Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions August 10th 2024

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Sat, Aug 10, 20:10 pm.
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML: -120
0
0
Philadelphia Phillies
ML: 100
DocSports, The most trusted name in sports handicapping

At 8:10 PM ET, the Phillies and Diamondbacks square off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Phillies are the slight road favorite on the money line (-106). The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West, and their money line odds are sitting at -112. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

NSPPH will be televising Saturday’s Phillies and Diamondbacks matchup, and Aaron Nola will be starting for the Phillies, while the Diamondbacks are going with Zac Gallen. Philadelphia is currently 1st in the NL East, and the Diamondbacks have an overall record of 64-53.

Philadelphia vs. Arizona Key Information

  • Teams: Phillies at Diamondbacks
  • Where: Chase Field Phoenix
  • Date: Saturday, August 10th
  • Betting Odds ARI -112 | PHI -106 O/U 8.5

The Phillies Can Win If…

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. Nola has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 11-5 with a 3.54 ERA. In his 23 appearances, he has turned in 15 quality starts and is coming off a rough outing against the Dodgers, where he took the loss. In that start, Nola gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. He has not picked up a win since July 25th. Nola’s ERA on the road is 4.50 compared to 3.79 at home.

Not only are the Phillies the league’s top-scoring team at home, but they are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs, as they are 6th in the league in homers. Overall, they are batting .256, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and are averaging 4.9 runs per game. Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear of late, going 12/25 with five homers over his last six games. For the season, he is batting .261 with 27 homers.

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As a team, the Phillies have three hitters in the top 10 in RBIs, with Alec Bohm leading the way with 78 RBIs. Bohm is also batting .298 and is on an 11-game hitting streak. Bryce Harper is 2nd on the team with 26 homers and is batting .278.

  • The Phillies are 4-6 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Phillies are 3-2 vs. the run line.
  • Philadelphia has an over/under record of 6-3-1 in their last ten games.
  • The Phillies have an average of 5.2 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten road games, the Phillies are 5-5
  • Looking back across the Phillies last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
  • Philadelphia has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Phillies have averaged 4.6 runs per game on offense

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

Zac Gallen will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up five earned runs in seven innings of work. In that start vs. the Guardians, he gave up two homers. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Gallen has a record of 9-5 this season and an ERA of 3.75. Looking at his home/away splits, he is 6-3 at home with a 3.72 ERA compared to 3-2 on the road with a 4.00 ERA. Opponents are batting .237 off Gallen this season.

Arizona has been the best offensive team in the MLB this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, and they have been even better at home, where they are averaging 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been a very good power-hitting team this season, as they are 8th in the league in home runs and have the 6th best isolated power figure in the league. As a team, they are batting .258, which is the 4th best mark in the league.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamondbacks top power hitters this season, with Walker’s 23 homers being 2nd on the team and Marte’s 29 homers leading the team and is 5th in the league. Marte is also 8th in the league with 80 RBIs. However, Marte has struggled a bit of late, hitting just .235 over his last nine games.

  • The Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Diamondbacks are 3-2 vs. the run line.
  • Arizona has an over/under record of 6-2-2 in their last ten games.
  • The Diamondbacks have an average of 5.2 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten home games, the Diamondbacks are 7-3
  • Looking back across the Diamondbacks last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
  • Arizona has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Diamondbacks have averaged 5.5 runs per game on offense

The Lean

Our lean for an over/under pick would be to take the over, as we have this as the 6th highest-scoring game of the day. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we have the Diamondbacks picking up the win. Arizona starter Zac Gallen has the 3rd best odds to pick up a win among today’s starters, and he is also 10th in our projections in starting pitcher strikeouts. Aaron Nola is 15th in that category.

Adrian Del Castillo, D-backs Seek to Build on Momentum Against Phillies

Adrian Del Castillo’s entrance into the significant leagues was a storybook starting for the Arizona Diamondbacks. With the group’s starting catcher Gabriel Moreno sidelined because of a left crotch strain, Del Castillo was called up from Triple-A Reno recently and immediately became famous. In his second game with the Diamondbacks, the 24-year-old scratched his name into group history with a walk-off grand slam, his most memorable vocation homer, to get a 3-2 triumph over the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday night.

Del Castillo’s Fantasy Start

Del Castillo’s walk-off impact, which came against Philadelphia’s All-Star reliever Jeff Hoffman, denoted the first time in Quite a while history that a player hit a walk-off grand slam for his most memorable profession homer. The triumph was a crucial one for Arizona, who are presently 15-5 since the All-Star break and have won five of their last six games.

“Straight up goosebumps, I don’t even know how to describe it in words,” Del Castillo said of his momentous homer. “Just looking for a fastball over the plate and I got a good swing on it.”

Arizona manager Torey Lovullo was equally thrilled for his young catcher. “You couldn’t ask for any greater moment for a young player,” Lovullo said. “I get so excited for the players coming up from player development. I felt like I was 18 years old again for a few minutes.”

Del Castillo, who was batting .319 with 24 homers and 70 RBIs in 100 games at Triple-A Reno, has made an immediate impact since his call-up, going 4-for-7 with three RBIs, a double, and the walk-off homer. As Arizona continues their four-game series against the Phillies, Del Castillo will look to build on his hot start and help the Diamondbacks maintain their momentum.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies: Saturday Matchup

The third game of the series on Saturday night will feature a battle of right-handers, with Arizona’s Zac Gallen (9-5, 3.75 ERA) facing off against Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola (11-5, 3.54 ERA). Both pitchers have had their ups and downs this season, and the matchup promises to be a key contest in this series.

Zac Gallen:

Gallen has been doing great as of late, going 3-0 with a 3.38 ERA over his beyond four starts. Be that as it may, he battled recently, surrendering five runs and eight hits more than seven innings in a no-ruling against the Cleveland Watchmen on Monday. Gallen has serious areas of strength for a record against the Phillies in the standard season, posting a 3-1 record with a 2.22 ERA in five starts. Notwithstanding this, he battled powerfully against Philadelphia in last season’s National League Championship Series (NLCS), losing both of his starts with a 7.36 ERA.

Phillies sluggers Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have had success against Gallen in the past. Harper is 8-for-17 with two homers, while Schwarber is 4-for-13 with three homers in regular-season matchups. Both Harper and Schwarber also took Gallen deep twice in the NLCS.

Aaron Nola:

Nola, who has not won in his past four starts, will be looking to get back on track after a rough outing against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday, where he allowed four runs and eight hits over six innings. Over his past four starts, Nola has posted a 4.37 ERA. Historically, Nola has struggled against the Diamondbacks, recording a 2-2 record with a 7.67 ERA in five starts. In last season’s NLCS, Nola faced Arizona twice, going 1-1 with a 3.48 ERA.

Arizona’s Joc Pederson, who homered off Zack Wheeler in Friday’s game, has fared well against Nola, going 6-for-20 with one homer. Josh Bell has also had success, with two homers in 33 at-bats against the right-hander.

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Phillies Looking to Rebound

The Phillies, who lost for the second time in six games on Friday, will mean to return quickly on Saturday. Notwithstanding a strong trip from Zack Wheeler, who allowed two runs north of six innings, the Phillies were scattered by Del Castillo’s late heroics and an absence of ideal hitting. Bryce Harper gave a splendid spot his 26th homer of the time, and Johan Rojas added a RBI twofold, yet the Phillies will require more from their setup to stay up with the flooding Diamondbacks.

Outlook

With the two groups competing for season finisher situating, Saturday’s down is crucial for the Phillies as they look to recapture their balance against a Diamondbacks group that has been super hot since the All-Star break. The matchup among Gallen and Nola will be one to watch, as the two pitchers hope to defeat their new battles and convey major areas of strength for a for their separate groups. Del Castillo, new off his extraordinary walk-off second, will be a player to look as he proceeds with his initial progress in the majors.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Fri, Aug 9, 14:49 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Arizona Diamondbacks
+1.5
-180
-120
O 8.5
-110
Philadelphia Phillies
-1.5
150
100
U 8.5
-110
Kyle Parker | Handicapper

Kyle has put the hammer down for more than 25-years as a bookie, line mover, oddsmaker, and gambler. He knows trends, and has proven it time and again with win, after win.

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