Seattle Mariners vs Ny Yankees Picks and Predictions September 19th 2024

Thursday’s Yankees vs. Mariners game has a first pitch set for 4:10 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle. New York is currently on a three-game winning streak and is 89-63, while the Mariners are 77-75 and are 2nd in the AL West. Logan Gilbert will start for the Mariners, while the Yankees are sending Clarke Schmidt to the mound.

The money line odds have the Yankees at -110 compared to the Mariners at -108, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. This game will be televised on YES, and the forecast in Seattle calls for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-60s.

New York vs. Seattle Key Information

• Teams: Yankees at Mariners
• Where: T-Mobile Park Seattle
• Date: Thursday, September 19th
• Betting Odds NYY -110 | SEA -108 O/U 7.5

The Yankees Can Win If…

New York is sending right-hander Clarke Schmidt to the mound today vs. the Mariners. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 with a 2.41 ERA. Out of his 13 starts, Schmidt has turned in two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Red Sox on September 13th, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, five hits, and one homer. Schmidt finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back further, he has finished with a no-decision in three straight starts. Schmidt’s ERA on the road is 1.46 compared to 3.85 at home.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the league’s top home run hitting team and are also 1st in runs per game on the road, averaging 5.2 per contest. Overall, they are 3rd in the league at 5 runs per game. New York’s offense has been very patient at the plate this season, leading the league in walks and coming in 2nd in on-base percentage. The team’s collective batting average is .249 (7th) and they have the league’s top on-base percentage.

Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 8/27 with two homers over his last eight games, while also driving in 10 runs. Judge’s 53 homers are the best in the league, and he is also the MLB leader in RBIs, with 136. Juan Soto is also a big power threat in the Yankees lineup, as he is 4th in the league with 40 homers.

• The Yankees are 7-3 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Yankees are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• New York has an over/under record of 2-7-1 in their last ten games.
• The Yankees have an average of 4.8 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Yankees are 5-5
• Looking back across the Yankees last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• New York has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Yankees have averaged 4.1 runs per game on offense

The Mariners Can Win If…

Through 30 starts, Logan Gilbert has a record of 7-11 and an ERA of 3.24. He has made 22 quality starts, and his WHIP for the season is .89. Gilbert’s last outing came against the Rangers, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, he has allowed at least four earned runs in three straight outings. The right-hander has been much better at home this season, coming in with an ERA of 2.73 compared to 5.25 on the road.

So far this season, the Mariners are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .221, which is the worst mark in the league. However, they do have the 13th most home runs in the league.

Julio Rodriguez and Luke Raley have been swinging the bat well of late, with Rodriguez going 14/45 in his last 10 games and Raley going 9/29. Raley has three homers in this stretch, while Rodriguez has two. For the season, Raley is 2nd on the team with 21 homers, and Rodriguez is 3rd with 16. Cal Raleigh is the team’s top power threat, as his 30 homers are 12th in the league.

• The Mariners are 5-5 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Mariners are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• Seattle has an over/under record of 7-2-1 in their last ten games.
• The Mariners have an average of 4.0 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Mariners are 5-5
• Looking back across the Mariners last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
• Seattle has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Mariners have averaged 5.9 runs per game on offense

Mariners Aim to Avoid Sweep Against Playoff-Bound Yankees

The Seattle Mariners are desperate to avoid a three-game sweep and keep their fading postseason hopes alive as they face the New York Yankees in the series finale on Thursday afternoon. The Yankees (89-63) secured their playoff spot on Wednesday night with a 2-1 extra-inning victory, marking their return to the postseason after missing out last year.

Yankees Clinch Playoff Spot with Rizzo’s Heroics

The Yankees’ win was propelled by Anthony Rizzo, who drove in both of New York’s runs, including the game-winner in the 10th inning. His double down the right-field line scored automatic runner Jasson Dominguez, clinching the Yankees’ spot in October baseball.

With their playoff berth locked in, New York is now focused on securing the American League East title, as they hold a five-game lead over the Baltimore Orioles with just 10 games remaining. Aaron Judge, having an MVP-caliber season with 53 home runs and 136 RBIs, continues to be the driving force behind the Yankees’ offense.

“We’re not done yet,” said Yankees outfielder Juan Soto. “Our goal is to win the division. That’s what we want to do, and we’re locked in.”

Mariners Facing Must-Win Situation

For Seattle (77-75), the stakes are much higher. Trailing the Houston Astros by five games in the AL West and sitting three games out of the final wild-card spot, the Mariners need to turn things around fast if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Wednesday night’s loss was especially tough, as a bizarre play in the 10th inning snuffed out a potential rally. Cal Raleigh’s single sent automatic runner Julio Rodriguez to third, but Rodriguez was tagged out after being distracted by Randy Arozarena’s bat flying toward him on a strikeout swing. Rodriguez described the strange incident:

“I just saw a bat flying toward my face and ran away from it. I didn’t get back to the bag in time. Just a weird situation.”

With their backs against the wall, the Mariners must find a way to avoid the sweep and keep their postseason hopes alive.

Pitching Matchup: Schmidt vs. Gilbert

The Yankees will turn to Clarke Schmidt (5-3, 2.41 ERA) to take the mound in the series finale. Schmidt has been strong in his two starts since returning from a long injury layoff, allowing just two runs over 10 1/3 innings against the Cubs and Red Sox. Schmidt’s return has bolstered the Yankees’ rotation at a crucial time, adding depth to their already strong pitching staff.

The Mariners will counter with right-hander Logan Gilbert (7-11, 3.24 ERA), who is looking to bounce back from a rough stretch. Gilbert has lost his last three decisions and carries a 7.18 ERA in five career starts against the Yankees. Seattle will need a strong performance from him to stay in the playoff hunt.

What’s at Stake for Both Teams

While the Yankees are riding high after clinching a playoff berth, they remain focused on securing the AL East crown. Meanwhile, the Mariners are in a do-or-die situation, needing a win to avoid a sweep and keep their postseason dreams alive.

With Clarke Schmidt and Logan Gilbert set to face off, Thursday’s game promises to be an intense showdown as the Mariners fight for survival and the Yankees continue their march toward the division title.

The Lean

There should be no shortage of offense in today’s Yankees and Mariners matchup, and not only are we leaning towards the Yankees picking up the win, but we are also leaning towards the over. Looking at today’s starting pitching matchup, we like the strikeout potential of Logan Gilbert, but we have the Yankees offense finishing with the 3rd most home runs in today’s slate of games.