Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Predictions September 13th 2024

The money line odds for Friday’s matchup between the Brewers and Diamondbacks have the Brewers at -105 compared to the Diamondbacks at -114. This one is getting started at 9:40 PM ET from Chase Field in Phoenix. Eduardo Rodriguez is starting for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing off against Freddy Peralta for the Brewers. Milwaukee is currently 1st in the NL Central, while the Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West.

Arizona comes into the game on a three-game winning streak, and they are 82-64 overall. Milwaukee is 84-62 and has Freddy Peralta on the mound on Friday. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and BSWI is carrying this game on TV.

Before placing any bets, ensure you review our comprehensive MLB Betting Guide to make informed decisions.

Milwaukee vs. Arizona Key Information

• Teams: Brewers at Diamondbacks
• Where: Chase Field Phoenix
• Date: Friday, September 13th
• Betting Odds ARI -114 | MIL -105 O/U 8.5

The Brewers Can Win If…

Freddy Peralta gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. So far this season, he has made 29 starts and has a record of 10-8 to go along with an ERA of 3.81. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his last outing, Peralta took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. One positive note for Peralta is that he has allowed just two earned runs in each of his last three outings. This season, he has allowed a total of 25 home runs.

William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/26 in his last eight games with one homer and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .280 with 21 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Willy Adames has a team-high 30 homers and is 4th in the league with 102 RBIs.

As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .249 (9th) and have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league. Milwaukee’s offense is also 2nd in the league in walks.

• The Brewers are 4-6 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Brewers are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• Milwaukee has an over/under record of 3-7 in their last ten games.
• The Brewers have an average of 2.8 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Brewers are 7-3
• Looking back across the Brewers last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
• Milwaukee has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Brewers have averaged 5.8 runs per game on offense

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

The Diamondbacks are sending Eduardo Rodriguez to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 5.83. In his last outing, Rodriguez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work vs. the Astros. He has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .287 off Rodriguez this year. Looking back at his last six outings, Rodriguez has allowed at least one homer in four of those starts. So far, he has a WHIP of 1.53.

Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They are also the league’s top home run hitting team and have the best team on-base percentage and slugging percentage in the league. The Diamondbacks have also been strong in terms of putting the ball in play, as they have the league’s 4th best BABIP.

Over his last nine games, Eugenio Suarez has been on fire for the Diamondbacks, going 17/33 with six homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .256 with 28 homers and 92 RBIs. Ketel Marte has been a key run producer for the Diamondbacks, as his 85 RBIs is 2nd on the team, and he is batting .295 with 31 homers.

You can always refer to the current MLB Odds to stay up to date with the latest betting lines.

• The Diamondbacks are 6-4 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Diamondbacks are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• Arizona has an over/under record of 8-2 in their last ten games.
• The Diamondbacks have an average of 7.4 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Diamondbacks are 7-3
• Looking back across the Diamondbacks last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• Arizona has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Diamondbacks have averaged 6.6 runs per game on offense

The Lean

Our lean for a money line pick in this Brewers vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks to come out on top. We also have this as the 8th highest-scoring game of the day and are leaning towards taking the over. Eduardo Rodriguez is our 8th ranked starting pitcher in terms of strikeouts, and he has the 3rd best projections on the board in terms of earned runs allowed.

D-backs Ready to Stay Hot Against Brewers in Series Opener

The Arizona Diamondbacks are on fire after a dominant offensive stretch, and they’re ready to keep the heat on as they kick off a three-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers this Friday night. Arizona’s recent run of success at the plate combined with Milwaukee’s impressive rookie star sets the stage for an exciting matchup between two teams fighting for postseason positioning. Both squads have plenty at stake, making this game a crucial battle.

Arizona Diamondbacks: On Fire and Looking to Stay Hot

The Diamondbacks’ offense is scorching, putting up 32 runs in their last three games alone. Arizona (82-64) currently leads the National League Wild Card race by a narrow half-game over the San Diego Padres, and they’re hungry to keep their spot — or even widen the gap — as they face Milwaukee.

In their most recent series, Arizona dominated the Texas Rangers, sweeping a two-game set capped off by a 14-4 blowout win. The Diamondbacks’ bats were electric, racking up 13 extra-base hits, including five home runs. Eugenio Suarez led the charge, smashing two homers, while Ketel Marte added another, bringing his team-leading total to 31 home runs.

Suarez has been a revelation, going an incredible 19-for-38 (.500) with seven home runs in September alone. Coming into July with only six homers, the 32-year-old has now boosted his season total to 28. His ability to come through in big moments has given the Diamondbacks a crucial offensive lift during this all-important stretch.

“We’re firing on all cylinders, but it’s not just about the home runs,” said manager Torey Lovullo. “It’s about disciplined at-bats, waiting for our pitch, and passing the baton to the next guy. That’s what’s making us dangerous.”

Randal Grichuk has also been a key contributor, hitting his 200th career home run during their Texas series. As the Diamondbacks return home to Phoenix, the plan is simple: keep the offense rolling as they go up against Milwaukee’s tough pitching staff.

Milwaukee Brewers: Rookie Star Power and a Dependable Pitcher

The Brewers (84-62) have a comfortable nine-game lead in the NL Central, but they’ve hit a rough patch, dropping five of their last seven games before a 3-0 win against the San Francisco Giants on Thursday. Despite this recent slump, Milwaukee has been consistent all season, and their lead in the division reflects that.

One of the biggest stories in Milwaukee this year has been rookie sensation Jackson Chourio, who made history on Thursday by becoming the youngest player in MLB history (20 years, 185 days) to hit 20 home runs and steal 20 bases in a season. His opposite-field homer helped seal the Brewers’ win over the Giants, and his all-around skills have been a huge boost for Milwaukee’s offense.

“It’s incredible,” said Brewers manager Pat Murphy. “He’s such a special player, and no moment seems too big for him. Watching him grow and contribute like this is something special.”

On the mound, the Brewers will look to Freddy Peralta (10-8, 3.81 ERA) to slow down Arizona’s red-hot offense. Peralta has been lights out against the Diamondbacks in his career, boasting a 3-0 record and an absurd 0.55 ERA in four outings. While he hasn’t faced Arizona this season, his past success against them could be a game-changer in controlling their offense.

However, Peralta is coming off a shaky performance, allowing three runs on seven hits in just 4 2/3 innings in a loss to the Colorado Rockies last Sunday. He’ll need to bounce back quickly to keep Arizona’s sluggers in check.

Pitching Matchup: Eduardo Rodriguez Seeks Redemption

On the other side, the Diamondbacks will send left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez (2-2, 5.83 ERA) to the mound, hoping he can regain some form after a rough patch. Rodriguez has struggled lately, losing his last two starts and posting a disappointing 8.10 ERA over his last three games. In his most recent outing, he gave up five runs (four earned) over four innings in a loss to the Houston Astros.

Though Rodriguez has had a tough time recently, he does have some past success against the Brewers. Back in 2017, when he was with the Boston Red Sox, Rodriguez held Milwaukee to just one run over six innings in a no-decision. The Diamondbacks will be hoping he can channel some of that magic to give them a fighting chance in the series opener.

Key Player Matchups: Who Has the Edge?

A few Arizona hitters have had trouble with Peralta in the past. Eugenio Suarez, for example, is just 2-for-18, while Christian Walker hasn’t managed a hit in nine at-bats against him. However, Josh Bell and Kevin Newman have had more success, each hitting home runs off Peralta in their careers.

For the Brewers, catcher Gary Sanchez has hit well against Rodriguez, going 5-for-20 with two homers, but shortstop Willy Adames has struggled, going 0-for-8 in his career against the left-hander.

Game Outlook: Momentum vs. Dominant Pitching

Arizona’s offensive explosion makes them a formidable opponent right now, but the key question is whether they can sustain that momentum against Freddy Peralta. The Diamondbacks’ lineup is packed with power hitters, and if Peralta can’t keep them in check early on, the game could quickly swing in Arizona’s favor.

On the flip side, the Brewers will be looking for a strong outing from Peralta and timely contributions from rising stars like Jackson Chourio to capitalize on Arizona’s struggling starter, Eduardo Rodriguez. With both teams eager to strengthen their postseason chances, expect a hard-fought, closely contested game.

Prediction: Brewers vs. Diamondbacks – Who Takes the Win?

This matchup features two playoff-bound teams, both hungry for a victory. The Brewers seem to have the upper hand in pitching, especially with Peralta’s track record against Arizona. But the Diamondbacks’ recent offensive surge can’t be overlooked. If Arizona’s hitters stay hot, they could overwhelm Peralta and grab the win. However, if Peralta delivers a solid outing, Milwaukee’s steady pitching and timely hitting might just give them the edge.

Final Prediction: Brewers 5, Diamondbacks 3. Expect Peralta’s pitching and Milwaukee’s well-timed offense to edge out a victory in what should be a competitive and intense game.

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