Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Picks and Predictions August 10th 2024

The Marlins host the Padres today at loanDepot Park in Miami, and they will be looking to pull off the upset, as they are +146 on the money line. San Diego comes in with a record of 65-52 and they are on a six-game winning streak. The Padres are 2nd in the NL West, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East.

First pitch for this one is set for 4:10 PM ET. Matt Waldron is starting for the Padres, while the Marlins are going with Roddery Munoz. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

San Diego vs. Miami Key Information

Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 7-9 with a 3.79 ERA. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his 23 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Waldron picked up the win vs. the Rockies, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. He has won two straight starts. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.

Over their last nine games, both Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill have four home runs, with Machado hitting .368 and Merrill hitting .406. Machado has also driven in 11 over that stretch, compared to 10 RBIs for Merrill. Machado comes into the game with a three-game hitting streak, and Merrill has a five-game streak. Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as he is 15th in the league with 19 homers.

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San Diego comes into the game as the league’s top hitting team, with a batting average of .265. They are also 8th in slugging and OPS. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Roddery Muñoz gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Padres at home. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 2-6. Muñoz’s ERA for the season is 5.68, along with a WHIP of 1.45. In his 14 appearances, he has allowed a total of 21 home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Muñoz took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of his two quality starts came in his last outing.

Over his last 10 games, Jake Burger has been on fire for the Marlins, going 12/40 with six homers and 10 RBIs. This has helped him take over the team lead in RBIs for the season, as he has 50 RBIs and 20 homers, which is 14th best in the league. Jesús Sánchez is 2nd on the team in RBIs and has 13 homers, but is batting just .234 for the season.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Miami’s offense has been a bit better at home, averaging 4 runs per game.

Our lean for an over/under pick would be to take the over, as we have this as the 3rd lowest-scoring game of the day. For a money line pick, we would be leaning toward the Padres to come out on top. San Diego’s offense is projected to have the fewest team strikeouts in the league today, and Roddery Muñoz is 4th worst among today’s starters in projected strikeouts.

Padres Face Marlins, Look to Stretch Win Streak to Seven

The San Diego Padres are enjoying some real success with the longest dynamic success streak in Significant League Baseball, and they’re anxious to broaden that energy as they face the Miami Marlins again on Saturday. The Padres, who have now dominated six continuous matches and 15 of their beyond 17, quality their new accomplishment to a solid brotherhood and positive “vibe” in the clubhouse.

“I’m not a writer, and I don’t have the words to explain to you what it really is,” said Manny Machado, reflecting on the team’s recent surge. “It’s just different, man. Everyone here gets along. We pull for each other. We all want the best. We pick each other up. We battle for every out—that’s what we’re made of.”

Padres’ Late-Game Heroics

The Padres demonstrated their resilience in Friday’s series opener, overcoming a 2-0 deficit to win 6-2 in 10 innings. San Diego trailed through the first seven innings but managed to score in each of the final three frames, eventually pulling ahead in extras. Machado played a pivotal role, driving in three runs, including two in the 10th inning, in front of his hometown Miami crowd.

Rookie center fielder Jackson Merrill also delivered a standout performance, going 3-for-4 with two RBIs, two steals, a home run, a triple, a walk, and a crucial catch in center field. Merrill’s all-around contribution was key to the Padres’ victory.

“Lately he has been doing that,” said Marlins manager Skip Schumaker, acknowledging Merrill’s clutch play. “He has been on one of those heaters with really clutch moments in leverage spots. That’s how you get on winning streaks. It’s not only Manny Machado, but then you have Jackson Merrill hitting game-tying home runs.”

Saturday’s Pitching Matchup

San Diego will send right-hander Matt Waldron (7-9, 3.79 ERA) to the mound on Saturday. Waldron has only faced the Marlins once in his career, but he made the most of it, throwing seven scoreless innings. However, he has yet to pitch in Miami, and the Padres will be hoping for another strong outing to keep their streak alive.

Miami will counter with rookie right-hander Roddery Munoz (2-6, 5.68 ERA). Munoz has struggled this season, particularly at home, where he holds a 1-3 record with a 6.82 ERA in seven games. The Marlins have only won four of Munoz’s 14 starts, so they’ll be looking for improved run support and a better performance on the mound to contend with the Padres’ potent offense.

Marlins’ Offensive Outlook

The Marlins will depend on the bats of Jake Burger and Jonah Lady of the hour, both of whom have been swinging hot sticks. Burger shot his twentieth grand slam of the time on Friday, his eighth in the beyond 14 games. Lady also contributed with a homer on Friday, proceeding with areas of strength for him structure with four homers and eight RBIs in his beyond 10 games.

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To add one more layer of interest to the matchup, the Marlins will confront two previous partners who have had huge effects for the Padres: infielder Luis Arraez and closer Leather expert Scott. Arraez, who came out on top for batting championships in every one of the beyond two years (counting with Miami in 2023), is hitting .302 this season and went 1-for-5 on Friday. Scott contributed a scoreless inning the series opener, bringing his ERA down to a great 1.46.

Looking Forward

As the Padres mean to extend their dominate streak to seven matches, they’ll require one more solid execution from Waldron and proceeded with grasp hitting from players like Machado and Merrill. The Marlins, in the mean time, will trust Munoz can find his structure and that their enormous bats can convey sufficient capability to stay up with the flooding Padres.