2024 NFL Week 11 Odds and Predictions

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NFL Week 11 features some exciting divisional battles, along with a few big-time matchups. Ironically, three teams that are expected to battle for the worst record in the NFL, will all be on Bye as the New York Giants, Arizona Cardinals, Carolina Panthers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the week off.

Of the divisional battles, the Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears, Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, and Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers headline the grid-iron grudge matches this week.

In addition to these games, we have a juicy Monday Night Football matchup as the Houston Texans battle the Dallas Cowboys in an all-Texas affair.

However, the main attraction of the week is an AFC heavyweight showdown as the Kansas City Chiefs head to Western New York to take on the Buffalo Bills in the late-game window on Sunday, November 17. Anytime these two teams play against each other, it’s must watch television.

With that in mind, the full slate of NFL Week 11 Odds is not available as of yet. This means that there’s still plenty of time to examine our NFL betting analysis for information and predictions on players, all 32 NFL teams, Divisions, Conferences, and the 2025 Super Bowl.

NFL Week 11 Schedule

NFL Week 11 Predictions

Let’s look at the NFL odds for every game in Week 11 and figure out the best NFL Picks for each of the games:

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds

The Commanders head to Philadelphia to take on the division-leading Eagles in a Thursday night showdown. The Eagles enter as the favorites, buoyed by their home-field advantage and a stellar defensive unit that ranks among the league’s best in pressuring the quarterback. The Eagles look like the class of the division, as they’ve really rounded into form in recent weeks following a so-so start.

Offensively, the Eagles bring a balanced attack, led by Jalen Hurts, who has been efficient both through the air and on the ground. The Eagles’ run game, powered by newcomer Saquon Barkley, has allowed them to control the pace of games and wear down opposing defenses. Philadelphia’s receiving duo of A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith poses a major challenge for Washington’s secondary, which has been inconsistent over the past few years. If Hurts can get time to throw, expect him to exploit Washington’s defensive weaknesses with big plays downfield.

The MVP award is likely Lamar Jackson’s to lose again this year, but Hurts is making a push. A Tush Push, if you will. On the season, the former Alabama and Oklahoma standout is completing nearly 70 percent of his throws for 1,976 yards with 12 touchdowns to 5 interceptions. He’s done most of his damage on the ground, however, as he’s added another 10 rushing touchdowns through just 9 games.

For Washington, their chances of pulling off an upset rest on their defense’s ability to create turnovers and generate pressure. The Commanders’ defensive line is one of the most-improved units in the league at creating pressure, and they’ll need to force Hurts into quick decisions. If Washington’s defense can capitalize on any mistakes by the Eagles and set up short fields for their offense, they may keep the game closer than expected.

We’ll see what Jayden Daniels and co. can do offensively. They lost a close one last week to Pittsburgh with the vast majority of their damage coming on the ground. Daniels struggled to get much going through the air, and the Commanders will need to find success in all facets offensively if they’re going to seize control of the division. I’m skeptical of their chances.

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Trends:

• The Commanders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
• The Eagles have hit the over in 4 of their last 6 home games.
• The total has gone over in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Predictions:

• Spread: Eagles -3.5 (-105) — Philadelphia’s balanced attack and home advantage make them likely to cover the spread.
• Moneyline: Eagles -180 — Philadelphia is the safer pick as they aim to secure their spot at the top of the NFC East.
• Total: Over 48.5 (-112) — With both offenses capable of big plays, the total could hit the over.

Prediction: Eagles -3.5, Over 48.5
Best Bet: Eagles -3.5 (-105)

Minnesota Vikings vs. Tennessee Titans Odds

The Minnesota Vikings head to Nashville as strong favorites against the scuffling Tennessee Titans, driven by an offense that has been one of the most efficient in the league.

That said, Minnesota’s offense has sputtered a bit in recent weeks following a hot start to the season. 4 field goals was enough to get past the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 10, but the Vikings will need Sam Darnold to bounce back if they’re going to make a playoff run. He’s had a terrific season, but protecting the football has been a weakness. Darnold has now thrown 10 interceptions this season, half of which have come over the last 2 games.

Tennessee’s offense, meanwhile, has struggled to find its identity this season. With an inconsistent passing game and a run-heavy approach, the Titans often rely on Tony Pollard to shoulder the load. However, Minnesota’s defense has been effective at limiting rushing yards, which could put additional pressure on the Titans’ passing game. If the Vikings can contain Pollard, they may force the Titans into a one-dimensional game, giving Minnesota’s defensive line opportunities to pressure QB Will Levis. Levis is one of the most turnover-prone QBs in the league this season, and he’s had issues facing pressure.

The key to this game will be whether the Titans can control the clock and keep Minnesota’s offense off the field. Tennessee will need to execute long, sustained drives to stay competitive, but if Minnesota’s defense can get a few quick stops, it could be difficult for Tennessee to keep pace. Minnesota’s consistent offensive production and defensive discipline make them the clear favorites in this matchup.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Trends:

• The Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
• The Titans are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• The under has hit in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 road games.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions:

• Spread: Vikings -6 (-108) — Minnesota’s offense is likely to put up points, making it hard for Tennessee to cover.
• Moneyline: Vikings -258 — The Vikings should secure a road win, given their offensive advantage.
• Total: Under 39.5 (-108) — With Tennessee’s slower pace, the total might stay under.

Prediction: Vikings -6, Under 39.5
Best Bet: Vikings -6 (-108)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Odds

The Baltimore Ravens enter this rivalry clash against the Pittsburgh Steelers as the favorite, boasting a high-powered offense that has been among the league’s best. Lamar Jackson is challenging for his 3rd career MVP award, and his partnership with Derrick Henry has become an instant success.

Jackson’s numbers this season are eye-popping. He’s heralded as a rushing QB, but he’s been arguably the best passer in the league this year, as well. Jackson has completed better than 69 percent of his attempts for 2,669 yards and 24 touchdowns to just 2 interceptions. He’s already matched his passing TD total from last season when he won MVP for the 2nd time. For good measure, he’s added another 538 yards and 2 touchdowns on the ground.

Count me among those who thought Henry might be past the prime of his career, but he’s making me look foolish on a weekly basis. Across 10 games as a Raven, Henry has totaled 1,120 yards with 14 total touchdowns. He’s 47 yards away from matching last season’s rushing total, which he accrued in 17 games. With Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, and newcomer Diontae Johnson running routes, there are no real weaknesses in Baltimore’s attack.

The Steelers have relied heavily on their defense this season, which ranks near the top in turnovers and sacks. Pittsburgh’s defensive line, led by T.J. Watt, has the potential to disrupt Jackson’s rhythm and force him into uncomfortable situations.

Offensively, the Steelers have been far better than expected. Mike Tomlin made the seemingly curious decision to bench Justin Fields for Russell Wilson after Fields led them to a 4-2 start. All Wilson has done since taking over is win his only 3 starts with 6 passing touchdowns and 737 yards through the air. This version of Russ looks nothing like the hollow husk of a player who was starting in Denver over the past 2 years.

Baltimore is a worthy favorite on the road, but I like the value on the Steelers to pull the upset at home.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends:

• Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
• Steelers have hit the under in 6 of their last 7 games.
• The Ravens are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions:

• Spread: Steelers +3 (-102) — This could go horribly wrong, but Pittsburgh is undervalued as a home ‘dog.
• Moneyline: Steelers +145 — You don’t often get good teams listed as plus-money underdogs at home.
• Total: Under 48.5 (-115) — Divisional games between these teams often stay low-scoring.

Prediction: Steelers +3, Under 48.5 
Best Bet: Steelers ML (+145)

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions Odds

Fresh off of a stirring comeback win in Houston in Week 10, the Detroit Lions will return home as massive favorites in a #CatBattle over the Jacksonville Jaguars. This game has the widest spread of the week (DET -13), and with good reason. One of these teams is the best in football. The other is the Jaguars.

Detroit sure looks like the cream of the crop in the NFC, with a balanced attack that can score both through the air and on the ground. Jared Goff has been efficient, while the Lions’ running game, led by their impressive offensive line, has worn down defenses all season. Detroit’s defensive front has also been strong, ranking among the top in pressures and sacks, which could overwhelm Jacksonville’s inconsistent offensive line.

Goff was far from at his best against Houston, yet he was still able to make enough plays down the stretch to lead the Lions back from a 23-7 halftime deficit. Goff threw 5 interceptions, but the Lions’ defense held Houston scoreless in the 2nd half to help buoy the comeback. Detroit never abandons the run game, and they’ve been steady enough in that regard to consistently wear down their foes.

The Jaguars have had a rough season and face an uphill battle in this matchup. Jacksonville’s offense has struggled with injuries and inconsistency, and their defense has not been able to hold up against high-powered offenses. Their best chance lies in controlling the clock with long, sustained drives, but that will require efficiency and error-free football—two areas where the Jaguars have fallen short this season. Trevor Lawrence missed the team’s 12-7 loss to Minnesota with a left shoulder injury, and his status for this one is very much in doubt. If he sits, we’ll see a second straight start for Mac Jones under center.

Detroit’s dominance on both sides of the ball makes them a heavy favorite, and they should have little trouble covering the spread if they maintain their recent form. Jacksonville will need a perfect game to keep up, but given their struggles, it seems unlikely they’ll be able to withstand the Lions’ firepower.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions Betting Trends:

• Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
• Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in 4 straight road games.
• The total has gone under in 5 of Detroit’s last 7 games.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions Predictions:

• Spread: Lions -13 (-112) — Detroit’s balanced offense and home-field advantage make this spread attainable.
• Moneyline: Lions -750 — The Lions should comfortably secure a home win, but there’s no value in the -750 moneyline odds.
• Total: Under 47 (-112) — Jacksonville’s limited offensive output could keep this game under.

Prediction: Lions -13, Under 47
Best Bet: Lions -13 (-112)

Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets Odds

The New York Jets are favored at home this week over the visiting Indianapolis Colts. This season is quickly unraveling for both teams, and both were dealt disheartening losses in Week 10. The Jets got thrashed in Arizona by the Cardinals, while the Colts weren’t all that competitive in a turnover-filled home loss to Buffalo.

Joe Flacco performed terribly across 2 starts in place of Anthony Richardson, and Shane Steichen announced on Wednesday that Richardson will return as the starter for the rest of the season. It makes sense for Indianapolis to give the 2nd-year QB as many reps as possible down the stretch, especially considering it was highly unlikely that Flacco was going to lead them anywhere meaningful. Richardson has been the NFL’s most inaccurate QB this season, which isn’t a huge surprise considering he entered the NFL as a project coming out of Florida.

The Colts have been up and down, but they’ve shown flashes of competence, especially when they’ve been able to establish the run. With a physical offensive line and a play-action game that can stretch defenses, Indianapolis will look to sustain long drives and keep New York’s defense on the field. Defensively, the Colts are solid but can be vulnerable to explosive plays, something the Jets may struggle to capitalize on due to their offensive limitations.

We’ll see how much the Jets have left in the tank. Aaron Rodgers sure looks like a 40-year-old QB these days, while Davante Adams has really struggled to find his footing since coming over from the Raiders several weeks ago. Breece Hall hasn’t had the season many thought he might, while Garrett Wilson was kept under wraps by the Cardinals’ secondary last week.

This game could legitimately go either way. Oddsmakers always seem to have faith in the Jets’ talent ultimately winning out, but we haven’t seen any consistency from them all year. That said, I can’t back a team starting Richardson at this point, so take the Jets at home.

Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets Betting Trends:

• The Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Jets have hit the under in 5 of their last 7 games.
• The total has gone under in 6 of the Jets’ last 8 home games.

Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets Predictions:

• Spread: Jets -4 (-108) – The Jets aren’t worthy favorites, but I have no faith in Richardson.
• Moneyline: Jets -185 – The Jets should be able to win this one. If they don’t, Rodgers might as well retire.
• Total: Under 44 (-110) — Both defenses could keep this game low-scoring.

Prediction: Jets -4, Under 44
Best Bet: Under 44 (-110)

Los Angeles Rams vs. New England Patriots Odds

Fresh off of a grim home loss to the Dolphins, the Los Angeles Rams will fly across the country to face the New England Patriots on Sunday afternoon. Quarterback Matthew Stafford’s connection with his receivers, especially Cooper Kupp, has been electric, and the Rams have been able to move the ball consistently through the air. On the ground, the Rams have found success via Kyren Williams, making their offense more dynamic and harder to defend.

The Patriots’ defense has looked a little better in recent weeks, but this is still a spot in which I’d expect a bounce-back for Los Angeles. Stafford completed 32 of his 46 throws last week against Miami, but he was held without a touchdown pass. Williams has also been held out of the end zone in back-to-back weeks after finding paydirt in each of the season’s first 7 games. I think Williams is going to have a huge game against New England’s exploitable run defense.

The Patriots have had a challenging season. Drake Maye has shown flashes since taking over for Jacoby Brissett, but this is still hardly a dynamic offense. Joey Slye field goals accounted for 12 of the team’s 19 points on Sunday against Chicago, with New England’s only offensive score coming on a Maye pass to fellow rookie Ja’Lynn Polk early on.

With the Rams’ firepower and New England’s limited offense, Los Angeles should be able to cover the spread. The Patriots’ best chance is to slow the game down, but that may not be enough to keep it competitive if the Rams execute well offensively.

Los Angeles Rams vs. New England Patriots Betting Trends:

• Rams are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
• The Patriots have hit the under in 4 of their last 5 home games.
• Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as favorites.

Los Angeles Rams vs. New England Patriots Predictions:

• Spread: Rams -5 (-108) — The Rams’ offense gives them the edge against the struggling Patriots.
• Moneyline: Rams -218 — Los Angeles should get a win against New England’s limited offense.
• Total: Under 44 (-108) — New England’s defense may slow the game, keeping the score low.

Prediction: Rams -5, Under 44
Best Bet: Rams -5 (-108)

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins Odds

The Miami Dolphins are heavily favored at home this week over the Las Vegas Raiders after last week’s impressive win in LA. This has been a massively disappointing season for the Dolphins, but there’s still enough time left in the campaign for them to potentially make a Wild-Card push in the AFC. The Raiders, meanwhile, are in the midst of yet another lost season, though perhaps they can build some momentum here coming off the bye week.

The Dolphins hardly lit the world on fire last week against the Rams, but a win is a win. Tua Tagovailoa’s return a couple of weeks ago makes this offense significantly more dynamic in general. Tyreek Hill found the end zone for the first time since Week 1 last week, so here’s hoping he can use that as a jumping-off point down the stretch. Hill racked up nearly 1,800 receiving yards a season ago, but he has just 462 receiving yards with a couple of TDs through the Dolphins’ first 9 games of this season.

The Raiders are going nowhere fast. It’s likely just a matter of time until head coach Antonio Pierce gets fired despite the fact that this is his first full season on the job. Gardner Minshew has more interceptions (8) than touchdown passes (6), and the run game between Zamir White and Alexander Mattison has been virtually non-existent. The lone bright spot for this Vegas offense is rookie tight end Brock Bowers, who’d likely be a clear-cut frontrunner for Offensive Rookie of the Year were it not for Jayden Daniels’ exploits in Washington. Bowers leads all rookies with 57 catches for 580 yards, while he’s added a couple of touchdowns.

Miami’s firepower makes them the clear favorite, and they should be able to cover the spread if they get off to a fast start. The Raiders’ chances rest on keeping the game close early and capitalizing on any mistakes, but that may not be enough against the Dolphins’ prolific offense.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Trends:

• Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
• Raiders are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• The over has hit in 5 of Miami’s last 6 home games.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins Predictions:

• Spread: Dolphins -7.5 (-112) — Miami’s offense should help them cover.
• Moneyline: Dolphins -395 — Miami is a strong favorite at home.
• Total: Over 44 (-115) — Miami’s offense could push the score over the total.

Prediction: Dolphins -7.5, Over 44
Best Bet: Dolphins -7.5 (-112)

Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints Odds

This one looks like a potential slugfest. The New Orleans Saints finally snapped a 7-game losing streak with an upset win over the Falcons last week, while the Cleveland Browns will return to action after enjoying a bye week in Week 10. Cleveland will start QB Jameis Winston once again, and he’ll get a crack at one of his former clubs in this one.

The Saints fired head coach Dennis Allen last week, and perhaps that was what ultimately spurred their 20-17 win over Atlanta. Derek Carr threw a couple of touchdown passes to an unlikely receiver – Marquez Valdes-Scantling – while the defense did enough to keep a high-powered Falcons offense largely under wraps. This week, however, the Saints will have to get Alvin Kamara going against a stiffer Browns defense. Kamara had 6 touchdowns through the Saints’ first 5 games of the year, but he’s been held out of the end zone in each of New Orleans’ last 4 games.

The Browns come into this game with a physical style, built around their strong running game and a defense that can create turnovers. Cleveland’s defense has been aggressive, especially in the secondary, which could be problematic for the Saints’ passing attack. Offensively, the Browns rely heavily on Nick Chubb and their offensive line to grind out yardage and control the clock. If the Browns can establish their run game early, they’ll be able to dictate the pace and wear down the Saints’ defensive front.

They’ll also need Winston to avoid untimely turnovers. Since the trade of Amari Cooper to Buffalo, Winston has developed an impressive rapport with 2nd-year receiver Cedric Tillman. Over the last 3 games, the Tennessee product has 21 catches for 255 yards and 3 touchdowns.

This game is likely to be a low-scoring affair, with both teams focusing on ball control and minimizing mistakes. With the Saints’ home-field advantage and Cleveland’s offensive style, expect a close game that could come down to the wire.

Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Trends:

• Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
• Saints have hit the under in 6 of their last 7 games.
• The under has hit in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 road games.

Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints Predictions:

• Spread: Browns +1 (-112) – Cleveland makes for a solid road underdog pick against an inconsistent New Orleans outfit.
• Moneyline: Browns -105 – I don’t trust the Saints as favorites.
• Total: Under 44.5 (-110) – Both teams play a slower, controlled game that may keep the score low.

Prediction: Browns +1, Under 44.5
Best Bet: Under 44.5 (-110)

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds

The San Francisco 49ers come into this NFC West matchup against the Seattle Seahawks as strong favorites at home, driven by their defensive prowess and efficient offense. San Francisco has consistently dominated in the trenches, with a defensive line that ranks among the league’s best at getting to the quarterback. More importantly, Christian McCaffrey finally returned to the field last week after missing the first 9 weeks of the season with Achilles injuries.

The Niners wasted no time in getting C-Mac involved. McCaffrey topped 100 yards from scrimmage on 19 total touches in the team’s win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The 49ers also got touchdown catches from Ricky Pearsall and George Kittle before Jake Moody won it at the buzzer with a 44-yard field goal. It was sweet redemption for Moody after missing 3 kicks earlier in the game.

The 49ers will look to sweep the season series from their division rivals after a 36-24 win in Seattle back in October. Brock Purdy was terrific in that one, finishing with 3 touchdown passes, while backup running back Isaac Guerendo rushed for 99 yards on just 10 attempts.

The Seahawks got off to an impressive 3-0 start, but that feels like ancient history by now. Seattle has since dropped 5 of their last 6 games, though perhaps they can build some momentum coming out of last week’s bye. DK Metcalf – who missed the last game with a knee injury – could return for this one, as well. Metcalf was limited to just 3 catches for 48 yards the last time these teams met, however.

If Metcalf is out again, don’t be surprised if Geno Smith gets Jaxon Smith-Njigba heavily involved once again. JSN hasn’t quite taken off since the Seahawks drafted him in the first round last season, but he had the best game of his young NFL career 2 weeks ago against the Rams. Smith-Njigba caught 7 passes for 180 yards and a couple of touchdowns in Seattle’s overtime defeat to Los Angeles.

If the 49ers control the line of scrimmage and force Seattle into passing situations, they should have the upper hand. The Seahawks’ chances rely on limiting turnovers and finding a way to contain McCaffrey, but San Francisco’s home-field advantage and depth make them the safer pick.

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends:

• The 49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• Seahawks have hit the over in 4 of their last 6 games.
• The total has gone under in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams.

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers Predictions:

• Spread: 49ers -6.5 (-110) — San Francisco’s defense should help them cover.
• Moneyline: 49ers -305 — San Francisco has the advantage at home.
• Total: Over 49.5 (-110) — Both teams are capable of putting points on the board, so I like the value on the over.

Prediction: 49ers -6.5, Over 49.5
Best Bet: 49ers -6.5 (-110)

Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos Odds

The Denver Broncos are slight favorites at home over the Atlanta Falcons in this cross-conference clash. Denver has leaned on their defense this season, which has been one of the stingiest in the league in terms of points allowed. While the offense has been far less consistent, rookie QB Bo Nix has made clear strides as the campaign has progressed.

Denver nearly pulled off one of the upsets of the season last week in Kansas City, but what would’ve been a game-winning Wil Lutz field goal was blocked as time expired. Regardless, Nix looks like he belongs. The Oregon product has thrown for nearly 2,000 yards with 10 touchdowns to 6 interceptions thus far. He’s also added a surprisingly effective rushing element, as he’s carried the ball another 61 times for 290 yards with 4 more TDs.

The Falcons’ passing game has been weirdly inconsistent this season under Kirk Cousins, but the running game nearly rescued them last week. After a frustrating rookie season in which his usage was lower than expected, Bijan Robinson seems to be breaking out this term. Bijan has already surpassed his touchdown total from last season with 6, while he’s averaging nearly 5 yards per attempt. The Falcons still use Tyler Allgeier more than you’d think in goal-line scenarios, but Robinson has proven to be effective when given those chances, too.

I’m far less sold on the Atlanta defense, so I think Nix could be in store for another solid day. This game is a legitimate toss-up, but I’ll give the Broncos the slight edge at home here.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos Betting Trends:

• The Falcons are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The Broncos have hit the under in 5 of their last 6 home games.
• Denver is 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games against Atlanta.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos Predictions:

• Spread: Broncos -2.5 (-108) — Denver’s defense could frustrate Cousins in this one.
• Moneyline: Broncos -135 — At home, Denver has the edge in a close game.
• Total: Under 44 (-110) — Hard to imagine this game turning into a shootout, so the under is the play.

Prediction: Broncos -2.5, Under 44
Best Bet: Under 44 (-110)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Odds

In a matchup of AFC powerhouses, the Buffalo Bills are slight home favorites against the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs. Buffalo has looked like one of the most complete teams in the league, with an elite offense led by Josh Allen and a defense that ranks near the top in several categories. The Bills run a balanced offensive attack, and the passing game hasn’t missed a beat so far this season even without Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis.

The Bills are going to waltz their way to an AFC East title, as they’re 8-2 and well ahead of the other 3 teams in that terrible division. They’ve won 5 straight games since a loss in Houston back in October, and they’ve put at least 30 points on the board in 4 consecutive outings. They’ll be hard-pressed to do that again this week, though, as the Kansas City defense has been among the stingiest in football under Steve Spagnuolo this year.

Somehow, some way, the Chiefs are still unbeaten. They were on the verge of suffering their first setback last week against Denver, but they managed to block a Wil Lutz field goal attempt on the final play of the game. Kansas City is now 9-0, and the schedule is somewhat favorable the rest of the way. This will easily be their most difficult test, however, which explains why they’re slight underdogs in this one despite their perfect record.

Betting against Patrick Mahomes hasn’t been a profitable endeavor over the years. The Chiefs have also enjoyed quite a bit of success at the expense of the Bills, especially in the playoffs. These reasons alone should be enough to make Kansas City a worthwhile wager, especially considering we rarely get the opportunity to bet on them as underdogs.

This game could easily turn into a shootout, with both offenses able to score in bunches. Buffalo’s home-field advantage and defensive strength give them a slight edge, but Kansas City’s playmaking ability means they’re always in contention.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Trends:

• Chiefs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
• Bills are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• The total has gone over in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these teams.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Predictions:

• Spread: Chiefs +2.5 (-112) – I will gladly take the chance to bet on Kansas City as a ‘dog.
• Moneyline: Chiefs +110 – Ditto.
• Total: Over 45.5 (-112) — Expect a high-scoring game between these offenses.

Prediction: Chiefs +2.5, Over 45.5
Best Bet: Chiefs +2.5 (-112)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers Odds

We’ll be waiting all day for Sunday night, won’t we folks? The Los Angeles Chargers host the Cincinnati Bengals in what promises to be a competitive AFC clash. The Chargers have been up and down this season, with an impressive defense but an offense that has struggled against quality opponents. The Bengals have also been remarkably inconsistent, and they lost a high-scoring heartbreaker last week to the AFC North rival Baltimore Ravens, 35-34.

The Joe Burrow-to-Ja’Marr Chase connection is alive and well. Burrow completed 34 of his 56 passes for a whopping 428 yards with 4 touchdowns and no interceptions last week. This is a tougher matchup against a much better defense than the one Baltimore has run out there this season, but the Bolts will have their hands full with Chase. The former LSU receiver caught 11 of Burrow’s passes for 264 yards and 3 touchdowns of his own last week.

Few expected the Chargers to mount a serious playoff push this season, but Jim Harbaugh has done an excellent job in his first year with the team. LA comes into this one with 3 straight wins, albeit against a fairly light schedule. This will be the Chargers’ toughest opponent in well over a month, so we’ll see what they have up their sleeves here.

Justin Herbert has come on strong of late after a shaky start to the season. You can say the same of receiver Quentin Johnston, who looks much-improved this year after struggling mightily as a rookie in 2023. The former TCU star has already hauled in 5 touchdown passes this year after totaling just 2 trips to the end zone in his first pro season.

This matchup could come down to the wire. The Chargers are understandable favorites at home, but I think there’s a chance the Bengals are simply the better football team. I like Cincinnati as a slight road underdog.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Trends:

• Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
• Chargers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers Predictions:

• Spread: Bengals +1.5 (-108) — Cincinnati’s balanced offense should keep them within striking distance.
• Moneyline: Bengals +105 – I’m not convinced the Chargers’ offense can keep up with the Bengals if they find a rhythm early.
• Total: Over 47 (-108) — Both offenses have the potential to turn this into a high-scoring game.

Prediction: Bengals +1.5, Over 47 (-108)
Best Bet: Bengals ML (+105)

Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds

Let’s cap off the week with a Texas two-step. The Houston Texans have lost back-to-back games, but they’re favored by over a touchdown in this Monday Night Football clash against the struggling Dallas Cowboys. Dallas appears to be headed nowhere this season after the season-ending injury to Dak Prescott, and they’ll be up against it here against a potential AFC contender.

The Texans blew a 23-7 halftime lead in a loss to Detroit last week. That came on the heels of a disheartening loss to the lowly Jets in New York back in Week 9. Houston’s offense looked dynamic in the first half against the Lions, but they were held without a point in the second half. They’ll get a boost in this one, however, as Nico Collins is expected to return to the lineup after missing the last several games with a hamstring injury.

Prior to landing on injured reserve, Collins was the NFL’s leading receiver. The Texans’ offense hasn’t been nearly as explosive without him, as Tank Dell has been thrust into a larger role. Collins had 32 catches for 567 yards and 3 touchdowns before sustaining his hamstring injury against Buffalo on October 6th.

Without Prescott, the Cowboys will start QB Cooper Rush for the second straight game. Rush got nothing going last week in a disastrous 34-6 loss at home to the Eagles. He completed 13 of his 23 passes for just 45 yards before ultimately giving way to Trey Lance late in the 4th quarter. However, Mike McCarthy said on Monday that Rush will get another start in Week 11.

Frankly, I don’t see how the Cowboys can score enough points to win the game. They haven’t run the ball all season long, and I think the Texans will be as motivated as ever to make a statement after consecutive embarrassing losses in primetime.

Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends:

• The Cowboys are 0-4 at home this season.
• The Texans have been performing well, contributing to their favored status.
• The total has gone under in several of Dallas’s recent games.

Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys Predictions:

• Spread: Texans -7.5 (-110) — Houston’s balanced offense and Dallas’s struggles suggest the Texans can cover the spread.
• Moneyline: Texans -350 — Houston is the strong favorite to secure a road win.
• Total: Under 42 (-110) — Given Dallas’s offensive struggles, the total may stay under.

Prediction: Texans -7.5, Under 42
Best Bet: Texans -7.5 (-110)

NFL Week 11 Best Bets

After analyzing the Week 11 matchups, here are our top betting picks:

• Minnesota Vikings -6 (-108)
• Miami Dolphins -7.5 (-112)
• Cincinnati Bengals +1.5 (-108)

Each of these bets offers value as standalone wagers, but combining them into a parlay can create the opportunity for a much larger payout. A $100 parlay on these three bets would return approximately $602 if they all hit. You can choose to bet on these individually or go for the higher payout with a Week 11 parlay.