2024-25 Most NFL Sacks Odds and Predictions

At the rate the NFL is going with its approach to player safety, quarterback sacks may not be around for very much longer.

Kidding aside, it could still make sense to try to cash in on the stat. Several sports betting sites are offering NFL sack odds, and with the new season almost here, it could make sense to back a pass rusher to get the job done.

I’ve looked at several other similar markets, from the NFL passing yardage leader to who will rush for the most yards in 2024. Sacks are my last stop, and they weirdly could be the most profitable.

Find out who is favored to register the most sacks this year, as well as who I think actually ends 2024 on top.

Odds to Record the Most NFL Sacks in 2024

Pittsburgh Steelers phenom T.J. Watt is the odds on favorite to end 2024 with the most sacks in the NFL. It’s hard to refute the logic, as he finished first last year with 19 quarterback takedowns.

Could Watt do it again? Certainly, but it always pays to look over every option before buying into a bet. With that, here are the latest NFL odds for most sacks going into 2024.

I’ll talk more about Watt in a bit, but all you need to know in the short-term is that he’s a very deserving favorite for this betting market.

Of course, injuries happen, and it’s a long grind in the NFL. You probably need to play all 17 games to have a shot at this record, and luck plays a role. If you’re not going up against some poor offensive lines and/or some teams that like to pass a lot, it’s arguable there’s only so much you can do.

I’d consider those aspects when placing your bets, as well as trying to focus on pass rushers that are elite from a physical and production perspective. There is room for a random player to ascend the ranks, but for the most part, the same dudes dominate the trenches.

Guys like Maxx Crosby, Micah Parsons, and Myles Garrett are staples when it comes to betting on the NFL sacks leader. The question, of course, is who else should sports bettors be taking seriously?

I’ll break down Watt’s chances of being crowned the NFL sack king yet again, and highlight some other contenders en route to this year’s prediction.

Why is T.J. Watt Favored to Get the Most Sacks in 2024?

Watt is so good at this point that it isn’t crazy to suggest he’s already a better pro than his brother, J.J. Watt.

The younger Watt paced the league with 19 sacks a season ago, but that wasn’t even his first time racking up the most sacks. He led the league in 2021 and 2020, as well.

Heck, Watt had double digit sacks in 2019 and 2018, too.

For those keeping score at home, Watt has three NFL sack crowns to his name, and he’s recorded 13+ sacks in five of his last six seasons. He might have had another stellar season in 2022, also, but he had his year cut short due to an injury.

Put simply, Watt is one of the most explosive and disruptive defensive players the league has to offer. Even his competition looks up to him.

His Steelers routinely put together a complete defense, too, and he’s obviously a huge reason why.

Watt isn’t a lock to get more sacks than anyone else, but assuming full health, he’s a very good bet to be in the mix every step of the way. Because of that, his +400 odds are honestly pretty appealing.

Top NFL Sack Leader Contenders for 2024

T.J. Watt isn’t even 30 years old as I write this and he’s closing in on 100 sacks. His pace is astonishing, but there are still other sack specialists to worry about.

All of them offer a little better value, too. I could go on and on about endless guys that are capable of leading the charge (22 players had 10+ sacks in 2023), but I’ll stop at my favorite three.

Myles Garrett +500

You’ll struggle to find a bunch of pass rushers quite as consistently dominant as Watt is, but one that measures up rather well is Garrett.

The Cleveland Browns sack artist finished seventh in the NFL with 14 sacks in 2023, and that was despite missing a game. It helped him nab the DPOY award, too.

He’s also been as consistent as anyone, notching 14+ sacks in each of his last three seasons, and 10+ in all but one of his NFL campaigns.

Garrett is the heart of Cleveland’s defense and simply doesn’t have an off button. He’s been awfully close to taking a banner down in this betting market, but keeps being overshadowed by a freak showing.

He’s not quite as quick as Watt, so I definitely think he’s behind him in the pecking order. However, he is as physically dominant as anyone in the entire league, and he keeps putting himself in position to steal the crown.

If you think 2024 is the year he finally does it, it’s hard to hate on his welcoming +500 betting odds.

Maxx Crosby +550

A former fourth round pick, Crosby is not exactly the physical phenom guys like Watt and Garrett are. He still has prototypical size and solid athleticism, but the driving force behind his elite production has largely been his mentality.

To say the guy is a character is a wild understatement.

Without a doubt one of the baddest dudes the league has to offer, Crosby keeps hitting quarterbacks (hard) until they mentally account for his presence. 

He’s known for getting into verbal matches with opposing passers – namely Patrick Mahomes – and he simply never stops coming for quarterback’s heads.

Crosby’s approach aligns with his production, as he’s upped his sack count in three consecutive seasons. Last year saw his best mark yet (14.5 sacks) with the Las Vegas Raiders, and while he was still five sacks out of the lead, conventional wisdom suggests another uptick is coming.

If Crosby can keep improving his numbers, he’s going to be a threat in the NFL sack odds race.

Nick Bosa +900

Another terrific bet to lead the league in sacks has to be Nick Bosa. He already has a sack title to his name with 18.5 takedowns in 2022, so we know he’s capable of an epic campaign.

Bosa has also been remarkably dominant, notching at least nine sacks in every healthy season he’s suited up for the San Francisco 49ers. In fact, the only years he didn’t have 10.5+ sacks, he was either hurt or a rookie.

We did see Bosa’s production dip after his career season, as he registered eight fewer sacks than he did in 2022. However, NFL offenses tend to account for elite sack artists, and their production can be like a roller coaster at times.

The good news is Bosa was still a major force, and his drive and athleticism should combine to give him a shot at a big bounce-back in 2024. 

His technique may also set him apart from many other pass rushers.

The real kicker here, of course, is his price. Bosa’s “so-so” season (compared to his usual production) has him coming in at a nice discount. It may pay to take advantage of that as Bosa and his San Francisco 49ers will be out for blood after missing out on yet another Super Bowl win.

Josh Hines-Allen/Trey Hendrickson +1000

If you’re betting on the NFL sack odds in 2024, you have to also consider Josh Allen and Trey Hendrickson. The Jacksonville Jaguars and Cincinnati Bengals stars were amazing in 2023, and could be back for more this season.

Repeating career seasons is never easy, but both of these guys are excellent pass rushers and had amazing years in 2023.

They both racked up 17.5 sacks, which would have had them tied for first place in most years. Of course, T.J. Watt is bionic, so they had to settle for a tie for second place. Of the two, I’d imagine Josh Allen is the most reliable, just because he’s an athletic specimen.

He also changed his name to Josh Hines-Allen, so perhaps he’ll give us a little extra effort as he tries to escape the shadow of the Buffalo Bills passer with the same name.

Both Hendrickson and Allen saw major spikes in their sack production in 2023. Allen’s 17.5 sacks were seven more than he’d ever previously notched, while Hendrickson jumped up three sacks from his previous career high.

Hendrickson’s floor is probably better, but I prefer the ceiling of Hines-Allen. At this price, and especially given what they did a year ago, both are legit sack leader contenders in 2024.

Best Value Bet to Lead the NFL in Sacks This Year

You actually get quite a bit of decent value with the NFL sack leader contenders this year. The value only gets better from there, as some pretty big names (Chris Jones, Montez Sweat, etc) are priced at +2000 or greater.

If you’re looking for upside, though, I think Kayvon Thibodeaux is my favorite pass rusher to target.

There are a few good reasons to have interest. We know he’s a physical marvel. The former 5th overall pick was a sensational player coming out of Oregon, and he’s looked the part through two seasons.

It took him a little time to have it translate to actual sacks, but his second season saw him pop off for 11.5 sacks. So when looking at talent, pedigree, and maturation, he checks all of the necessary boxes.

Until now, he didn’t have a ton of help around him. Insert newly acquired pass rusher Brian Burns, though.

Burns has yet to truly explode, himself, but he’d been pretty productive on a bad Carolina Panthers team for a while now.

The New York Giants must be salivating over the potential with these guys rushing the passer at the same time. You could just as easily talk yourself into a career year for Burns at +4500, but I prefer Kayvon’s talent.

You’re getting rock solid odds at +2500, and he’s simply a better prospect who has shown us a better ceiling in a smaller window.

Who Will Have the Most NFL Sacks in 2024?

While Kayvon is a great value, he’s not my pick to lead the NFL in sacks this season. There are a number of terrific options that offer good pricing, but I keep coming back to the same guy.

That’s none other than T.J. Watt.

Watt has been unstoppable. He keeps churning out crazy numbers, and yet nobody knows how to effectively slow him down. He is an incredible weapon for Pittsburgh’s defense, and a guy the opposing team needs to keep tabs on relentlessly.

The crazy thing is Watt’s 2023 season – as magical as it was – could have been even better. He had an additional 12 hurries on quarterbacks last year, while he’s also had a better overall season before.

Literally still in his prime, nothing but an untimely injury stands in Watt’s way in his obvious plight to be known as the best pass rusher of all-time. I think he will add to his trophy case this season.

Bet: T.J. Watt +400