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Last year, the Pacific Division had all five teams make the postseason. However, two of the teams were eliminated in the Play-In Tournament, while the other three advanced into the Playoffs.
This year, the Pacific Division is expected to send at least four teams to the postseason. Which four? Well, you will have to continue reading our breakdown of the Pacific Division to see which teams that the NBA betting sites favor to make the postseason. Additionally, you can check out who we believe will win the division.
2024-25 NBA Pacific Division Odds
NBA Team | Division Odds | O/U Wins | Make Playoffs | Play-In Tournament |
---|---|---|---|---|
Phoenix Suns | +225 | O/U 47.5 | Y(-200)/N(+160) | +140 |
Sacramento Kings | +300 | O/U 46.5 | Y(-160)/N(+130) | +140 |
Los Angeles Lakers | +350 | O/U 43.5 | Y(-105)/N(-115) | +140 |
Golden State Warriors | +450 | O/U 43.5 | Y(-110)/N(-110) | +150 |
Los Angeles Clippers | +550 | O/U 40.5 | Y(+170)/N(-220) | +150 |
NBA Pacific Division Teams
As mentioned, the Pacific Division sent all five teams to the postseason last year. However, this year, the Los Angeles Clippers are projected to finish just outside of the Playoffs. Yet, the remaining four squads are expected to make the postseason.
The Phoenix Suns and Sacramento Kings are believed to be locks to make the Playoffs, while the Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors are projected to make at least the Play-In Tournament. Let’s take a deeper dive into the Pacific Division teams and make our predictions.
Phoenix Suns
- 2023-24 record: 49-33, 9-7 (Div)
- Division Odds: +225
- Over/Under Wins: Over 47.5 (-115)/Under 47.5 (-105)
- Make the Playoffs: Y(-200)/N(+160)
- Play-In Tournament: +140
The Phoenix Suns are the odds-on favorites to win the Pacific Division and to make the Playoffs. This squad is led by the Big 3 of Kevin Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal. Unfortunately, that’s the same trio that was just swept in the first round of the Playoffs last season.
The Suns went into the offseason strapped for money and cap space. And, yet, they seemed to get better over the summer.
The Suns re-signed Royce O’Neale, Bol Bol, Josh Okogie and Damion Lee. They also added Mason Plumlee, Tyus Jones and drafted Ryan Dunn.
This team has more quality role players than they did last year and will roll out a starting five of the Big 3, Grayson Allen and Jusuf Nurkic. With Plumlee and Jones being top rotational players, the bench won’t be as big of a liability as they were last season.
It’s easy to see why the Suns, on paper, are the betting favorites heading into the season. Last year, Phoenix won 49 games and came just short of a 50-win mark. This year, the Suns should finish with a similar record as their primary focus will be getting into the Playoffs with a health roster that’s operating as a well-oiled machine.
Best Bet: Make the Playoffs (-200)
Sacramento Kings
- 2023-24 record: 46-36, 10-7 (Div)
- Division Odds: +300
- Over/Under Wins: Over 46.5 (-110)/Under 46.5 (-110)
- Make the Playoffs: Y(-160)/N(+130)
- Play-In Tournament: +140
No other team in the Pacific Division improved their roster more than the Sacramento Kings. The addition of DeMar DeRozan not only gives the Kings their own version of a Big 3, but they actually have a Big 4 which is more than any other team in the division. In addition to DeRozan, the Kings feature De’Aaron Fox, Demontas Sabonis and Keegan Murray.
None of the divisional rosters feature a Big 4 like the Kings do. In fact, Murray is one of the top two-way forwards in the league for his age. But this roster isn’t just top heavy. There are plenty of pieces in supporting roles and off the bench that give Sacramento more quality depth than the rest of the division.
Sacramento also has a talented, young guard in Keon Ellis who proved that he can start in this league. Kevin Huerter returns from injury as well. There’s a good chance Huerter moves to the bench, which gives the Kings even more firepower in their second unit.
Let’s not forget that the Kings have the best 6th man in the league in Malik Monk who re-signed with Sacramento after many pundits predicted him to leave. Trey Lyles, Alex Len, and Orlando Robinson help to round out a 10-man rotation. And, that doesn’t even count their rookies like Carter, Crawford and Jones.
This team is deep, talented, and the best they’ve had in two decades. They’re definitely making the Playoffs and winning Over 46.5 games. At the end of the 2023-24 season, the Kings lost several games due to both Monk and Huerter being injured. If all goes well, this team could surpass 50 wins.
Best Bet: Over 46.5 wins (-110), Make the Playoffs (-160)
Los Angeles Lakers
- 2023-24 record: 47-35, 7-10 (Div)
- Division Odds: +350
- Over/Under Wins: Over 43.5 (-115)/Under 43.5 (-105)
- Make the Playoffs: Y(-105)/N(-115)
- Play-In Tournament: +140
When you have LeBron James and Anthony Davis, pundits seem to think there’s always a chance for the Lakers to contend for the division title. Yet, when you look at their offseason moves, it’s hard to be as confident.
The biggest moves this team made in the offseason was hiring JJ Redick as their new head coach. The second biggest move was drafting Bronny James. Other than that, the Lakers will run it back with most of the same roster from last year. And, that’s not a good thing.
This team went 7-10 in the division last year, and was lucky to get out of the Play-In Tournament. However, that luck ran out as they were smashed in the Playoffs.
Drafting Dalton Knecht was a steal for Los Angeles as he has a ton of potential. However, this team lacks the firepower to match the Suns and the Kings. They also lack the depth that will sustain them as a winning team if James or Davis were to miss significant time due to injuries.
With that said, I would avoid all bets on the Lakers other than making the Play-In Tournament once again. Los Angeles will need to make some moves by the trade deadline in order to really contend for the Pacific Division title and the Playoffs.
Best Bet: Play-In Tournament (+140)
Golden State Warriors
- 2023-24 record: 46-36, 7-9 (Div)
- Division Odds: +450
- Over/Under Wins: Over 43.5 (-115)/Under 43.5 (-115)
- Make the Playoffs: Y(-110)/N(-110)
- Play-In Tournament: +150
Much will be made about Klay Thompson leaving the Golden State Warriors after being a part of one of the league’s best dynasties. However, don’t cry for the Warriors because they still have plenty of talent on this roster to compete in the division. In fact, they added a few pieces that could help to replace the departed Thompson and Chris Paul.
The Warriors acquired Kyle Anderson and Buddy Hield through trades. They also signed free agent De’Anthony Melton. Now, these moves might not excite the naysayers, but they do add depth and shooting. Additionally, you can expect the youngsters of Trayce Jackson-Davis and Brandin Podziemski to build off of their exciting rookie seasons last year.
Moses Moody and Jonathan Kuminga should also factor in more with rotational minutes and/or starting minutes in the case of Kuminga. If Wiggins can regain his form and confidence from two seasons ago, this team will be even more versatile and deep.
With Steph Curry still playing at a high level, this team should easily qualify for the Play-In Tournament. However, they need to make some in-season moves if they want to contend with the Suns and Kings for the divisional title.
Best Bet: Play-In Tournament (+150)
Los Angeles Clippers
- 2023-24 record: 51-31, 9-7 (Div)
- Division Odds: +550
- Over/Under Wins: Over 43.5 (-105)/Under 43.5 (-115)
- Make the Playoffs: Y(+170)/N(-220)
- Play-In Tournament: +150
The Los Angeles Clippers are the one team in the division that took a big step back this past offseason. And, that’s because they lost Paul George to the 76ers. Despite their efforts to bring in some decent depth pieces, it won’t be enough to replace what they lost in George.
The Clips will build their core around James Harden and Kawhi Leonard, but we saw how far that took them last season even with George alongside the duo.
Los Angeles added other pieces like Kevin Porter Jr. Kris Dunn, and Derrick Jones Jr., but those guys are bench players for this squad. If Porter can regain his form after the off-court issues he had, then the Clips might have a real threat off the bench. Yet, that’s a big “if” and not one that most critics will be rooting for.
When you compare this roster to the Suns and Kings, Los Angeles falls short in just about every category. In fact, they don’t even measure up to the Warriors or Lakers.
Despite winning 51 games, and the division last year, the Clippers will be lucky to finish above .500. There’s also no guarantee that Harden or Leonard plays more than half of the season. Out of all five Pacific Division teams, the Clippers are clearly the worst. This version of the roster will not make the Playoffs. They are a Play-In Tournament team at best. I also don’t see this team winning 44 games, so take the Under.
Best Bet: Will Not Make the Playoffs (-220)
NBA Pacific Division Predictions
The Warriors and Lakers have aged to the point where they’re no longer contenders for winning the Pacific Division. The Clippers don’t have the overall talent to beat any of the other teams in the division. More than likely, the Pacific will come down to the Suns and the Kings.
The Suns have the more well-known stars in Durant and Booker, but they do not have the better team. When comparing the Big 4 for each team, the Kings have the advantage. Sabonas is by far the better big man compared to Nurcic. Durant, Booker and Beale cancel out Fox, DeRozan and Murray.
Yet, the Kings have the better depth and scoring off the bench with Monk and Huerter. Jones is a nice piece for the Suns, but he’s not the player that Monk is.
These two teams are close when it comes to comparing roster talent. However, I have to give Sacramento the edge. They have the better starting five and sixth man. In fact, they have a better Top 8 rotation than the Suns do. Additionally, Mike Brown is the superior head coach as well.
Hop on the Kings bandwagon this season as they will win the division, just like they did two years ago with a roster that’s not even as good as this one.
Bet: Sacramento Kings (+300)
Recent NBA Pacific Division Winners
Year | Winner | Result |
---|---|---|
2023-24 | Los Angeles Clippers | Lost in first round |
2022-23 | Sacramento Kings | Lost in first round |
2021-22 | Phoenix Suns | Lost in Western Conference Semifinals |
2020-21 | Phoenix Suns | Lost in NBA Finals |
2019-20 | Los Angeles Lakers | Won NBA Championship |
2018-19 | Golden State Warriors | Lost in NBA Finals |
2017-18 | Golden State Warriors | Won NBA Championship |
2016-17 | Golden State Warriors | Lost in NBA Finals |
2015-16 | Golden State Warriors | Lost in NBA Finals |
2014-15 | Golden State Warriors | Lost in NBA Finals |