 ERA), who is looking to rebound from a shaky performance. Last Wednesday, Cole allowed eight hits and six runs in 5 2/3 innings against the New York Mets. His command was off, leading to a disappointing outing.
“I’m frustrated — frustrated sitting in the emotions of this loss,” Cole admitted. “But our job is to flush it and not let the play of the last six weeks affect the way we prepare for the next game.”
Cole is aware of the need for consistency in his performances. “I wouldn’t say a lot of the pitches were in the heart of the plate, to be honest,” he said. “Certainly, I’m not without fault.” Cole has a solid track record against the Phillies, boasting a 6-3 record with a 2.90 ERA in nine career starts.
Phillies’ Recent Struggles
Despite their recent struggles, the Phillies still hold the best record in the majors at 65-41. However, they are at risk of losing their fifth consecutive series. Brandon Marsh homered, singled, and drove in two runs for Philadelphia on Monday. Bryson Stott added two hits, and Kyle Schwarber walked three times, but the Phillies were 2-for-8 with runners in scoring position and left seven men on base.
Manager Rob Thomson remains optimistic despite the challenges. “I … continue to support them and remind them who they are,” Thomson said. “We’re a really talented club going through a tough time. I truly believe we’ll come out of it.”
Schwarber echoed this sentiment, saying, “It sucks. I feel bad about it. We’re grinding to put it all together.”
Philadelphia’s Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola (11-4, 3.44 ERA) is scheduled to begin for the Phillies on Tuesday. Nola has been a consistent presence on the hill, with 15 quality beginnings this season, tying him for the significant league lead with partner Zack Wheeler. In his latest excursion against the Minnesota Twins last Wednesday, Nola permitted six hits and three strolls however just a single run in six innings before the warm up area wasted a 4-1 lead, bringing about a 5-4 loss.
Nola holds a 1-2 record with a 2.88 ERA in four profession begins against the Yankees.
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Recently Obtained Reliever Carlos Estevez
Philadelphia’s new help pitcher, Carlos Estevez, obtained from the Los Angeles Holy messengers for a couple of possibilities on Saturday, was accessible yet didn’t see activity on Monday. Thomson showed that Estevez would probably be utilized in high-leverage circumstances, including the greater part of 10th innings.
“He will get the majority of ninth innings,” Thomson affirmed.
With the Yankees riding high on their offensive surge and the Phillies eager to regain their footing, Tuesday’s game promises to be a compelling matchup.