Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Predictions September 8th 2024

At 2:10 PM ET, the Rockies and Brewers square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -273. The Rockies are +223 on the money line, and they are 53-90 this season, which has them 5th in the NL West.

Today’s over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSWI will be sending Freddy Peralta to the mound vs. the Rockies, who are starting Kyle Freeland.

Colorado vs. Milwaukee Key Information

• Teams: Rockies at Brewers
• Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
• Date: Sunday, September 8th
• Betting Odds MIL -273 | COL +223 O/U 8

The Rockies Can Win If…

Kyle Freeland is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Braves, as he gets the start for the Rockies today. In that September 3rd start, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Looking back further, Freeland has given up at least two earned runs in each of his last four outings. The left-hander has a record of 4-7 this season and an ERA of 5.30. Opposing batters are hitting .285 off Freeland this season. Out of his 17 starts, Freeland has eight quality starts and is averaging 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

Michael Toglia leads the Rockies with 23 home runs this season but is batting just .218 so far. He has also struggled of late, going just 3/16 in his last five games. Toglia has gone deep twice over that stretch and has four RBIs. Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are tied for the team lead in batting average and have 22 homers apiece.

As a team, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game and are batting .242, which is 12th in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .304 is 20th in the MLB. Colorado is one of the league’s worst teams in terms of strikeouts and walks. So far, they are averaging 9 strikeouts per game (28th) and are 24th in walks.

• The Rockies are 4-6 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Rockies are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• Colorado has an over/under record of 2-8 in their last ten games.
• The Rockies have an average of 2.0 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Rockies are 3-7
• Looking back across the Rockies last five games as the favorite, they are 1-4
• Colorado has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Rockies have averaged 2.6 runs per game on offense

The Brewers Can Win If…

Freddy Peralta will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Cardinals. In that September 2nd start, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and he had three strikeouts. Looking back over his last four outings, Peralta has allowed two homers in three of those starts. His ERA for the season is 3.75, along with a record of 10-7. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is 1.20. This year, he has made 28 starts, 11 of which were quality starts.

William Contreras has been the Brewers’ top hitter this season, batting .278 with 21 homers and 82 RBIs. Willy Adames has also been a key run producer for the Brewers, as he is 3rd in the league with 101 RBIs and has gone deep 30 times this season. Adames is also on a nice stretch at the plate, going 9/33 (.273) with five homers in his last eight games.

Overall, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .251 and are among the league leaders in walks and on-base percentage.

• The Brewers are 6-4 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Brewers are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• Milwaukee has an over/under record of 4-5-1 in their last ten games.
• The Brewers have an average of 4.4 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Brewers are 6-4
• Looking back across the Brewers last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
• Milwaukee has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Brewers have averaged 5.9 runs per game on offense

The Milwaukee Brewers got back on track with a 5-2 victory over the Colorado Rockies on Saturday, avoiding what could have been their first four-game losing streak of the season. Now, both teams head into Sunday’s series finale with one goal in mind: end this series with a win.

Brewers Command the NL Central

The Brewers (82-60) are sitting comfortably atop the National League Central with a commanding 10-game lead and just 20 games left in the season. Unless something dramatic happens, Milwaukee is on its way to the postseason. After bouncing back from a 3-2 loss in the series opener, the Brewers will hand the ball to right-hander Freddy Peralta (10-7, 3.75 ERA) to close things out.

Peralta, known for his strikeout ability, has been a consistent performer against the Rockies throughout his career, posting a 3-1 record with a 3.41 ERA in six appearances (five starts). But this game is extra special for Freddy, as it continues a unique family reunion. His younger brother, Luis Peralta, who made his major league debut with the Rockies this season, got the final two outs in Saturday’s game. The brothers even had the chance to exchange lineups before the game, creating a memorable moment for the Peralta family.

Freddy had nothing but praise for his brother: “He’s got better stuff than me—way better,” he joked. “His fastball is really something, and he can use it in so many different ways. Plus, he’s got that slider and cutter to mix things up.”

Luis could see action again on Sunday if the Rockies need him in relief, especially if Colorado’s starter, Kyle Freeland (4-7, 5.30 ERA), has trouble with his ongoing blister issues.

Freeland Battling Blister Troubles

Freeland has been dealing with blisters on his pitching hand for the past month, which has disrupted his ability to stay in games. He’s been forced out of three recent starts due to the issue, including his last outing on Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves. Despite the challenge, Freeland managed to pitch five solid innings, giving up just two runs (one earned) in a 3-0 loss.

Freeland has had success against Milwaukee in the past, boasting a 4-2 record with a 2.36 ERA in seven career starts against the Brewers. However, his performance on Sunday will depend largely on how well he can manage his blister issues.

Rockies Face Potential Loss of Defensive Star

Adding to the Rockies’ challenges is the potential absence of standout center fielder Brenton Doyle, who injured his left hand while making a spectacular diving catch on Saturday. Doyle’s injury affected his ability to grip the bat, forcing the Rockies to sub in Sam Hilliard.

Doyle has been one of the best defensive outfielders in the National League, and losing him for Sunday’s game would be a tough blow for Colorado’s defense.

What to Watch For

With the series on the line, Sunday’s game is shaping up to be a must-watch. Here’s what to keep an eye on:

• Freddy Peralta’s Strikeout Power: Peralta has been Milwaukee’s strikeout ace all season. Can he continue his dominance and guide the Brewers to another win as they march toward the postseason?
• Kyle Freeland’s Blister Issue: Freeland has been dealing with blister problems for weeks now. How long will he be able to last on the mound, and can he give the Rockies a fighting chance?
• Peralta Family Reunion: The family storyline adds a unique layer of excitement. Will Luis Peralta get another chance to face his brother Freddy’s team in Sunday’s game?

The Brewers are riding high and aiming to keep their momentum rolling as they gear up for the postseason, while the Rockies are looking to play spoiler and gain valuable experience for their young players.

Brewers Seek Series Win, Rockies Play Spoiler

As the Brewers look to lock down a series victory and continue their march toward the postseason, the Rockies are hoping to put a stop to Milwaukee’s momentum and salvage the series. Freddy Peralta’s strikeout power, Kyle Freeland’s blister management, and the potential absence of Brenton Doyle will all be key factors in Sunday’s game. With playoff implications for Milwaukee and pride on the line for Colorado, this series finale promises plenty of excitement.

The Lean

Our lean for an over/under pick would be to take the over, as we have this as the 5th lowest-scoring game of the day. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we have our lean on the Rockies to pick up the win. Colorado’s offense is projected to have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league today, and Freddy Peralta has the 3rd best strikeout projection among today’s starters.