2024 NFL Week 17 Odds and Predictions

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We’ve reached Week 17, and the playoff race is reaching its boiling point. Every game feels like it carries postseason implications, whether it’s teams jockeying for better seeding or clinging to their playoff lives. From divisional showdowns to cross-conference battles, this week promises plenty of drama and excitement.

Below, you’ll find a complete table of odds for all the Week 17 matchups, followed by game-by-game analysis, predictions, and betting trends to help you make the most informed picks.

NFL Week 17 Schedule 

The Buffalo Bills enter Week 17 as the largest betting favorite at -470 to -525 odds. They also have the biggest spread at -10 to -11 points. The Philadelphia Eagles (-425) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-410) are right behind Buffalo as the next two betting favorites. As of now, the New York Jets are the only double-digit underdog as they play at Buffalo on Sunday.

NFL Week 17 Predictions

Let’s dive right into the NFL analysis and win ourselves some money, shall we?

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs travel to Pittsburgh to kick off Week 17 in a game with significant playoff implications. Kansas City is clinging to the No. 1 seed in the AFC and is heavily reliant on Patrick Mahomes, who is playing through an ankle injury. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers are trying to lock down the AFC North and return home after a tough loss last week to the Baltimore Ravens.

Mahomes didn’t seem bothered by his ankle injury last week against Houston. He completed 28 of 41 passes for 260 yards and a touchdown while adding 33 rushing yards and a score on the ground. With performances like that, he looks ready to roll as the season enters its final two weeks.

The Steelers are holding onto the top spot in the AFC North at 10-5, but their grip is tenuous. A loss this week, combined with a Ravens win over Houston on Christmas Day, would push Baltimore into first place heading into Week 18. Pittsburgh has dropped two straight, and with a tough Week 18 matchup against the surging Bengals looming, a win over Kansas City here feels like a must.

I have a habit of betting on Russell Wilson and the Steelers as underdogs, and this week is no different. With the short week of rest working in their favor and the added boost of home-field advantage, I think Pittsburgh is in a great spot to pull the upset here. One thing’s for sure—it’ll be a close game, as the Chiefs rarely do anything but play nail-biters. Still, I like the Steelers to steady the ship and get back in the win column.

Betting Trends:

• The Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as road favorites.
• The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• The total has gone under in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Steelers +3 (-115) – I think the Steelers will put some points on the board against what should be a fatigued KC defense.
• Moneyline: Steelers +136 – Pittsburgh is a good value bet at home.
• Total: Under 43.5 (-110) – Both defenses are solid, and points may be at a premium.

Final Score Prediction: Steelers 24, Chiefs 20
Best Bet: Steelers ML (+136)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Houston Texans Odds

The Baltimore Ravens took down the Steelers last week, while the Texans fell short in a hard-fought game against Kansas City. Adding to the pain for Houston was the loss of second-year wideout Tank Dell, who suffered a season-ending knee injury.

In response, the Texans claimed former Raven Diontae Johnson off waivers, but it’s unlikely he’ll suit up on such short notice. The Ravens enter this game as nearly a touchdown favorite in a marquee matchup featuring two of the AFC’s brightest young quarterbacks.

Lamar Jackson’s magical season keeps rolling. He’s now up to 37 touchdown passes with just 4 interceptions on the year, adding to his MVP-caliber resume. Jackson tossed 3 more touchdowns in last week’s win over the Steelers and has been particularly dominant on the road, with 21 touchdowns and just 1 interception in away games this season. He’ll need to stay hot if Baltimore hopes to take another step closer to overtaking the Steelers for the AFC North crown in this crucial matchup.

The Texans showed some fight last week against Kansas City, even in defeat. While they’ve already clinched the AFC South title, this game still carries significant weight for playoff seeding. C.J. Stroud will face a tough challenge without Tank Dell in the lineup, leaving Houston down two of its top three wide receivers. That puts added pressure on Nico Collins and Dalton Schultz to step up and fill the void in a game the Texans need to keep pace in the AFC race.

I think Houston can cover in this game, even if Baltimore ultimately claims the victory.

Betting Trends:

• The Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• The Texans are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 home games.
• The total has gone over in 5 of Baltimore’s last 6 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Texans +5.5 (-112) – The Texans should be able to keep pace against a Ravens defense that’s yielded some big plays this season.
• Moneyline: Ravens (-250) – In the end, Baltimore’s experience may be the difference in the game.
• Total: Over 46.5 (-108) – Expect Lamar and co. to light up the scoreboard.

Final Score Prediction: Ravens 34, Texans 31
Best Bet: Over 46.5 (-108)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears Odds

You want all the football? You got all the football. Thursday Night Football kicks off this week with an NFC showdown between the Seattle Seahawks and Bears in Chicago. Seattle is still very much in the playoff hunt, while Chicago is…well, still playing. So, hey, there’s that!

Geno Smith has quietly been one of the NFL’s most efficient quarterbacks this season, even as Seattle has dropped two straight following a four-game winning streak. The Seahawks have been in their fair share of close games, and this week sets up as a strong opportunity for the offense to get back on track. With Chicago’s defense struggling and lacking consistency, I like Seattle’s chances to move the ball effectively and put points on the board.

Chicago has been a slow-starting team all year, with their offense consistently dormant in the first half before showing some signs of life after halftime. Caleb Williams remains a work in progress, and it’s looking like Bears fans will have to wait until next season for this team to resemble anything competitive.

As for this matchup, I like the Seahawks to handle business on the road. They should win and cover against a Bears team that’s still finding its footing.

Betting Trends:

• The Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
• The total has gone under in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Seahawks -3.5 (-118) – Seattle should bounce back with a win against a weaker opponent.
• Moneyline: Seahawks (-192) – The Bears don’t have enough firepower to pull the upset.
• Total: Under 43.5 (-112) – Both teams could struggle to sustain drives.

Final Score Prediction: Seahawks 24, Bears 13
Best Bet: Seahawks -3.5 (-118)

Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots Odds

We’ve got a trio of Saturday games on deck, promising a full day of football action. It all kicks off with the New England Patriots, who came agonizingly close to pulling off a monumental upset in Buffalo last week.

Their task doesn’t get any easier as they welcome a Los Angeles Chargers team riding high after an impressive Thursday night home win over the Denver Broncos. It should make for an intriguing matchup to get the Saturday slate started.

New England has shown some fight at times this season, but this game carries far more weight for Justin Herbert and the Chargers. Even with the challenges of cross-country travel, I’d be surprised if LA let this opportunity slip away.

This feels like the kind of game the Chargers would’ve dropped under Brandon Staley, but Jim Harbaugh has brought a renewed sense of focus and discipline to the team. They understand the stakes and should be well-prepared to handle a lesser opponent like New England. Expect the Chargers to execute and take care of business.

Betting Trends:

• The Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as road favorites.
• The Patriots are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
• The total has gone under in 4 of New England’s last 5 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Chargers -4 (-112) – Los Angeles’ talent advantage should show up here.
• Moneyline: Chargers (-205) – New England’s offense won’t be able to keep up.
• Total: Under 42.5 (-110) – Expect a low-scoring affair, with the Chargers doing just enough.

Final Score Prediction: Chargers 24, Patriots 10
Best Bet: Chargers -4 (-112)

Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals Odds

The Denver Broncos and Bengals square off in Cincinnati in a clash between two AFC wild card hopefuls. Denver has exceeded expectations this season under Sean Payton, while Cincinnati has fallen short of preseason hype despite the usual brilliance from Joe Burrow.

That said, the Bengals’ playoff hopes aren’t entirely dashed just yet. If they manage to sneak into the postseason, they’ll be a team nobody wants to face. This matchup could be pivotal in determining whether they get that chance.

The Broncos have pulled off their fair share of upsets this season with Bo Nix under center, but keeping pace with Cincinnati will be a tall order if the Bengals’ offense is firing on all cylinders.

One of the game’s marquee matchups will be Ja’Marr Chase going up against Patrick Surtain II—a must-watch battle between two of the NFL’s best at their positions. Still, it’s tough to bet against Chase, who has proven time and again that he can find success against even the league’s top corners.

The spread suggests this one will be close, but I like Cincinnati to stay hot and keep their playoff hopes alive. Bet on the Bengals to win and cover on home turf against Denver.

Betting Trends:

• The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• The total has gone over in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 8 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Bengals -3.5 (-108) – Cincinnati’s offense has the firepower to pull away late.
• Moneyline: Bengals (-170) – Denver’s defense may struggle to keep Burrow in check.
• Total: Over 50 (-108) – Both offenses should find success in a high-scoring game.

Final Score Prediction: Bengals 31, Broncos 24
Best Bet: Bengals -3.5 (-108)

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams Odds

The Los Angeles Rams return home to face the Arizona Cardinals in a game that looks one-sided on paper. Los Angeles sits atop the NFC West after their impressive win in New Jersey last week, while Arizona continues to falter. Kyler Murray struggled in last week’s OT loss to Carolina, as the Arizona defense didn’t get enough stops to keep their playoff hopes alive.

The Cardinals were officially eliminated from playoff contention last week, but they’ll have a chance to play spoiler on Saturday night at SoFi Stadium against the NFC West-leading Rams.

Los Angeles comes into this one red hot, riding a four-game winning streak and firmly in control of their own destiny in the division. Interestingly, the Rams are 9-6 despite a negative 18-point differential—a statistical anomaly you don’t see very often.

I’m a bit hesitant about the Rams being heavy 6.5-point favorites at home, even with the Cardinals having little more than pride on the line. LA tends to find themselves in close games—they’ve only won twice this season by 10 or more points.

Adding to the concern is their last meeting with Arizona in Week 2, where the Rams were completely dismantled, losing 41-10 in Glendale. That memory makes it tough to feel overly confident in LA covering such a big number.

We’ll see if the Rams can get Cooper Kupp back on track this week. The future Hall of Famer has been unusually quiet, with just 3 catches for 24 yards over his last two games combined.

Puka Nacua has clearly emerged as Matthew Stafford’s go-to target, but don’t be surprised if LA makes a concerted effort to involve Kupp early. A focused game plan to reignite his production could go a long way in helping the Rams’ offense hit its stride.

Betting Trends:

• The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as underdogs.
• The Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as favorites.
• The total has gone over in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Cardinals +6 (-108) – Los Angeles is the better team, but the spread is a wide one.
• Moneyline: Rams (-285) – Arizona’s offense won’t be able to keep up.
• Total: Under 48 (-110) – The Rams’ defense should limit the Cardinals’ scoring.

Final Score Prediction: Rams 23, Cardinals 20
Best Bet: Cardinals +6 (-108)

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Odds

The Buffalo Bills are still mathematically in the hunt for the AFC’s top seed, chasing the Chiefs, though they nearly squandered their chances last week before rallying for a comeback win over the lowly Patriots.

This week, Buffalo will host a Jets team that has shown signs of improvement recently but has little to show for it in the win column. With the New York Jets essentially playing out the string, the Bills should be motivated to prove that last week’s shaky performance was nothing more than an outlier.

The Jets’ offense has shown enough in recent weeks to suggest they can keep this competitive, but I’d still be surprised if Buffalo lets them hang around. The Bills are on a mission to prove they’re not pretenders, and I expect them to take advantage of a banged-up Jets defense that’s been consistently gashed as of late. This feels like a get-right game for Buffalo.

Betting Trends:

• The Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against Buffalo.
• The Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home.
• The total has gone over in 4 of Buffalo’s last 6 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Bills -9.5 (-115) – Buffalo should dominate in every phase.
• Moneyline: Bills (-470) – The Jets don’t have the firepower to hang around.
• Total: Over 46 (-112) – The Bills could hit this number on their own.

Final Score Prediction: Bills 38, Jets 14
Best Bet: Bills -9.5 (-115)

Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Giants Odds

The Indianapolis Colts travel to MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants in a game with little at stake. Indianapolis remains mathematically alive for a wild card spot but has been wildly inconsistent all season. Anthony Richardson has continued to struggle under center, and the Colts’ offense has relied heavily on Jonathan Taylor to move the chains.

The Colts might be trash, but at 7-8, they’re somehow still in the hunt for an AFC wild card spot. While it’s becoming clear that Richardson isn’t the long-term solution at quarterback, it sure helps to have Taylor in the backfield.

Taylor is in the midst of a down year by his standards, but he reminded everyone of his potential with a monster performance in last week’s 38-30 win over the Titans. Taylor racked up 218 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns, delivering one of the most dominant showings we’ve seen from a running back all season.

Backing the Colts as 8-point favorites doesn’t feel great, but let’s be honest—the Giants are easily the worst team in the NFL right now. Indianapolis should win this one comfortably.

That said, it’s hard to trust the Colts given their overall unpredictability, which makes this one of my least favorite bets on the board. Sometimes the safest play is to steer clear entirely.

Betting Trends:

• The Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• The Giants are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games.
• The total has gone under in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these teams.

Predictions:

• Spread: Colts -8 (-108) – Indianapolis should have no trouble against this Giants team.
• Moneyline: Colts (-455) – A straightforward win for the superior squad.
• Total: Under 40.5 (-110) – Neither offense inspires much confidence.

Final Score Prediction: Colts 24, Giants 10
Best Bet: Colts -8 (-108)

Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds

The Dallas Cowboys were officially knocked out of NFC playoff contention last week, but that didn’t stop them from playing spoiler with an impressive home win over Tampa Bay.

This week presents a much tougher challenge, as they travel to Philadelphia to take on the dreaded Eagles as 9-point underdogs. Philly, now 12-3, saw their lengthy winning streak snapped in a thriller against Washington last week, and they’ll be eager to bounce back in front of their home crowd.

Jalen Hurts exited last week’s game in the first quarter with a concussion, but backup Kenny Pickett stepped in and performed surprisingly well.

The current spread suggests Vegas is confident that Hurts will be cleared to start this week, though he hasn’t officially been given the green light yet. If Pickett ends up getting the nod, you can expect the line to move further in Dallas’ favor—though the Eagles would likely still remain the favorites. Pickett completed 14 of his 24 passes for 143 yards and a touchdown, while Saquon Barkley was again the driving force for the Birds’ offense.

The Cowboys pulled off an upset win over the Panthers last week but will face a much stiffer test here. Cooper Rush has performed admirably in Dak Prescott’s absence, but Dallas lacks the firepower to match Philadelphia’s offensive output. I expect Hurts to suit up for this one, and the Eagles should enjoy a stress-free Sunday as a result against an overmatched opponent.

Betting Trends:

• The Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as underdogs.
• The Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
• The total has gone under in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Eagles -9 (-112) – Philadelphia’s rushing attack should control this one.
• Moneyline: Eagles (-425) – Dallas doesn’t have the weapons to compete.
• Total: Under 43 (-110) – Expect a methodical, low-scoring game.

Final Score Prediction: Eagles 27, Cowboys 13
Best Bet: Eagles -9 (-112)

Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ loss in Dallas last week was a costly one. Combined with the Falcons’ win over the Giants, Atlanta now sits in first place in the NFC South. Both teams are 8-7, so this division race is coming down to the wire.

Tampa Bay has an excellent opportunity to rebound at home against the Panthers, but Carolina has been surprisingly feisty after their dreadful start to the season. This one could be closer than expected.

Baker Mayfield has been lights out for Tampa Bay this season and continues to produce despite injuries to key players around him. Carolina, on the other hand, has struggled to put together complete games and will have a tough time keeping up with Tampa’s high-octane offense.

The last meeting between these teams was a nail-biter, with Tampa Bay pulling out a 26-23 overtime win in Charlotte back in November. That victory was fueled by big performances from Bucky Irving and Mike Evans, but Baker Mayfield’s two interceptions helped keep Carolina in the game. If the Buccaneers want to capitalize on this opportunity to grab a much-needed win, Mayfield will need to take better care of the football this time around.

Tampa Bay should come out on top in this one, but the spread feels too large. Carolina has been a pesky opponent in recent weeks, and the Buccaneers’ injuries could give the Panthers a better chance to keep things close.

Tampa wins outright, but Carolina covers the spread.

Betting Trends:

• The Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
• The Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 divisional games.
• The total has gone over in 7 of Tampa Bay’s last 10 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Panthers +8 (-108) – This spread is too wide!
• Moneyline: Buccaneers (-410) – Carolina won’t be able to keep pace.
• Total: Over 49.5 (-108) – This could turn into a high-scoring affair.

Final Score Prediction: Buccaneers 30, Panthers 24
Best Bet: Panthers +8 (-108)

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds

There’s not much to say about this one—nobody really needs this game. The Tennessee Titans will take care of business and get the win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Yay. Let’s all go home.

Betting Trends:

• The Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
• The Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• The total has gone under in 5 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Titans +1 (-110) – Both teams suck, might as well bet the ‘dog.
• Moneyline: Titans (+170) – The Jaguars are -205 favorites? They lost to the Raiders last week!
• Total: Under 41 (-110) – Points should be hard to come by.

Final Score Prediction: Titans 6, Jaguars 3
Best Bet: Titans ML (+170)

Las Vegas Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints Odds

This game somehow manages to be even worse. The New Orleans Saints became the first team this season to put up a goose egg, failing to score a single point on Monday night in Green Bay. Meanwhile, the Las Vegas Raiders actually won last week, which might end up sabotaging their chances at the No. 1 overall pick.

Honestly, there’s no way to confidently back either team here. But if you’re forcing me to pick, I’d lean toward Vegas.

Betting Trends:

• The Raiders are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• The Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• The total has gone under in 4 of the Raiders’ last 5 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Raiders +1 (+110) – Las Vegas has more upside offensively.
• Moneyline: Raiders (+105) – The Saints’ injuries will catch up to them.
• Total: Under 39.5 (-110) – Neither team inspires much confidence offensively.

Final Score Prediction: Raiders 5, Saints 0
Best Bet: Raiders +1 (+110)

Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns Odds

The Miami Dolphins and Cleveland Browns are two more teams with little to play for at this point. Miami still has faint playoff hopes at 7-8 following last week’s win over the 49ers, but their struggles in cold weather are well-documented.

A late December trip to Cleveland certainly isn’t ideal, yet the Dolphins are still favored by nearly a touchdown against a Browns team that’s essentially playing for pride. It’s hard to understand what Cleveland sees in Dorian Thompson-Robinson because, quite frankly, he hasn’t looked like the answer. The UCLA product went 20-for-34 for just 158 yards with two interceptions in last week’s blowout loss to Cincinnati.

DTR has yet to show much of anything when given the chance, so it’s tough to envision the Browns suddenly figuring things out offensively if he’s under center again on Sunday.

Even with Tua Tagovailoa’s well-documented struggles in cold weather, it’s hard to see the Dolphins losing this one. That said, it’s fair to expect the offense to be less explosive than usual, given the conditions.

With that in mind, I like the under here, even with the low total set in the 40s. This feels like a grind-it-out type of game.

Betting Trends:

• The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as favorites.
• The Browns are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.
• The total has gone under in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Dolphins -6.5 (-110) – Miami has too much talent for Cleveland to handle.
• Moneyline: Dolphins (-310) – The Browns’ offense will struggle to keep up.
• Total: Under 40 (-112) – Both offenses are going to drive the struggle bus in this one.

Final Score Prediction: Dolphins 14, Browns 7
Best Bet: Under 40 (-112)

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds

The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings square off in a pivotal NFC North battle. Green Bay has looked like one of the most complete teams in the league and is a dark horse contender to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. Minnesota, meanwhile, has been impressive in their own right, riding an 8-game winning streak into this critical game.

This should be a fun one. The Packers and Vikings both picked up key wins last week to keep pace with the Lions in what’s been the NFL’s most competitive division.

While Green Bay is unlikely to catch Minnesota in the standings with just two games left and a two-game deficit, they’re only 1.5-point underdogs on the road in this matchup. The Packers are riding high after demolishing the Saints on Monday night, while the Vikings earned an impressive road win in a tough environment against the Seahawks.

This season has been a showcase for running backs, and the Packers are certainly reaping the benefits of signing Josh Jacobs away from the Raiders. Jacobs has already surpassed 1,200 rushing yards and set a career high with 13 rushing touchdowns, adding to his total with another strong performance on Monday night against New Orleans.

Jacobs has now scored in six straight games, showcasing his consistency and impact. However, the Vikings are one of the few teams that managed to keep him out of the end zone this season, doing so during their Week 4 win at Lambeau Field. That sets up an intriguing rematch in this divisional showdown.

It’s tough to pinpoint a clear weakness in the Vikings right now, but I like the value on Green Bay as a slight road underdog. Opportunities to bet on the Packers in this position don’t come around often, so I’m jumping on the rare chance.

Give me Green Bay at +102 on the moneyline to edge out a close win outright.

Betting Trends:

• The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• The Vikings are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• The total has gone over in 6 of Minnesota’s last 8 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Packers +1.5 (-110) – This game should be close, so I’ll take the underdog in a coin flip.
• Moneyline: Packers (+102) – Betting is all about finding value, and I like the value on Green Bay as an underdog.
• Total: Over 49 (-110) – Both offenses are capable of putting up points.

Final Score Prediction: Packers 34, Vikings 30
Best Bet: Packers ML (+102)

Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders Odds

The Atlanta Falcons head to the nation’s capital to take on the Washington Commanders in a Sunday Night Football matchup with playoff implications. Atlanta is still in the hunt for the NFC South title but will need to overcome a strong Washington squad to stay alive. The Commanders, meanwhile, are battling for one of the final NFC wild card spots and are coming off a narrow win against Philadelphia last week.

The Falcons and Commanders both secured crucial wins last week to stay alive in the playoff race. Atlanta dominated the Giants, fueled by a pair of defensive touchdowns, while Jayden Daniels lit up the scoreboard for Washington, tossing five touchdown passes in a statement victory at home over the powerhouse Eagles.

Atlanta cruised to victory last week despite a quiet outing from rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr. in his NFL debut. Penix, who took over for the benched Kirk Cousins, threw for 240 yards but failed to record a touchdown pass in a favorable matchup against the Giants.

This week presents a tougher challenge, as he’ll face Marshon Lattimore and an improved Washington secondary. Adding to the difficulty is that this will be Penix’s first road start, providing a unique test for the first-year signal-caller.

This game has the potential to be an exciting matchup, but Jayden Daniels’ experience gives him the edge over fellow rookie Penix Jr. Add in Washington’s home-field advantage, and I like the Commanders to handle their business and come away with the win.

Betting Trends:

• The Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as underdogs.
• The Commanders are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
• The total has gone over in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Commanders -4 (-112) – Washington’s defense should keep Penix Jr. in check.
• Moneyline: Commanders (-192) – Home-field advantage is key in this one.
• Total: Under 47.5 (-112) – Expect a slower-paced, defense-driven game.

Final Score Prediction: Commanders 24, Falcons 17
Best Bet: Commanders -4 (-112)

Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds

This Monday Night Football game had a lot more intrigue on paper before the season began. In a rematch of last year’s NFC Championship Game, the Detroit Lions head to Santa Clara as slight favorites, favored by just over a field goal.

The San Francisco 49ers have faltered down the stretch, plagued by injuries and inconsistent play. Their loss to Miami last week officially ended their playoff hopes, putting them out of their misery in what has been a disappointing campaign for the reigning NFC champs.

The Lions rebounded nicely from their rare loss to Buffalo two weeks ago, with Jared Goff leading the way. Goff was sharp, tossing three touchdown passes in an easy win over Chicago.

With David Montgomery sidelined due to injury, Jahmyr Gibbs took on the bulk of the backfield duties and didn’t disappoint. The electric second-year back racked up 23 carries for 109 yards and a touchdown while adding 45 receiving yards on four catches. Gibbs has proven he can handle the workload, and the Lions will lean on him again this week.

Detroit will undoubtedly have last year’s playoff loss in this stadium fresh in their minds, and I expect them to come out and pile on against a reeling 49ers team. If there’s one thing Dan Campbell’s Lions excel at, it’s taking advantage of vulnerable opponents.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Detroit puts up 40 points in this one. The Lions are firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to demolish the downtrodden 49ers in convincing fashion.

Betting Trends:

• The Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games.
• The 49ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• The total has gone over in 5 of Detroit’s last 6 games.

Predictions:

• Spread: Lions -3.5 (-112) – Detroit’s offense should be too much for the banged-up 49ers.
• Moneyline: Lions (-198) – San Francisco’s recent struggles make this a tough spot.
• Total: Over 51 (-108) – Both teams have the firepower to push this number.

Final Score Prediction: Lions 44, 49ers 20
Best Bet: Lions -3.5 (-112)

Week 17 Best Bets

After a deep dive into the Week 17 slate, here are the top betting picks:

• Buffalo Bills -9.5 (-115): Buffalo’s offense should roll over the hapless Jets at home.
• Tennessee Titans ML (+170): Why are the Jaguars -210 favorites!?
• Detroit Lions -3.5 (-112): Detroit’s offensive firepower and San Francisco’s injuries make the Lions the better bet on Monday night.

A $100 parlay on these three bets would return approximately $855.80 if all three hit. You can play them individually for a safer approach or combine them into an NFL parlay for a bigger payout.