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The Reds and Marlins will face off in an NL matchup at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday. This one is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Reds are the betting favorite on the money line (-154). The Marlins have odds of +130, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Cincinnati will start Nick Lodolo, while the Marlins are sending Max Meyer to the mound. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, and the Marlins are 5th in the NL East. BSOH is carrying this one on TV.
Cincinnati vs. Miami Key Information
- Teams: Reds at Marlins
- Where: loanDepot Park Miami
- Date: Tuesday, August 6th
- Betting Odds CIN -154 | MIA +130 O/U 8
The Reds Can Win If…
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today as he faces the Marlins on the road. Lodolo has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 8-4 with a 3.99 ERA. Looking back at his last outing, Lodolo took the loss vs. the Cubs, giving up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had put together three straight outings in which he allowed just two earned runs. Lodolo has a WHIP of 1.16 this year and opponents are batting .226 vs. the left-hander. Out of his 17 starts, Lodolo has seven quality starts.
Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ most consistent hitters this season, batting .261 with a team-leading 20 home runs. De La Cruz has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/36 in his last nine games with two homers. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both players are batting under .230 for the season.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. This season, they have been a very average team in terms of home runs and have the league’s 11th best home run total. Overall, the Reds are batting just .229, and their team on-base percentage of .303 is also below the league average.
- The Reds are 5-5 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Reds are 2-3 vs. the run line.
- Cincinnati has an over/under record of 4-6 in their last ten games.
- The Reds have an average of 4.4 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten road games, the Reds are 5-5
- Looking back across the Reds last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
- Cincinnati has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Reds have averaged 4.6 runs per game on offense
The Marlins Can Win If…
Max Meyer and the Marlins are hosting the Reds today. Meyer has made two starts on the road so far this season, going 1-1. In his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Braves, allowing 4 earned runs over 5 innings. He did pick up a win in his first start of the year, where he went 6 innings and gave up just 1 run.
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting just .238 and are 26th in the league in home runs. Miami’s team on-base percentage of .292 is 22nd in the league.
Jake Burger has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/29 in his last seven games with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .239 with a team-high 47 RBIs and 17 homers. Jesús Sánchez is right behind him with 13 homers and 42 RBIs, while batting .241 for the season. Xavier Edwards is also on a hot streak, batting .393 over his last seven games.
- The Marlins are 5-5 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Marlins are 2-3 vs. the run line.
- Miami has an over/under record of 5-4-1 in their last ten games.
- The Marlins have an average of 3.8 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten home games, the Marlins are 6-4
- Looking back across the Marlins last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
- Miami has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Marlins have averaged 4.3 runs per game on offense
David Bell’s Confidence in the Reds
Cincinnati Reds manager David Bell is staying positive about his team’s playoff chances.
“We’re not where we want to be yet,” Bell said on Monday, “but we have a lot going for us.”
Elly De La Cruz’s Stellar Performance
A major reason for the Reds’ optimism is their 6-foot-5, switch-hitting superstar shortstop Elly De La Cruz. In Cincinnati’s 10-3 win over the Miami Marlins on Monday, De La Cruz racked up a career-high 12 total bases, hitting two home runs and two doubles. He finished the game 4-for-5 with three RBIs and three runs.
“I typically don’t give guys too much credit from the other side,” said Marlins manager Skip Schumaker, “but Elly had some incredible at-bats. He can put up some crazy numbers because his power/speed combo is super rare. He is a talented and special player in the league.”
This season, De La Cruz has accumulated 24 doubles, seven triples, 20 homers, 48 RBIs, and a major-league-high 57 steals. With De La Cruz leading the way, Bell is confident in the Reds’ chances, even though they are currently 6 1/2 games out of the last National League playoff spot.
“The goal is still the postseason,” Bell said. “We have to focus on our strength as a team. We continue to believe that we are going to achieve our goal.”
Marlins’ Struggles on the Mound
Meanwhile, the Miami Marlins are facing a tough season with one of the worst records in the major leagues. Known for their strong young pitching when they made the playoffs last year, the Marlins have struggled on the mound in 2024. They haven’t had a quality start since June 27, mainly due to season-ending injuries to star pitchers like Sandy Alcantara, Eury Perez, and Jesus Luzardo. Additionally, the Marlins traded away dominant closer Tanner Scott and other relievers before the July 30 deadline.
Injuries and Bright Spots
The Marlins face another challenge as catcher Nick Fortes left Monday’s game with a quad issue, according to Schumaker. Despite these setbacks, there are some bright spots for the Marlins, including right fielder Jesus Sanchez and rookie shortstop Xavier Edwards.
Sanchez hit a 480-foot homer on Monday, the longest in the majors this season.
“Sanchez has that power,” Schumaker said. “He has the ability to hit the ball out of the park to all sides of the stadium, line to line. He’s got real raw power. I think he’s got some of the best power in the game, so it’s good to see.”
Edwards, through 115 at-bats, is batting .383 with a .926 on-base-plus-slugging percentage. After going 2-for-5 in the series opener, he has reached base in 22 consecutive games.
Pitching Matchup: Lodolo vs. Meyer
Tuesday’s pitching matchup features two former first-round draft picks: Reds left-hander Nick Lodolo (8-4, 3.99 ERA) and Marlins right-hander Max Meyer (2-1, 3.81 ERA). Lodolo, 26, was the seventh overall pick in the 2019 draft, taken by the Reds out of TCU. In 43 major league games (all starts), he is 14-12 with a 4.18 ERA. Lodolo is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA in two career starts against the Marlins, but he has never pitched in Miami.
Meyer, 25, was the third overall pick in the 2020 draft, taken by the Marlins out of Minnesota. In seven major league games (all starts), he is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA. Meyer has never faced the Reds.
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The Lean
For an over/under pick, our lean is on the over, as this is projected to be the 2nd lowest-scoring game of the day. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we have our lean on the Reds to pick up the win. Cincinnati comes in with our 4th lowest team hits projection but 3rd highest team home runs projection. Nick Lodolo is 6th in our projections in starting pitcher strikeouts. On the other side, Max Meyer is 2nd in our projections in starting pitcher strikeouts.
