Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars Picks and Predictions September 23rd 2024

The Jaguars and Bills will face off on Monday, September 23rd at 7:30 ET, with ESPN handling the broadcast. The Bills are favored by -5.5 in this one, and their money line odds are -257. The Jaguars’ money line odds are +210, and the over/under line is set at 45.5 points. This week three AFC matchup is being played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY.

Jacksonville vs. Buffalo Key Information

Despite a 3-point loss to the Browns, the Jaguars were in a good position to win this one, as they were favored by -3 at home. Jacksonville lost by a score of 18-13, dropping their record to 0-2 for the season. The Jaguars fell behind early, with Deshaun Watson rushing for a 1-yard touchdown to give the Browns a 7-0 lead in the 1st quarter.

Jacksonville battled back and made it a 13-10 game in the 3rd quarter after Trevor Lawrence found Brian Thomas Jr. for a touchdown. Each team added a field goal in the 4th quarter, but the Jaguars couldn’t complete the comeback. The over/under line for the game was 41.5 points, and the teams combined for just 31 points.

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The Jaguars’ offense struggled in their 18-13 loss to the Browns, managing just 13 points. They finished with 18 first downs and 127 yards on 21 attempts (6.0 yards per attempt). However, they were unable to find the endzone through the air, as Trevor Lawrence completed just 14 of 30 passes for 196 yards. Lawrence was also sacked four times and finished with a passer rating of 71.

Travis Etienne Jr. led the team with 52 rushing yards and scored the only touchdown for Jacksonville. Brian Thomas Jr. was the leading receiver with 94 yards, 66 of which came on a single reception. The Jaguars struggled on third down, converting only 33.3% of their chances.

In Jacksonville’s 18-13 loss to the Browns, the Jaguars’ defense held Cleveland to just 5.1 yards per attempt in the passing game. The Jaguars gave up 172 yards through the air, with the Browns completing 64.7% of their passes. Despite this, the Jaguars struggled to get off the field, allowing the Browns to convert 85.7% of their third downs.On the ground, the Browns found more success, rushing for 125 yards on 29 attempts. The Jaguars’ defense managed two sacks and held Cleveland without a passing touchdown. Jacksonville also won the quarterback hit battle, but they did lose the tackles for loss differential.

Buffalo is now 2-0 after their 31-10 win over the Dolphins. The Bills were +2.5 point underdogs on the road, giving them a comfortable cover and win by 21 points. The game was tied 7-7 after the 1st quarter, but the Bills took control in the 2nd, outscoring the Dolphins 24-3. Buffalo added a touchdown in the 3rd quarter and headed into the 4th with a 31-10 lead.

Buffalo’s big plays in the 2nd quarter included a 17-yard touchdown pass from Josh Allen to James Cook and a 34-yard touchdown pass to Ty Johnson. Tua Tagovailoa’s 5-yard touchdown pass to De’Von Achane tied the game early for Miami. The Bills missed a chance to extend their lead in the 4th, as they missed a 45-yard field goal with 7:59 remaining.

Josh Allen completed 13 of 19 passes for 139 yards and one touchdown in Buffalo’s 31-10 win over the Dolphins. The Bills’ offense managed just 13 first downs and 108 yards rushing on 26 attempts. Allen was not sacked in the game and finished with a passer rating of 107.

James Cook was the leading rusher with 78 yards on 11 carries, including two touchdowns and a 49-yard run. Khalil Shakir led the team in receiving with 54 yards on five catches. Buffalo’s offense will look to be more efficient in their next game, as they only converted on 33.3% of their third down attempts.

In their 31-10 win over the Dolphins, the Bills’ defense picked off three passes and held Miami to just 3-of-8 on third down. Despite giving up 139 yards on the ground, Buffalo allowed just 3.9 yards per carry and limited the Dolphins to 64 yards rushing. The Bills also defended the pass well, allowing 212 yards through the air on 25 completions, with a collective 64.1% completion rate.Buffalo’s defense recorded two sacks, and their pressure on the quarterback was evident, as they had five more QB hits than Miami and six more tackles for loss. The Bills will look to build on this performance in their next game.

• Buffalo has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. But, they did not perform well vs the spread in these games, going 1-2. Their over-under record in these matchups was 3-0.
• Across Buffalo’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 7-3. Against the spread, Buffalo went 3-7 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 4-6.

Our prediction for this week three matchup between the Jaguars and Bills is to take Jacksonville to cover as road underdogs. Even though the point spread currently has the Bills at -5.5, we have the Jaguars coming out on top by a score of 26-22.

For an over/under pick, we really like the over, with a projected combined score of 48 points. With the line sitting at 45.5 points, there is some nice value in taking the over in this one.

Josh Allen, 2-0 Bills Set to Take on Struggling Jaguars in Monday Night Showdown

A highly anticipated rematch between the Buffalo Bills and Jacksonville Jaguars is set to take place on Monday night in Orchard Park, N.Y. This time, though, it’s a battle of two teams headed in opposite directions. The Bills are undefeated, and the Jaguars are still searching for their first win.

Two Josh Allens, One New Name

The last time these teams faced off, the spotlight was on the intriguing matchup between Buffalo’s quarterback, Josh Allen, and Jacksonville’s defensive star, who at the time shared the same name. But things have changed since then. Jacksonville’s pass-rushing force now goes by Josh Hines-Allen, a name change he made to honor his mother’s side of the family. While the name may be different, his ability to disrupt opposing offenses remains the same.

For Buffalo’s Allen, the name change doesn’t matter. He’s all too aware of the havoc Hines-Allen can cause.

“Anytime you get a D-end like that, they present problems,” Allen said. “The motor that he has, he doesn’t let up. He finds ways to continue to get to the quarterback.”

Hines-Allen’s game-changing abilities were on full display during their 2021 matchup, where he caused major problems for Buffalo. In that game, Hines-Allen sacked Allen, intercepted a pass, and recovered a fumble, leading the Jaguars to a stunning 9-6 upset. He’s 2-0 against the Bills in head-to-head matchups, as the Jaguars also beat Buffalo last year in London, 25-20.

Bills Flying High

Buffalo (2-0) comes into this game riding a wave of momentum after a dominant 31-10 road victory against the Miami Dolphins. Quarterback Josh Allen has been efficient, throwing three touchdowns on just 42 attempts, and the Bills are clicking on offense despite some offseason losses. Notably, wide receiver Stefon Diggs was traded to the Houston Texans, and two other key pieces of the Bills’ offense — center Mitch Morse and receiver Gabe Davis — are now with the Jaguars.

Allen acknowledged the emotional impact of seeing his former teammates on the other side of the field.

“Two guys that I’ve spent a lot of time with over the last few years here,” Allen said of Morse and Davis. “Two guys that mean a lot to me, not just football-wise. I consider them real close friends.”

Even without Diggs, the Bills have thrived, ranking third in the NFL in scoring offense with an average of 32.5 points per game.

Jaguars Searching for Answers

Jacksonville (0-2) is reeling, facing the possibility of their first 0-3 start since the tumultuous Urban Meyer era in 2021. They have struggled on both sides of the ball, but the offense has been particularly underwhelming, tied for 27th in the league in scoring with just 15 points per game.

Quarterback Trevor Lawrence, who recently signed a five-year, $275 million extension, has struggled to find his rhythm. Lawrence is completing just 51 percent of his passes and had a lackluster performance in last week’s 18-13 loss to the Cleveland Browns, going 14-of-30 passing and getting sacked four times.

After their second straight loss, Lawrence expressed frustration with the team’s slow start.

“We can’t hit the panic button, but we’ve got to have some real conversations,” Lawrence said. “We’ve got too good of a team to come out here and perform two weeks in a row like this.”

Despite their struggles, Hines-Allen remains optimistic about the team’s potential to turn things around.

“We’re down 0-2 right now, everybody’s going to count us out,” Hines-Allen said. “Playing against a good team — 2-0 — we’re coming in there with our backs against the wall and coming out fighting.”

Injury Concerns for Both Teams

Both the Bills and Jaguars are dealing with significant injuries. Buffalo linebacker Terrel Bernard (pectoral) and cornerback Taron Johnson (forearm) have already been ruled out for Monday’s game, which could impact their ability to slow down Lawrence and Jacksonville’s passing game.

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On the Jaguars’ side, tight end Evan Engram didn’t practice on Thursday due to a hamstring injury he sustained during pregame warmups last week. His absence could further limit Jacksonville’s offensive options.

Final Thoughts

The Bills come into this game as clear favorites, riding high on a 2-0 start, with Josh Allen playing at an elite level. Meanwhile, the Jaguars face mounting pressure as they search for their first win of the season. Jacksonville’s defense, anchored by Hines-Allen, will have to deliver another game-changing performance if they hope to keep pace with Buffalo’s potent offense.

With playoff aspirations on the line, both teams have plenty to play for, making Monday night’s game a must-watch as the Bills aim to maintain their perfect record and the Jaguars look to avoid an 0-3 start.