Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Predictions August 8th 2024

From loanDepot Park in Miami, we have the Reds and Marlins facing off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 6:10 PM ET and is being televised by BSFL. The money line odds have the Reds at -194 compared to the Marlins at +161. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.

Thursday’s starting pitching matchup features Hunter Greene for the Reds and Kyle Tyler for the Marlins. The Reds are 5th in the NL Central, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East.

Cincinnati vs. Miami Key Information

Hunter Greene has been pitching well for the Reds this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 8-4 and an ERA of 2.83. In his 22 starts, Greene has pitched one complete game and has 11 quality starts. His ERA on the road is 2.07, and he has a record of 4-1 away from home. The last time he pitched, Greene didn’t give up a run and got the win, going six innings vs. the Giants. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Greene’s batting average allowed is .177, and he is averaging 10.29 strikeouts per nine innings.

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Elly De La Cruz and Tyler Stephenson have been swinging the bat well for the Reds of late, with De La Cruz going 8/25 in his last six games with two homers and five RBIs, and Stephenson also having three homers in this stretch while batting .333. De La Cruz is batting .265 for the season and is 13th in the league with 20 homers. Spencer Steer is the team’s top run producer, with 66 RBIs, but is batting just .226.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have been a slightly better offensive team on the road this season. Overall, they are 9th in home runs and have the 7th best Isolated Power (ISO) in the league. However, they are batting just .230 as a team and have a collective on-base percentage of only .304.

Kyle Tyler gets the start for the Marlins today and will be looking to improve on his record of 0-2. He has made six starts this year and has a batting average allowed of .291, along with an ERA of 5.27 and WHIP of 1.76. In his last outing, Tyler finished with a no-decision, going 2 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had given up at least two home runs in three straight outings. Tyler’s ERA on the road is 7.02 compared to 4.54 at home.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the 29th mark in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and walks. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .238, and their team on-base percentage is just .292 (23rd). Miami’s team ISO of .126 is the worst in the league.

Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as he is 14th in the league with 19 home runs, and his 49 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Burger has four homers in his last six games, but he is just 6/25 in that stretch. Xavier Edwards has gone 9/25 in his last six games.

Our lean for an over/under pick in this Reds vs. Marlins matchup is to take the over. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we have our lean on the Reds to pick up the win. Cincinnati comes into this one with the 4th best team runs scored projection, and Hunter Greene has the highest strikeout projection among today’s starters.

Hunter Greene, Reds Shoot for Series Win Over Marlins

Cincinnati Reds right-hander Tracker Greene, a first-time All-Star this year, is set to confront the host Miami Marlins in the finale of a four-game series on Thursday. The Reds dominated the initial two matches of the set before the Marlins won 6-4 on Wednesday.

Greene (8-4, 2.83 ERA) positions third in the National League in ERA and is seventh in strikeouts (149) and eighth in innings (130 1/3). With a fastball that averages 98 mph, Greene can overwhelm hitters. All things considered, the Reds are only 8-14 this season when he pitches.

Lack of Support

Greene has obviously received little support this season. For example, in his past six starts — covering a span of 37 2/3 innings — Greene has allowed just two runs. Yet Cincinnati’s record during that span was just 3-3.

Breakthrough Year

In any case, this has been a breakthrough season for Greene, who turned 25 on Tuesday. He was Cincinnati’s first-round pick, second overall, in 2017 out of Notre Woman Secondary School in Los Angeles. He went 5-13 with a 4.44 ERA as a rookie in 2022. Last year, Greene completed 4-7 with a 4.82 ERA.

At 6-foot-5 and 240 pounds, Greene is sufficiently able to last a season as confirmed by his profession 3.06 ERA in 17 final part starts. In 51 first-half starts, he has a 4.30 ERA. Greene is 1-1 with a 1.46 ERA in two vocation starts against Miami.

Reds’ Hostile Chiefs

With respect to the Reds’ offense, shortstop Elly De La Cruz is driving the way, however catcher Tyler Stephenson is contributing, as well. Stephenson has hit a vocation high 14 homers this season, one more than he had the year before. Stephenson, who turns 28 on Aug. 16, is by all accounts maturing great.

“Tyler is continuing to find ways to adjust and get better,” Reds manager David Bell said of Stephenson, who made his major league debut in 2020. “He’s always been able to make contact. But sometimes strength comes with age a little bit.”

Marlins’ Pitching Challenges

The Marlins – – who have the third-most awful record in the majors – – will start right-hander Kyle Tyler (0-2, 5.27 ERA) on Thursday. Tyler, a 27-year-old local of Oklahoma City, was the Holy messengers’ twentieth round pick in 2018. He made his significant league debut on Sept. 5, 2021, pitching three scoreless innings of help for Los Angeles.

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After that, Tyler was waived or allowed to leave by the Angels, Boston Red Sox, San Diego Padres, Angels (again), Padres (again), San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners. He signed a minor league deal with Miami last November, and — after clearing waivers yet again — the Marlins promoted him to the majors for a one-game stint in April and then again in late June. With the Marlins this year, he has made seven appearances, including six starts. The Marlins are 3-3 when he starts.

Injury-Riddled Rotation

Tyler is getting this opportunity in light of the fact that the Marlins have been attacked by wounds to their pivot, including Sandy Alcantara, Eury Perez, Jesus Luzardo, Braxton Garrett, Ryan Climates, and Sixto Sanchez. Miami likewise exchanged starter Trevor Rogers not long with time to spare.

Rookie Valente Bellozo’s Commitment

On Wednesday, rookie Valente Bellozo got his most memorable significant league win, acquiring acclaim from Marlins director Skip Schumaker. The 24-year-old right-hander pitched 5 2/3 scoreless innings.

“The objective in pitching is to miss bats and barrels, and he was missing barrels at a high rate,” Schumaker said. “He believes he’s Maximum Scherzer, and that is something beneficial for a youthful pitcher. He’s really sure.”