Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Picks and Predictions July 31st 2024

Jazz Chisholm Jr. keeps powering up Yankees vs. Phillies

At 12:35 PM ET, the Yankees and Phillies will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is taking place at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Yankees have won four straight, while the Phillies are on a three-game losing streak.

The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and the Phillies are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -133. The money line odds for a Yankees win are at +113. Today’s starting pitching matchup is Nestor Cortes for the Yankees and Cristopher Sanchez for the Phillies. New York is 64-45, while the Phillies are leading the NL East with a record of 65-42.

New York vs. Philadelphia Key Information

• Teams: Yankees at Phillies
• Where: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia
• Date: Wednesday, July 31st
• Betting Odds PHI -133 | NYY +113 O/U 9.5

The Yankees Can Win If…

New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 4-9 with an ERA of 4.13. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his 22 appearances, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Cortes most recently pitched on July 26th vs. the Red Sox, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had lost three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the best offensive team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They are also the league’s top home run hitting team and have the best team on-base percentage in the league. So far, they have been a much better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per game compared to 4.6 at home.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the best hitters in the league this season, with Judge leading the league with 99 RBIs and 39 homers, while also batting .319. Soto is batting .309 with 27 homers and 77 RBIs. Both players have been swinging a hot bat of late, with Judge going 11/20 in his last five games and Soto hitting .400 with four homers in his last three games.

• The Yankees are 5-5 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Yankees are 4-1 vs. the run line.
• New York has an over/under record of 9-1 in their last ten games.
• The Yankees have an average of 9.4 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Yankees are 7-3
• Looking back across the Yankees last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
• New York has gone 3-0 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Yankees have averaged 6.8 runs per game on offense

The Phillies Can Win If…

Through 20 starts, Cristopher Sánchez has a record of 7-6 and an ERA of 3.05. This season, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts. In his most recent outing, Sánchez took the loss, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on two homers. Looking back, he has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. Sánchez has been much better at home, coming in with a 6-2 record and 1.89 ERA compared to 1-4 with a 5.65 ERA on the road.

Philadelphia’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. The Phillies are also among the league leaders in home runs and have the 5th best team batting average in the league.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the Phillies’ top power threats this season, with Harper’s 24 homers leading the team and Schwarber’s 22 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Schwarber has been especially hot of late, going 7/19 in his last six games with three homers.

• The Phillies are 3-7 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Phillies are 1-4 vs. the run line.
• Philadelphia has an over/under record of 4-6 in their last ten games.
• The Phillies have an average of 4.4 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Phillies are 3-7
• Looking back across the Phillies last five games as the favorite, they are 1-4
• Philadelphia has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Phillies have averaged 3.4 runs per game on offense

The Lean

For a money-line pick, we are leaning towards the Phillies to come out on top at home vs. the Yankees. And despite our projections pointing to this being the 5th highest-scoring game of the day, we are actually leaning towards taking the under. Looking at the starters for this matchup, we like Cristopher Sánchez’s chances to pick up a win, as he has the 3rd best odds among today’s starters.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is redefining change-of-scenery success. Recently acquired from the Miami Marlins, Chisholm has made an immediate impact with the New York Yankees. His extraordinary performance includes homering twice in consecutive games and hitting in all three games since joining the team. Setting a new franchise record, Chisholm is the first Yankees player to hit four home runs in his first three games.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s Historic Start

Chisholm’s explosive debut has energized the Yankees. In their recent 7-6 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies in 12 innings, Chisholm’s contributions were pivotal. As the Yankees aim for a three-game sweep, Chisholm’s enthusiasm is palpable.

“Everybody’s been telling me to go out there, have fun and enjoy myself,” Chisholm shared in a postgame interview on YES Network. “The fans are amazing, the team is amazing. What else can you ask for?”

Yankees’ Winning Streak

The Yankees’ winning streak, highlighted by Chisholm’s performance, has been thrilling for fans. Aaron Judge added three hits and two walks, while Anthony Volpe contributed two hits. The team’s chemistry and determination are evident on the field.

Pitching Outlook

On Wednesday, the Yankees will start left-hander Nestor Cortes (4-9, 4.13 ERA). Cortes’s recent outing against the Boston Red Sox saw him allowing nine hits and four runs in 4 2/3 innings. Despite his struggles on the road (0-5 with a 6.18 ERA), Cortes remains optimistic.

“It’s a tough stretch, a tough month, a tough two months, I don’t know what you want to call it. We do need to turn it around,” Cortes said.

Phillies’ Struggles

Despite a strong effort from players like Austin Hays, who homered and knocked in four runs, the Phillies have lost three straight games. Alec Bohm’s RBI double and J.T. Realmuto’s three hits were not enough to secure a win. The Phillies went 5-for-18 with runners in scoring position, leaving 13 men on base. Bryce Harper’s performance also dipped, going 0-for-5 and lowering his average to .278.

Philadelphia’s pitching woes continued, with seven pitchers combining to walk six batters. Phillies manager Rob Thomson emphasized the need for command and trust in their stuff.

“Guys have to throw strikes coming in out of the pen,” Thomson said. “And they have to trust their stuff.”

Future Outlook

Cristopher Sanchez (7-6, 3.05 ERA) is set to start for the Phillies on Wednesday. His last outing against the Cleveland Guardians resulted in a loss, giving up eight hits and three runs in six innings. Sanchez’s brief history with the Yankees includes a single relief appearance in July 2021, where he allowed two runs on three hits.

The Phillies recently acquired Carlos Estevez from the Los Angeles Angels, who is expected to become their closer. Estevez threw a scoreless inning in his debut on Tuesday, adding a potential boost to the bullpen.

Conclusion

As the Yankees look to extend their winning streak and the Phillies aim to rebound, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s remarkable start remains a focal point. His record-setting performance and the team’s overall efforts provide a captivating storyline for fans. With both teams facing critical games, the excitement continues to build.

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