San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Picks and Predictions September 13th 2024

At 10:15 PM ET, the Padres and Giants face off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at Oracle Park in San Francisco, and the Padres are favored on the money line (-112) compared to the Giants at -108. The over/under line is currently 6.5 runs.

San Diego is 82-65 this season, while the Giants are 72-75. Logan Webb will start for the Giants, while the Padres are sending Dylan Cease to the mound. In the standings, the Padres are 3rd in the NL West, while the Giants are 4th.

San Diego vs. San Francisco Key Information

• Teams: Padres at Giants
• Where: Oracle Park San Francisco
• Date: Friday, September 13th
• Betting Odds SD -112 | SF -108 O/U 6.5

The Padres Can Win If…

Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Giants on the road. Cease has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 12-11 with a 3.71 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has a WHIP of 1.09 and is averaging 10.85 strikeouts per nine innings. Cease has turned in 14 quality starts this year and has one complete game shutout. In his last outing, Cease took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Cease has not allowed more than four earned runs in any of his last four outings.

San Diego comes into today’s game as the top hitting team in the league, batting .264 as a team. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the best team on-base percentage. Overall, they are 7th in the league in runs scored (4.8 per game) and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Over the past nine games, Luis Arraez has been on fire for the Padres, going 17/40. For the season, he is batting .317 and has gone deep four times. Manny Machado is the team’s top power threat, as his 26 homers are 14th in the league and his 94 RBIs are the 10th best mark in the MLB.

Before placing any bets, ensure you review our comprehensive MLB Betting Guide to make informed decisions.

• The Padres are 5-5 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Padres are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• San Diego has an over/under record of 5-3-2 in their last ten games.
• The Padres have an average of 4.6 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Padres are 5-5
• Looking back across the Padres last five games as the favorite, they are 1-4
• San Diego has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Padres have averaged 5.0 runs per game on offense

The Giants Can Win If…

Giants starter Logan Webb finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going six innings vs. the Padres and giving up three earned runs. He did pitch well in that outing, finishing with 10 strikeouts. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings. Webb’s ERA for the season is 3.46, along with a record of 12-9. Opponents are batting .250 off the right-hander this season. Webb has one complete game shutout this year and 19 quality starts.

San Francisco’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 16th in the league. They have been pretty consistent in terms of scoring runs, as they are also 16th in home runs and have the league’s 15th batting average. The Giants have two of the league’s top home run hitters, with Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos having 24 and 20 homers, respectively.

Over his last eight games, Matt Chapman has gone 8/26 with two homers, and Mike Yastrzemski has also gone deep twice in this stretch, but he is batting just .167 in these games. Jerar Encarnacion has two homers in his last three games, and he is also on a seven-game hitting streak.

• The Giants are 4-6 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Giants are 4-1 vs. the run line.
• San Francisco has an over/under record of 6-4 in their last ten games.
• The Giants have an average of 5.6 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Giants are 5-5
• Looking back across the Giants last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
• San Francisco has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Giants have averaged 3.8 runs per game on offense

The Lean

Today’s matchup between the Padres and Giants has the 3rd highest combined run projection and 4th highest total hits projection. Our lean would be towards taking the over. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we have the Giants coming out on top. San Francisco starter Logan Webb has the 2nd worst strikeout projection among today’s starters.

You can always refer to the current MLB Odds to stay up to date with the latest betting lines.

Giants Host Padres in Critical Series, Eye Wild-Card Shake-Up

The San Francisco Giants are hanging by a thread in the National League wild-card race, but they’re not out yet. This weekend, they have a golden opportunity to influence the postseason standings when they take on the San Diego Padres in a pivotal three-game series starting Friday night. While the Giants’ playoff dreams are nearly extinguished, they still have a chance to play spoiler and throw a wrench in the plans of their division rivals, the Padres, who are fighting for one of the coveted wild-card spots.

Giants’ Slim Playoff Hopes, Padres’ Fate at Stake

The Giants, sitting at a 72-75 record, find themselves 8.5 games back in the wild-card race after a 3-0 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday night. With just 15 games left in the season, San Francisco’s chances of making the playoffs are on life support. But here’s where it gets interesting: six of those remaining games are against NL West teams currently in wild-card position. That includes this weekend’s showdown against the Padres, followed by a season-ending series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Padres, with an 82-65 record, are just half a game behind the Diamondbacks for that wild-card spot, so every game counts. They split their recent two-game series against the Seattle Mariners and enjoyed some extra rest with off-days on both Monday and Thursday. Now, they’re refreshed and ready to make one last push for October baseball.

Pitching Rematch: Logan Webb vs. Dylan Cease

All eyes will be on the mound Friday night as two familiar faces square off. It’s a rematch of last Saturday’s game, which saw the Giants win 6-3. Logan Webb (12-9, 3.46 ERA) will take the ball for San Francisco, facing off against San Diego’s Dylan Cease (12-11, 3.71 ERA) for the fourth time this season.

Webb has been dominant against the Padres all year, with the Giants winning two of his three starts against San Diego. Over his career, Webb boasts a 4-2 record and a sharp 2.70 ERA in 13 appearances against the Padres. His most recent outing was solid—he gave up three runs on 10 hits over six innings, but still managed to outpitch Cease and get the win.

On the flip side, Cease has had his ups and downs. He’s been respectable against the Giants in the past, posting a 3.38 ERA in five career starts, but this season has been a different story. The Padres have lost all three of Cease’s matchups against the Giants, including a 9-6 loss at home and a 3-2 defeat in San Francisco earlier this year. Cease gave up four runs in six innings in his last start, including a big home run to Giants rookie Grant McCray, which proved to be the difference.

Manny Machado: Padres’ Star Power

Manny Machado is the man to watch for San Diego. He’s been on a tear lately, and he just added a couple of major accomplishments to his resume. Not only did Machado break the Padres’ franchise home run record (previously held by Nate Colbert), but he’s also been nominated for the prestigious Roberto Clemente Award, which recognizes players for their community service.

Machado has been a nightmare for Giants pitching, especially Webb. Over his career, he’s hit .333 (10-for-30) against the Giants’ ace. His performance will be critical as the Padres fight to lock up wins and inch closer to securing that playoff spot.

Giants’ Offensive Woes Continue

The Giants’ offense has been inconsistent, and that’s putting it nicely. Just look at their recent series against the Brewers: after exploding for 13 runs in one game, they managed a grand total of nine hits in the two games they lost.

Grant McCray, the rookie who was a hero in last week’s win over the Padres with two home runs and five RBIs, has hit a rough patch. He’s gone just 1-for-17 in his last few games, and the Giants need him to get back on track if they want to have any chance in this series.

Adding to the Giants’ struggles, their best hitter, shortstop Tyler Fitzgerald, left Thursday’s game with a lower back injury. His status for Friday’s game is uncertain, and his absence would be a huge blow to an already sputtering lineup.

Rested and Ready, Padres Aim to Pounce

The Padres are heading into this series well-rested, thanks to a couple of well-timed off-days this week. That’s bad news for the Giants, who are dealing with injuries and offensive inconsistency. San Diego has one of the best rosters in the league, and they’ll be leaning heavily on their pitching staff and big bats, like Machado, to keep their wild-card hopes alive. A sweep in this series could potentially catapult them past Arizona in the standings, giving them a better shot at the postseason.

For detailed daily recommendations, check out our MLB Picks

The Giants’ Role as Spoilers, Padres Fighting for Playoff Glory

While the Giants’ postseason chances are slipping away, they still have a major role to play in the wild-card race. Facing off against both the Padres and Diamondbacks in the final stretch of the season, San Francisco could end up shaping the postseason even if they don’t make it themselves. For the Padres, this series is a must-win if they want to keep pace and ensure they have a shot at October baseball.

The key matchup to watch is the pitching duel between Logan Webb and Dylan Cease. Both pitchers know what to expect from the other, and Webb’s success against the Padres this season gives the Giants a real shot at throwing a wrench in San Diego’s plans. But with Manny Machado and the rest of the Padres’ lineup locked in, they control their own destiny.

The Giants Could Still Shape the Postseason

The Giants might be on the verge of elimination, but they’re not going down without a fight. This series against the Padres offers them a chance to shake up the wild-card race, even if their own playoff hopes are fading. Meanwhile, the Padres need every win they can get to stay in the hunt, and with stars like Manny Machado in the mix, they’re ready to seize control of their postseason destiny.