Ny Mets vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions September 3rd 2024

The Red Sox and Mets face off in an interleague matchup at 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field in New York, NY. Boston is 70-68, while the Mets have won five straight and are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 74-64.

New York comes into the game as the money line favorite, with the odds sitting at -127 compared to the Red Sox at +107. NESN will be televising this one, and the over/under line is currently 8 runs. David Peterson is starting for the Mets, while the Red Sox are going with Kutter Crawford.

Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-12 with an ERA of 4.12. Crawford’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .217 this season. Crawford has turned in 12 quality starts this year, and his ERA on the road is 4.64 compared to 4.12 at home. In his last outing, he gave up two earned runs and took the loss in 6 2/3 innings of work.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Boston has been one of the league’s best home run hitting teams this season and also have the league’s best team BABIP. As a team, they are batting .256, which is 5th in the league.

Jarren Duran has been hot of late, going 12/32 in his last eight games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .294 and is 3rd on the team with 21 homers. Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power threat this season, with 28 homers and 80 RBIs, both of which lead the team. Devers is also batting .281 for the season.

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Red Sox at home. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 8-1 with a 2.83 ERA. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32. Looking back at his last outing, Peterson finished with a no-decision against the Diamondbacks, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had gone 2-0 in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .233 this season off Peterson, and he has allowed a total of eight home runs.

Francisco Lindor has been on a tear of late for the Mets, going 7/23 in his last six games with two homers and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting .271 and leads the team with 81 RBIs. Pete Alonso also has 30 homers this season, which is 7th best in the league, but he is hitting just .240 and has struggled of late, going just 3/23 in his last six games.

As a team, the Mets are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .249, which is 10th in the league, and are 8th in slugging percentage. New York has been a good road team this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest.

Mets Seek Sixth Straight Win as Red Sox Struggle to Find Form

The New York Mets are on fire as they head into the second game of their three-game interleague series against the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday night. Riding high on a five-game winning streak, the Mets are laser-focused on securing their spot in the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are scrambling to snap out of a slump that has seen them drop three straight games.

Mets’ Pitching Staff Leading the Charge

The Mets’ recent surge is all about their pitching. Their starting rotation has been absolutely dominant, consistently delivering top-notch performances. On Monday night, Luis Severino became the latest Mets starter to shine, allowing just one run over seven innings to lead his team to a 4-1 victory over the Red Sox. This win propelled the Mets (74-64) within a half-game of the Atlanta Braves for the final National League wild-card spot.

During this five-game winning streak, Mets starters have combined for a stunning 1.44 ERA. The rotation, featuring David Peterson, Tylor Megill, Jose Quintana, and Sean Manaea, has been especially effective since the All-Star break, with Mets starters going at least seven innings a league-best 10 times.

Peterson vs. Crawford: The Pitching Matchup

On Tuesday, the Mets will send left-hander David Peterson (8-1, 2.83 ERA) to the mound. Peterson has been in excellent form lately, pitching at least seven innings in each of his last three starts while posting a solid 2.11 ERA over that span. In his most recent outing, Peterson allowed just two runs over seven innings in a no-decision against the Arizona Diamondbacks, a game the Mets eventually won 3-2.

Peterson also has a decent track record against the Red Sox, holding a 1-1 record with a 3.38 ERA in four career appearances (two starts) against them. Notably, he made his Major League debut against Boston on July 28, 2020, earning the win by allowing two runs over 5 2/3 innings in an 8-3 Mets victory.

The Red Sox will counter with right-hander Kutter Crawford (8-12, 4.12 ERA). Crawford has had a rollercoaster season and is coming off a loss in his last start, where he allowed two runs over 6 2/3 innings in a 2-0 defeat against the Toronto Blue Jays. In his only career appearance against the Mets on July 21, 2023, Crawford gave up four runs over four innings in a 5-4 loss.

Red Sox Slumping at the Wrong Time

The Boston Red Sox (70-68) are hitting a rough patch at the worst possible time. Their offense has been sputtering, scoring four runs or fewer in 11 of their last 15 games—a stretch where they’ve gone 5-10. To make matters worse, they’ve managed just three runs total in their last three games, marking their lowest three-game output since early May.

These offensive struggles couldn’t have come at a worse time for Boston as they chase down the Kansas City Royals for the final American League wild-card spot. Even with the Royals on a six-game losing streak of their own, they remain 4 1/2 games ahead of the Red Sox.

Mets Eyeing a Strong Finish, Red Sox Desperate for a Turnaround

As the Mets aim to extend their winning streak to six games and tighten their grip on a playoff spot, they’ll be counting on the continued dominance of their starting pitchers and the growing confidence of their hitters. On the other hand, the Red Sox are in desperate need of a turnaround to keep their postseason hopes alive. With David Peterson taking the mound for New York and Kutter Crawford trying to stop the bleeding for Boston, Tuesday’s game is shaping up to be a pivotal matchup for both teams.

Need a pick for today’s Red Sox and Mets matchup? We would be leaning toward the Red Sox to pick up the win. We also are projecting this to be the 4th highest-scoring game of the day and are leaning toward the over. Boston comes into this one with our highest team hits projection and 2nd highest team runs projection. Looking at today’s starters, we have David Peterson as the 8th best strikeout option compared to Kutter Crawford (10th).