2023 Valero Texas Open Odds and Picks

The Valero Texas Open is next up for the PGA Tour and it’s the final tournament before the Masters. The big question for many is if Rickie Fowler can win this event, so he can make his way back to Augusta next week. He’s among the favorites as he comes in at +1800 along with Corey Conners. Fowler has worked his way back up the OWGR list and is now sitting at No. 59 following the Dell Match Play event.

He’s worked through some rough times with his swing and seems to be getting things back on track. This is a perfect time for Fowler to grab a win as many of the top-ranked golfers are taking a week off. That means the field is a nice mix of top players with plenty of value picks further down the odds list.

PGA Betting Sites

The Valero Texas Open was won last year by J.J. Spaun who outpaced Matt Jones and Matt Kuchar. Spaun went 13-under and won by two strokes over the dual Matts! That’s an important stat when it comes to TPC San Antonio – Oaks Course. This event has ended with the winner going past ten-under overall eight of the last ten times. The last playoff happened in 2009.

Here are the favorites to win the 2023 Valero Texas Open outright:

Tyrrell Hatton +1200

Corey Conners +1800

Rickie Fowler +1800

Si-Woo Kim +2000

Hideki Matsuyama +2200

Speaking of playoffs at the Texas Open, that has happened only six times going back to 1991. The strongest win at TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open happened when Corey Conners went 20-under in 2019. Still, he only won by two strokes over Charley Hoffman.

Golf Live Betting Guide

2023 Valero Texas Open Preview

Where: San Antonio, Texas

Course: TPC San Antonio – Oaks Course

Format: Stroke Play

Par: 72

Length: 7,435

When: March 30 – April 2nd 2023

Purse: $8.9 Million.

TV Coverage: NBC/Golf/Peacock/ESPN+

The fairways at the Oaks are a mix of tight tree-lined and wide open, all focusing on hitting second-shot target areas that are protected by tall natural grass roughs. Elevation changes are slight but there are several holes where a ball can get some added roll off the tee. As always, there may be some need to adjust to the winds that are common here.

The greens run medium to large with several false fronts and terraces. Many of them go from putting surface to traditional rough and then natural grass in only a few feet. A misplayed approach shot could be disastrous. Wedges will once again be a major player this week!

PGA Statistics

2023 Valero Texas Open Predictions

Corey Conners +1800

Corey Conners won this event in 2019 and has played well here over the years. In his 2019 win, he went 20-under with a two-stroke victory. You have to go back to 2003 to Tommy Armour III’s win of 26 under to beat Conners mark. He seems to have a knack for knowing how to play the wind at this course and is great at hitting fairways in the right spot.

Matt Kuchar +2800

Matt Kuchar scored another top-ten last week at the Dell Match Play event. Kuchar plays well on this course as he’s never missed the weekend at this event. He has not slowed down since turning 40 and seems to be in a grove. Kuchar is 11th on Tour in approaches (200 yards) which explains his great play around the greens. All Kuchar needs are four days with a hot putter.

Chris Kirk +2800

Chris Kirk locked in his trip to Augusta by winning at PGA National a few weeks ago so there is not any added pressure on him to perform this week. Kirk is always strong at TPC San Antonio. He’s made the weekend in four of six outings here since 2016 with two finishes inside the top ten. Kirk has had a nice stroke with his putter recently which means he could add to his birdie numbers on the Oaks Course.

Others I Like: I want to go with Rickie Fowler (+1800) and may do so after a look at his practice rounds this week. Fowler has pressure, real or imagined, to win so he can return to the Masters. Luke List (+9000) is always a threat with his putter which is a high-value club when playing the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio.

3-Ball Betting PGA

2023 Valero Texas Open Betting Lines

Tyrrell Hatton +1200

Corey Conners +1800

Rickie Fowler +1800

Si-Woo Kim +2000

Hideki Matsuyama +2200

Taylor Montgomery +2500

Davis Riley +2500

Matt Kuchar +2800

Chris Kirk +2800

JJ Spaun +3300

Alex Noren +4000

Ben Griffin +4000

Ryan Fox +4000

Cam Davis +4000

Christiaan Bezuidenhout +4500

Brendon Todd +4500

Thomas Detry +4500

Matt Wallace +4500

Nicolai Hojgaard +5000

Sam Ryder +5000

Andrew Putnam +5000

Aaron Rai +5000

Adam Schenk +5000

Taylor Pendrith +5000

Alex Smalley +5500

Davis Thompson +6000

Nick Taylor +6000

Will Gordon +6600

Byeong-Hun An +7000

Sepp Straka +7000

Beau Hossler +7000

Patrick Rodgers +7000

Ben Martin +7000

Emiliano Grillo +7500

S.H. Kim +8000

Sam Stevens +8000

Robby Shelton +8000

Brandon Wu +8000

Padraig Harrington +8000

Francesco Molinari +8000

Lanto Griffin +9000

Trey Mullinax +9000

Luke List +9000

Hayden Buckley +9000

Garrick Higgo +9000

Patton Kizzire +9000

David Lingmerth +9000

Eric Cole +10000

Nick Hardy +10000

Nate Lashley +10000

Joseph Bramlett +10000

Charley Hoffman +10000

Kramer Hickok +10000

Kazuki Higa +10000

Mark Hubbard +10000

Lucas Glover +10000

Austin Eckroat +10000

Kevin Streelman +10000

Ryan Palmer +10000

Lee Hodges +10000

Tyler Duncan +10000

Erik Van Rooyen +10000

Matthew Nesmith +10000

M-J Daffue +12500

Michael Kim +12500

Harry Hall +12500

Adam Long +12500

Doug Ghim +12500

Akshay Bhatia +12500

Ben Taylor +12500

Scott Piercy +12500

Pierceson Coody +12500

Martin Laird +12500

Dylan Frittelli +12500

Vincent Norrman +15000

Matthias Schwab +15000

Chesson Hadley +15000

Austin Smotherman +15000

Cameron Champ +15000

Callum Tarren +15000

Stewart Cink +15000

Troy Merritt +15000

Augusto Nunez +17500

Andrew Novak +17500

Justin Lower +17500

Greyson Sigg +17500

Michael Thompson +17500

Peter Malnati +17500

Chad Ramey +17500

Kevin Chappell +17500

Ryan Gerard +20000

Kevin Tway +20000

Ryan Moore +20000

Ryan Armour +20000

Harry Higgs +20000

Henrik Norlander +20000

Doc Redman +20000

Carl Yuan +20000

Russell Knox +20000

Zac Blair +20000

Tano Goya +25000

Matti Schmid +25000

Nicolas Echavarria +25000

Brent Grant +25000

Austin Cook +25000

Brice Garnett +25000

James Hahn +25000

Ze-Cheng Dou +30000

Paul Haley +30000

Carson Young +30000

Cole Hammer +30000

Chez Reavie +30000

Luke Donald +30000

Harrison Endycott +30000

Kevin Roy +35000

Jason Dufner +35000

Andrew Landry +35000

Trevor Werbylo +40000

Richy Werenski +40000

Michael Gligic +40000

Scott Harrington +40000

Ricky Barnes +40000

Robert Streb +40000

Trevor Cone +50000

Brandon Matthews +50000

Kyle Westmoreland +50000

Roberto Diaz +50000

Kelly Kraft +50000

Brian Stuard +50000

Kyle Stanley +50000

Jimmy Walker +50000

Max McGreevy +50000

Jim Herman +50000

J.B. Holmes +50000

Chandler Phillips +75000

Brian Gay +75000

Nick Watney +75000

Davis Love III +100000

Jesse Mueller +200000

JJ Wood +200000