San Diego Padres vs Ny Mets Picks and Predictions August 22nd 2024

Thursday’s matchup between the Mets and Padres is set for 9:40 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego, CA. The Padres are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -154, while the Mets are at +131. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.

Luis Severino will go for the Mets, and he will be facing off against Dylan Cease. The Mets are 66-61 this season, while the Padres are 72-56, and both teams are in 3rd place in their respective divisions.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Padres on the road. So far this season, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 8-6. Severino’s ERA is 3.91, along with a WHIP of 1.22. In his 24 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 10 quality starts. Looking back at his recent outings, Severino is coming off a dominant performance. In his last outing, he went nine innings, didn’t give up a run, and got the win. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. The right-hander has given up at least two homers in three of his last four starts.

Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 15/41 in his last 10 games with three homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .266 with 25 homers and 73 RBIs. Pete Alonso has also been a big power threat for the Mets, as his 27 homers are 10th in the league and the top mark on the team. He is batting .243 for the season.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 8th ranked batting average team in the league.

Dylan Cease will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Rockies. In that start, Cease went 5 2/3 innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has made 26 starts and has a record of 12-9. His ERA for the season is 3.46, along with a WHIP of 1.02. Cease has one complete game shutout this year and 13 quality starts. For the season, Cease has a total of 186 strikeouts, with his ERA at home being 3.29 compared to 4.55 on the road.

San Diego comes into today’s game with the league’s top batting average at .265 and are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado have been the Padres’ top power threats this season, as they are both tied for the team lead with 20 homers. Profar also leads the team with 76 RBIs, and Machado is right behind him at 73. Jackson Merrill is also near the top of the team’s home run and RBI leaderboards, with 18 homers and 71 RBIs. Machado has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/22 with two homers in his last six games.

Mets Take Momentum into Pivotal Series Against Padres

The New York Mets are riding high after an exhilarating series win over the Baltimore Orioles, and they’re bringing that momentum with them as they hit the road to face the San Diego Padres in a crucial four-game series. With both teams neck-and-neck in the race for playoff spots, this showdown is set to be a defining moment in their seasons.

Jesse Winker’s Heroics Energize the Mets

Jesse Winker has quickly become a fan favorite in New York. On Wednesday, he delivered a pinch-hit, walk-off home run, lifting the Mets to a thrilling 4-3 victory over the Orioles and securing a vital series win. This blast was Winker’s first homer as a Met and his 12th of the season, capping off an impressive start since being acquired from the Washington Nationals last month.

Winker’s recent performance has injected new life into the Mets, who are now just 1.5 games behind the Atlanta Braves for the National League’s final wild-card spot. The outfielder has been batting .288 in 18 games with New York, and his clutch hitting has provided the team with a much-needed spark as they head into this critical stretch of the season.

Luis Severino Leads Mets into San Diego

The Mets are looking to keep their winning streak alive with Luis Severino taking the mound. Severino is coming off a stellar performance, pitching a complete game shutout in a 4-0 win against the Miami Marlins. His dominant outing, which included eight strikeouts and only four hits allowed, was the second shutout of his career and a reminder of his ability to shine in big moments.

Severino has had success against the Padres before, allowing just one earned run in 6 2/3 innings during his only career start against them in 2023. The Mets are counting on him to set the tone as they embark on this pivotal road trip.

Padres Seek to Rebound After Tough Loss

The San Diego Padres, currently tied with the Arizona Diamondbacks for the NL’s first wild-card spot, are looking to bounce back after a tough 11-4 loss to the Minnesota Twins. That defeat snapped the Padres’ seven-game home winning streak and underscored some of the challenges they’ve faced, even with a strong post-All-Star break record of 22-7.

Dylan Cease will be on the mound for the Padres, aiming to redeem himself after a rough outing against the Mets earlier this season. In that game, Cease gave up seven runs in just 3 2/3 innings, contributing to a three-game sweep by New York. While he secured a win in his last start against Colorado, Cease will need to be on his A-game against a Mets lineup that has been finding its stride.

Home Field Advantage at Petco Park

Despite their recent setback, the Padres have been dominant at home, with 22 wins in their last 32 games at Petco Park. The team has been feeding off the energy of their home crowd, a sentiment echoed by third baseman Manny Machado.

The Padres will need to harness that home-field energy as they face a Mets team that is gaining momentum at just the right time.

Series Implications

This series is crucial for both teams as they jockey for playoff positions in the National League. The Mets, just 1.5 games out of the final wild-card spot, need every win they can muster to close the gap with the Braves. Meanwhile, the Padres are focused on solidifying their standing in the wild-card race and regaining the momentum they lost against the Twins.

With Jesse Winker and Luis Severino leading the charge, the Mets have momentum on their side. However, the Padres’ strong home record and the boost they get from playing in front of their fans make this series highly anticipated and fiercely competitive. The outcome could play a significant role in shaping both teams’ postseason destinies.

Our lean would be to take the Padres to win straight-up over the Mets today, and we are also leaning towards taking the over. This game is projected to have the 4th most combined runs in today’s slate and the 4th most hits. San Diego starter Dylan Cease has the 4th best strikeout projection among today’s starters.