The Best NFL Player Props for Week 15

As Week 15 of the 2024 NFL season approaches, it’s time to evaluate some of the top player prop bets. With key matchups shaping playoff races and individual performances taking center stage, player props remain one of the most exciting and strategic ways to bet on football.

Here’s a breakdown of eight intriguing player props for Week 15, spanning passing, rushing, and receiving categories using odds from the best online sports betting sites.

NFL Player Prop Odds

Player	Prop Bet	Game
Brock Purdy	Under 247.5 Passing Yards (-110)	San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams
Cooper Rush	Over 210.5 Passing Yards (-115)	Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers
Russell Wilson	Over 193.5 Passing Yards (-115)	Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Caleb Williams	Over 208.5 Passing Yards (-110)	Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings
Chuba Hubbard	Under 79.5 Rushing Yards (-110)	Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas Cowboys
Puka Nacua	Under 87.5 Receiving Yards (-115)	Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers
Mike Williams	Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-110)	Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Tyler Lockett	Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-110)	Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers

This slate presents a mix of Overs and Unders, with value on both sides depending on matchups and trends. Below, we dive into analysis for each prop to highlight why they’re worth considering.

NFL Player Props Today

These Week 15 props are built around matchups, recent performance trends, and opportunities for value.

Brock Purdy – Under 247.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Matchup: San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams

Brock Purdy and the San Francisco 49ers will host the Los Angeles Rams in a crucial Thursday night showdown to kick off Week 15. San Francisco’s playoff hopes are hanging by a thread, but a win here could catapult them back into contention. Meanwhile, the Rams are just one game behind Seattle in the fiercely competitive NFC West, making this a high-stakes battle for both teams.

Purdy has had a rollercoaster season for the 49ers and now faces a Rams defense that has exceeded expectations this year. While the Rams struggled last week in a high-scoring win over Buffalo, the 49ers’ passing game has yet to hit its stride. Injuries to key players like Brandon Aiyuk and Christian McCaffrey have certainly been a factor, but this offense doesn’t resemble the dominant, explosive unit that took the league by storm last season.

Purdy shined earlier this season against the Rams, throwing for 292 yards and 3 touchdowns in a losing effort. However, he’s now dealing with an injury and has been held under 160 passing yards in two of his last three games. Divisional matchups are often gritty, lower-scoring affairs, and with the Rams’ familiarity with Purdy, you can expect them to come prepared with a strong game plan to limit his impact.

Purdy has fallen well short of this mark in 2 of his last 3 outings, and there may not be enough volume for him to hit this number. Take the under on Purdy’s passing yards prop.

Cooper Rush – Over 210.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Matchup: Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers

Cooper Rush has been serviceable, albeit unspectacular, since stepping in for the injured Dak Prescott. The Dallas Cowboys remain on the outskirts of the playoff race, and it would likely take a miracle for them to secure a spot. That said, this week’s matchup against the Carolina Panthers is a winnable one. However, it’s worth noting that the Panthers have been much more competitive in recent weeks compared to their sluggish start to the season.

Let’s be real—an over/under of 210.5 passing yards is a low bar for anyone going up against the Panthers. While Carolina has improved, they’re far from a shutdown defense. The Cowboys’ passing game has fallen short of expectations, but Cooper Rush still has weapons like CeeDee Lamb and Jake Ferguson to lean on. Rush has surpassed 210.5 passing yards in two of his last four outings, so hitting this mark is well within reach.

This game pits two underwhelming defenses against each other, creating some low-key shootout potential if both units struggle to contain yardage. The Panthers, in particular, have had trouble limiting opposing offenses all season, so it’s reasonable to expect Dallas to put points on the board. With that in mind, the over on 210.5 passing yards for Cooper Rush feels like the best and most obvious bet. Back Rush to go over 210.5 passing yards.

Russell Wilson – Over 193.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Russell Wilson has been a revelation for the Pittsburgh Steelers, playing a key role in Pittsburgh’s rise to the top of the AFC North. However, they face a tough challenge this week on the road against the red-hot Philadelphia Eagles, who are riding a nine-game winning streak. Despite Philadelphia’s dominance, the game is expected to be competitive, as reflected by the narrow 4.5-point spread.

The Eagles excel at controlling the clock with their run game, which means Pittsburgh, as underdogs, might not win the time-of-possession battle. However, if the Steelers fall behind, they’ll need Russell Wilson to air it out to keep them in the game. Thankfully, Pittsburgh’s passing attack has exceeded expectations this season, especially with both George Pickens and Mike Williams available to stretch the field and make big plays.

The Eagles’ defense has been stronger this year than it was last season, but they’ve shown some inconsistency in recent weeks. If Philadelphia jumps out to an early lead, don’t be surprised if the Steelers pivot away from the run game and lean heavily on Russ to mount a comeback through the air. Russ has at least 195 passing yards in all but one of his starts so far this season for the Black & Yellow.

Caleb Williams – Over 208.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Matchup: Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings

Speaking of underdogs, Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears are set for a tough road matchup against the Minnesota Vikings. Minnesota is fighting to keep pace with the Lions in the NFC North, while the Bears are simply trying to salvage some pride from what has been a disastrous season.

The Vikings’ defense has been formidable this season, but they’re far tougher against the run than the pass. For Chicago, the passing game has been noticeably better with Caleb Williams under center, especially as D’Andre Swift has struggled to find consistency on the ground. This feels like another game where the Bears are likely to fall behind early—a scenario that’s become all too familiar in recent weeks.

Caleb Williams has been posting impressive numbers lately, particularly in second halves when the Bears are battling back from significant deficits. A similar storyline wouldn’t be surprising in this game, especially if Minnesota builds an early lead and takes their foot off the gas in the second half. With plenty of garbage-time opportunities, Williams has the ability to rack up enough yardage to clear the 208.5 passing yards mark.

Take Williams to go over his passing yards total.

Chuba Hubbard – Under 79.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Matchup: Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas Cowboys

Chuba Hubbard has been a rare bright spot for the Panthers’ offense this season, earning himself a well-deserved contract extension. With rookie backup Jonathan Brooks now out for the season due to a devastating knee injury, Carolina will likely lean heavily on Hubbard to carry the offensive load for the remainder of the year.

The Cowboys haven’t been a top-tier run defense this season, but they did a solid job containing Chase Brown and the Bengals just last Monday. While Chuba Hubbard is capable of big performances, he’s been held under 79.5 rushing yards in five of his last seven games. Even as Carolina’s lead back, the Panthers rarely find themselves in situations where they can dictate the tempo or control the clock on the ground. More often than not, they’re playing from behind and forced to rely on the passing game.

That might not necessarily be the case in this matchup against the Cowboys, but this line feels inflated considering Chuba’s recent struggles to surpass this mark. Given his track record over the past few games, the under on 79.5 rushing yards for Carolina’s lead back looks like the smarter play.

Puka Nacua – Under 87.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Matchup: Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers

Puka Nacua is coming off one of the best performances of his young career, hauling in 12 of 14 targets for 162 yards and a touchdown in the Rams’ thrilling shootout win over Buffalo last week. Now, the Rams head north for a high-stakes divisional clash against the 49ers on Thursday night.

The 49ers’ defense may be dealing with injuries, but these teams know each other well. It would be surprising if San Francisco didn’t make a concerted effort to force anyone other than Puka to beat them. While Cooper Kupp has had his moments, he’s not quite the dominant force who led the NFL in receiving yards a couple of years ago. Expect the 49ers to focus heavily on Nacua, doing everything they can to limit his impact in this game.

This isn’t exactly a comfortable wager, given that Nacua has surpassed the 87.5 receiving yards mark in four of his last five games. However, a few factors work against him here. Durability has been a concern throughout his two years in the league, and the short week of rest heading into Thursday Night Football likely won’t do him any favors. Additionally, this game has a good chance of staying under its lofty total, which could limit Nacua’s opportunities. I’m willing to take a gamble and side with the under on Nacua’s receiving yards in this divisional showdown.

Take the under on Nacua’s receiving yards.

Mike Williams – Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Mike Williams isn’t exactly a high-volume target at this stage of his career. He’s on the Steelers’ roster primarily to stretch the field and provide Russell Wilson with a big red-zone option. So far this season, Williams has recorded just 16 catches for 234 yards and a touchdown while splitting time between the Jets and Steelers.

George Pickens missed last week’s game with a hamstring injury and hasn’t practiced to start the week ahead of this weekend’s matchup against the Eagles. If Pickens is sidelined again, Russell Wilson will need to lean more heavily on his secondary targets in the passing game. Williams saw a season-high four targets last week, finishing with three catches for 36 yards in the Steelers’ win over Cleveland. Van Jefferson, Calvin Austin, and Pat Freiermuth are also likely to see increased roles if Pickens remains unavailable.

This bet isn’t a bad flier regardless of Pickens’ status. Mike Williams is a big-play threat who can clear 21.5 receiving yards with just one catch. While I’d feel more confident in the over if Pickens sits, this total is low enough to take a shot on Williams even if Pickens suits up.

Tyler Lockett – Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Matchup: Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers

Tyler Lockett has had an outstanding career with the Seattle Seahawks, but this season he’s been relegated to the WR3 role behind DK Metcalf and rising star Jaxon Smith-Njigba. So far, Lockett has recorded 41 catches for 511 yards and two touchdowns. Much like Mike Williams, Lockett is primarily being used as a deep threat rather than a high-volume target in Seattle’s offense.

This week, the Seahawks host the Green Bay Packers in a matchup with some shootout potential. While Green Bay’s defense is decent, they’re particularly strong against the pass. The biggest concern with betting the over on Tyler Lockett’s receiving yards prop is his declining involvement in the offense. Lockett hasn’t seen more than three targets in a game since November 3, and he hasn’t attracted more than five targets in a single game since October 20.

Still, Lockett is another player who can clear his total with just one big play. If Seattle struggles to establish the run, they may have to lean more heavily on the passing game, which could boost Lockett’s opportunities. At just 22.5 receiving yards, this feels like a manageable number for the Seahawks’ shifty veteran. I like the over on this total for Lockett.

The Best Week 15 NFL Player Prop Parlay

Looking to maximize your payout in Week 15? Here’s a carefully curated 3-leg player prop parlay featuring favorable matchups and reliable trends:

• Cooper Rush – Over 210.5 Passing Yards (-115)
• Caleb Williams – Over 208.5 Passing Yards (-110)
• Chuba Hubbard – Under 79.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

This parlay offers a combined payout of approximately +600, meaning a $100 wager could return $700 total ($100 stake plus $600 in profit) if all three legs hit.

Each pick is built around matchup advantages, current form, and game script projections. Combining them into an NFL parlay is a great way to increase your upside for Week 15.