The Best Week 3 NFL Underdog Picks 

Last week was a good one for my NFL underdog picks. If you rolled with my exact bets, you would have had a shot at a nice day, as my upset plays went 3-1 overall.

Trying to put them all together for a big parlay didn’t go as well, so hopefully you took my advice and targeted those picks individually.

More winning could arrive in week three, where there is some nice value to be soaked up at the top NFL betting sites. As always, be sure to pick and choose which of my week three NFL underdog picks you like the most, and if you want to go for it all, consider doing a parlay.

I’ve already spotted some awesome plays, and it’s a good idea to get ahead of the pricing now if you can. With that, here are my top NFL underdog picks for Week 3.

NFL Week 2 Underdog Picks

The best sports betting sites have odds up now, but the following are my favorite upset picks:

Team	Spread	Moneyline
Los Angeles Chargers	+1.5 (-105)	+110
Miami Dolphins	+5.5 (-110)	+210
Green Bay Packers	+3 (-115)	+135
New England Patriots	+5.5 (-110)	+215

I highly suggest shopping for the best week three NFL odds you can find, but I still stand behind each of these NFL underdog picks.

There are differing levels of confidence with some as opposed to others, but they’re all worth a shot. I’d also suggest betting on NFL upsets individually, rather than stacking them all in one parlay.

That said, I’ll show you later on this page that a week 3 NFL parlay does look appealing, along with a look at what your payout might be.

But why should you bet on these NFL underdogs in week 3? I’ll break each bet down to let you know why they all could be wagers worth chasing.

Los Angeles Chargers (+110) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-130)

This is not an easy game to bet on, as we still don’t know the status of star Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert. The good news is he got X-rays on his ankle and the scans came back negative.

Herbert could still miss this one, but I’d say it’s likely a 50/50 call. If he’s out I’d sour on L.A. a good deal, but I’d also imagine their odds would spike to the point that I’d still have cursory interest.

After all, is anyone super confident that Justin Fields can keep playing well? Or are we seriously betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers to comfortably get to 3-0 to start the 2024 NFL season?

Of the two teams involved here, the Bolts are the squad I’d bet can get to 3-0. Their defense has looked fantastic under new head coach Jim Harbaugh, and J.K. Dobbins has kicked off what has the makings of quite the redemption tour.

Even without Herbert, the Chargers should be able to corral Justin Fields on defense, while Dobbins could be let loose on the ground. The often injured running back is slowly regaining his old form, dropping two 100+ yard rushing efforts in the team’s first two contests.

Ultimately, I just trust the Chargers to get the job done more than I trust the Steelers. Here’s to hoping Herbert doesn’t sit this one out.

Miami Dolphins (+5.5) vs. Seattle Seahawks (-5.5)

Next up are the Miami Dolphins, who will be without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) for week three after suffering the injury on Thursday Night Football. He could be out quite a while. Heck, considering this is his fourth known concussion in the NFL, retirement isn’t an impossibility.

Back to the here and now, though. The Fins won’t have their normal dude under center, and a move to add Tyler Huntley to the roster recently hammers that notion home.

While less than ideal, Miami has a solid spread we can take advantage of here. Skyler Thompson figures to slide in and take over the offense, and he was serviceable in previous similar instances when Tagovailoa missed time.

Do I feel amazing about Thompson or the fact that Tua isn’t running the offense? No, but I do like the fact that the Dolphins have a lot to play for, have a good head coach, and still have a bunch of explosive weapons on offense.

The Seattle Seahawks don’t appear to be chumps, for what it’s worth. They’re off to a nice 2-0 start, and sports bettors have to respect that to a certain degree. However, I often find it difficult to trust Geno Smith, and it’s possible Seattle will be down top rusher Kenneth Walker II for a second straight game.

Seattle could have an injury issue of their own, while their defense will still be tasked with slowing down impossible assignments such as Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and De’Von Achane.

Let’s not forget that the Seahawks have beaten the Denver Broncos and New England Patriots so far – and barely. Getting to 2-0 isn’t nothing, but this might be a spot where a Tua-less Miami team can do just enough to snag a much-needed win.

Green Bay Packers (+135) vs. Tennessee Titans (-160)

Apparently I have a lust for risk, as I am digging yet another team with quarterback problems. The Green Bay Packers just completed a masterful job of winning with Malik Willis under center, and it remains to be seen if they’ll be forced to go another week without the services of Jordan Love.

Love has a better chance to get out there and play than he did last week, but based on what Willis was able to do, I’m not even sure I’m that concerned. Josh Jacobs went off as a rusher for Green Bay, and had he not fumbled at the goal-line, they may have coasted to a win over the Indianapolis Colts.

Their ground game, Willis playing mistake-free football, and a stellar defensive showing combined to give the Packers the leg up on the visiting Colts. I don’t see why they can’t do that again, even on the road against the Tennessee Titans.

Tennessee is 0-2 so far, and starting quarterback Will Levis seems to make a boneheaded play every time he touches the field. He was responsible for a collapse in week one against the Chicago Bears, and he wasn’t much better last week in a loss to the New York Jets.

The presence of Levis is a massive reason why I don’t mind trusting in the green and gold in week three.

Oh, and there’s a fun narrative in play here; Malik Willis heads home to take on the very team that drafted him and eventually traded him to Green Bay. Think he’ll be motivated to help his new squad get the win?

New England Patriots (+5.5) vs. New York Jets (-5.5)

My last NFL underdog pick for week three has the New England Patriots keeping things close when they face the rival New York Jets.

The Pats executed their game plan perfectly in a 16-10 week one win over the Cincinnati Bengals, illustrating that they can hang with just about anyone. They leaned hard on their defense and Rhamondre Stevenson dominating on the ground, and it paid off.

Things didn’t go quite as well last week, but they still took the aforementioned Seahawks to overtime and could easily be undefeated right now.

I won’t be singing praises to the Pats offensively, but if they can avoid mistakes, run the ball, and play decent defense, they should keep this game close.

On the other side is Gang Green, who got slapped around by the San Francisco 49ers in week one, and then barely handled the Titans last week.

Aaron Rodgers has flashed greatness and is an upgrade over Zach Wilson, but to this point it hasn’t been all that sizable. I do think that gap widens in due time, but considering how well the Pats have played so far, I wouldn’t be shocked if it was more tough sledding for the Jets offense.

New York should win, but the Pats keeping it within five points doesn’t feel like a reach at all.

Week 3 NFL Underdog Parlay

• Los Angeles Chargers +135
• Miami Dolphins +5.5 (-110)
• Green Bay Packers +135
• New England Patriots +5.5 (-110)

As noted, if there is one week 3 NFL underdog pick I am not quite as confident in, it’d be the Patriots game. I still like it for chasing value, but that pick is one reason why parlaying this week’s upset plays might not be the best idea.

Still, I like all of these NFL upset betting picks, and you can get a nice win if they hit together.

Bovada is the site where I pulled the NFL odds from for week three, and this parlay nets you $1,698.62 if you risk $100.

Want to go bolder? You can bet the moneyline on all four games and that payout would turn into an astronomical $4,719.03.

The risk is far greater, but weak money doesn’t make money, am I right? For more parlay cards, check out our Best Week 3 NFL Parlay Picks.

Best NFL Underdog Picks For Week 3

There you have it, some rock solid week 3 NFL underdog picks to consider betting on. I’d go after them all individually, but a full parlay and attacking all four moneyline is on the table.

Also, be sure to look around for the best possible prices. I snagged the lines from Bovada, but especially when you start talking about specific games, the odds could absolutely be more appealing elsewhere.

This is honestly not the greatest week for picking NFL upsets. Most of the games I am taking on have major injury concerns, and across the board, there are a lot of unwelcoming point spreads.

Beyond these four NFL upset picks, I might stick with the favorites this week. Hopefully my top underdog plays serve you well. Good luck!ets. Whatever you do, just make sure you get the best price possible and make an informed decision.