Ny Mets Mets vs Miami Marlins Picks and Predictions August 17th 2024

NY Mets Mets vs Miami Marlins MLB Sat, Aug 17, 16:10 pm.
NY Mets Mets
ML: -195
4
0
Miami Marlins
ML: 165
DocSports, The most trusted name in sports handicapping

The Mets are the heavy favorite heading into Saturday’s matchup vs. the Marlins, as the money line odds have them at -188 compared to the Marlins at +158. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York, and the forecast calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 80s.

First pitch is set for 4:10 PM ET, and SNY will be televising this NL East matchup. Max Meyer is starting for the Marlins, and they are 45-77 overall, putting them 5th in the division. The Mets are 63-59 and Luis Severino on the mound.

Miami vs. New York Key Information

  • Teams: Marlins at Mets
  • Where: Citi Field New York
  • Date: Saturday, August 17th
  • Betting Odds NYM -188 | MIA +158 O/U 8.5

The Marlins Can Win If…

Miami is sending right-hander Max Meyer to the mound today as he faces the Mets on the road. Meyer has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 5.20 ERA. In his 36 1/3 innings of work, Meyer has issued just 2.23 walks per nine innings compared to 7.43 strikeouts. Looking back at his last outing, Meyer picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Meyer has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.

Jake Burger has been on a tear for the Marlins of late, going 9/20 in his last five games with four homers and 10 runs scored. For the season, he is batting .253 with 24 homers and 55 RBIs, both of which lead the team. Jesús Sánchez is also having a solid season at the plate, with 15 homers and 48 RBIs, but his batting average is just .242.

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As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and walks. Overall, their team batting average is just .237, and they have the league’s worst isolated power figure. However, the Marlins have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game.

  • The Marlins are 3-7 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Marlins are 3-2 vs. the run line.
  • Miami has an over/under record of 8-2 in their last ten games.
  • The Marlins have an average of 5.6 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten road games, the Marlins are 4-6
  • Looking back across the Marlins last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
  • Miami has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Marlins have averaged 4.0 runs per game on offense

The Mets Can Win If…

New York is sending Luis Severino to the mound today vs. the Marlins, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mariners. In that start, he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work, taking the loss. Severino has lost each of his last three outings and has a record of 7-6 this season with a 4.17 ERA. Opponents are batting .234 this season vs. Severino, and his ERA at home is 4.25 compared to 4.98 on the road. So far, he has made nine quality starts and is averaging 7.34 strikeouts per nine innings.

Francisco Lindor has been red hot for the Mets, batting .375 over his last nine games, and is currently on a 10-game hitting streak. During this stretch, he has scored seven runs and has gone deep once. For the season, Lindor is batting .263 with a team-high 70 RBIs. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are the Mets’ top power threats, with Alonso leading the team with 26 homers and Nimmo sitting 2nd on the team with 17 homers.

As a team, the Mets are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .250, which is 10th in the league right now.

  • The Mets are 4-6 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Mets are 2-3 vs. the run line.
  • New York has an over/under record of 5-5 in their last ten games.
  • The Mets have an average of 5.4 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten home games, the Mets are 4-6
  • Looking back across the Mets last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
  • New York has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Mets have averaged 3.5 runs per game on offense

The Lean

Despite this Mets vs. Marlins matchup being our 2nd lowest projected scoring game of the day, we are still leaning towards taking the over. As for a straight-up pick, we are leaning towards the Mets to come out on top. New York starter Luis Severino has the 3rd best earned runs allowed projection among today’s starters.

Mets Look to Secure Series Win Against Struggling Marlins

The New York Mets seem to have tracked down their hostile furrow, and they’ll be hoping to proceed with that force on Saturday evening when they have the Miami Marlins in the center round of a three-game series. With their bats finally warming up, the Mets are meaning to secure the series win against their National League East rivals.

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Mets’ Offense Comes Alive

The Mets have battled repulsively for a large part of the final part of the time, yet ongoing exhibitions recommend that they might be breaking out of their downturn. On Friday night, Jeff McNeil and Brandon Nimmo homered in the fourth inning, starting a six-run rally that prompted a 7-3 triumph over the Marlins. This obvious the third sequential game where the Mets have scored somewhere around six runs, tallying 22 runs overall during this range. It’s their most useful three-game stretch since late June.

For quite a bit of August, the Mets experienced issues setting up enormous numbers on the scoreboard, scoring no less than six runs just two times in their initial 11 rounds of the month. Be that as it may, their new flood has brought them inside one round of the Atlanta Overcomes for the final NL wild-card spot, returning them to the playoff discussion.

“More guys that are swinging the bat well, the better,” Nimmo said after Friday’s win. “What I would hope is that we’re coming into a stretch where we’re swinging the bats really well and we have a few guys doing it. And when you have more than one guy doing it, then you can do some damage.”

Marlins’ Pitching Struggles

The Marlins, on the other hand, continue to grapple with pitching inconsistencies. On Friday, rookie starter Roddery Munoz lasted just 3 1/3 innings, and the Mets capitalized on his struggles with their six-run fourth inning. Miami’s starting rotation has struggled to go deep into games this month, with a Marlins starter completing six innings just three times in 14 games. This has put additional strain on the bullpen, a situation that manager Skip Schumaker knows could catch up to the team.

“We need starters to get going at least through five,” Schumaker said. “Had to use a couple guys multiple innings tonight, but it will catch up to you later on in a series (or) then in a week before the off day.”

Max Meyer, who will take the mound for the Marlins on Saturday, is coming off a win against the San Diego Padres in which he allowed four runs over 6 1/3 innings. Meyer (3-2, 5.20 ERA) has never faced the Mets before, and he’ll need to bring his best stuff if he hopes to slow down New York’s resurgent offense.

Severino Looks to Bounce Back

The Mets will counter with right-hander Luis Severino, who is looking to rebound from a rough outing in his last start. Severino (7-6, 4.17 ERA) took the loss on Sunday after allowing four runs over five innings in a 12-1 defeat to the Seattle Mariners. Despite that setback, Severino has a solid track record against the Marlins, with a 2-0 record and a 2.19 ERA in four career starts against them. This season, he’s 1-0 with a 2.89 ERA in three starts against Miami, making him a reliable option for the Mets as they aim to secure the series win.

Conclusion: Mets Aim to Keep Momentum Rolling

With their offense terminating on all chambers and the Marlins battling to find consistency on the hill, the Mets are in areas of strength for a to secure the series on Saturday. A success wouldn’t just get the series yet in addition keep the strain on the Overcomes in the NL wild-card race. In the interim, the Marlins will be searching for a more grounded exhibition from Max Meyer to assist them with refocusing and stay away from a second back to back misfortune. As the two groups strive for crucial triumphs in the late phases of the time, Saturday’s down vows to be one more significant matchup in the NL East.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Fri, Aug 16, 14:41 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
NY Mets Mets
-1.5
115
-195
O 8.5
100
Miami Marlins
+1.5
-135
165
U 8.5
-120
Kyle Parker | Handicapper

Kyle has put the hammer down for more than 25-years as a bookie, line mover, oddsmaker, and gambler. He knows trends, and has proven it time and again with win, after win.

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