Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Picks and Predictions September 23rd 2024

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants MLB Mon, Sep 23, 21:40 pm.
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML: -180
0
0
San Francisco Giants
ML: 150
DocSports, The most trusted name in sports handicapping

At 9:40 PM ET, the Giants and Diamondbacks face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix and the Giants are 77-79 compared to the Diamondbacks at 87-69. Eduardo Rodriguez will start for the Diamondbacks, while the Giants are sending Hayden Birdsong to the mound.

Arizona is favored at -172 on the money line, while the Giants are the +145 underdogs. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Diamondbacks will be looking to keep their three-game winning streak alive. However, the Giants have won three of their last four.

San Francisco vs. Arizona Key Information

  • Teams: Giants at Diamondbacks
  • Where: Chase Field Phoenix
  • Date: Monday, September 23rd
  • Betting Odds ARI -172 | SF +145 O/U 9

The Giants Can Win If…

Right-hander Hayden Birdsong is starting for the Giants today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 4-5 to go along with a 4.74 ERA. Birdsong’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.39. In his 14 appearances, he has only turned in one quality start. Birdsong’s ERA on the road is 7.62 compared to 4.0 at home. His most recent outing came on September 18th, where he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.

So far this season, the Giants are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 13th in home runs and have a team batting average of .237. Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos have been the team’s top power threats so far, with Chapman leading the team with 26 homers and Ramos right behind him with 21.

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Mike Yastrzemski has struggled at the plate of late, batting just .185 over his last seven games. During this stretch, he has gone deep three times and driven in six runs. Currently, he is leading the team in RBIs, but his 26 homers are 2nd on the team.

  • The Giants are 5-5 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Giants are 4-1 vs. the run line.
  • San Francisco has an over/under record of 5-5 in their last ten games.
  • The Giants have an average of 4.2 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten road games, the Giants are 7-3
  • Looking back across the Giants last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
  • San Francisco has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Giants have averaged 4.5 runs per game on offense

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

Eduardo Rodriguez will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Rockies and picked up the win. In that September 18th start, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Rodriguez has made eight starts, and his ERA is 5.09. Opponents have a batting average of .271 off the left-hander this season. Rodriguez has a record of 3-3 and has given up a total of five homers at home compared to just one on the road. His ERA at home is 6.05.

Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up an average of 5.8 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have the league’s top on-base percentage and OPS.

Over his last nine games, Ketel Marte has gone 9/29 with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .295 with 35 homers, which is 8th in the league. Eugenio Suarez is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 29 long balls are 13th in the MLB. Suarez has gone deep six times in his last nine games and comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak.

  • The Diamondbacks are 5-5 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Diamondbacks are 5-0 vs. the run line.
  • Arizona has an over/under record of 5-5 in their last ten games.
  • The Diamondbacks have an average of 7.0 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten home games, the Diamondbacks are 5-5
  • Looking back across the Diamondbacks last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
  • Arizona has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Diamondbacks have averaged 5.6 runs per game on offense

The Lean

For today’s Giants and Diamondbacks matchup, we are leaning towards the Diamondbacks picking up the win at home. We also have this as our highest projected scoring game of the day and are leaning towards taking the over. The Diamondbacks offense is our top projected unit in the league today, and Eduardo Rodriguez has the 3rd best strikeout projection among today’s starters.

Diamondbacks Look to Rebound After 8-Run Collapse Against Giants

The Arizona Diamondbacks will get back to the field on Monday against the San Francisco Giants, conveying the sting of a stunning misfortune subsequent to wasting an eight-run lead against the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday. Arizona seemed ready to finish a four-game range of the NL Central champions in the wake of leaping out to a 8-0 lead, however an emotional Milwaukee rebound brought about a 10-9 loss.

Diamondbacks director Torey Lovullo communicated his dissatisfaction after the breakdown, saying, “It’s nothing you can foresee. I thought we were in complete control of that game. It simply demonstrates that things can change rapidly. You can’t underestimate anything.” Regardless of the frustrating misfortune, Lovullo didn’t feel his group had eased up, even as the game spiraled crazy.

Arizona’s warm up area floundered, surrendering seven runs (six acquired) and 10 hits, which at last chose the game. The blown lead snapped the Diamondbacks’ four-game series of wins and kept them three games behind the San Diego Padres in the race for the NL’s top wild-card spot. With the postseason race fixing, Arizona should turn its concentration to getting a wild-card compartment and holding off the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves in the standings.

Lovullo recognized the group needs to refocus rapidly after the warm up area’s battles.

“You can’t surrender seven runs in three innings,” Lovullo said. “You will lose a great deal of ball games that way assuming that’s emerging from your warm up area.”

Giants Riding High After Sweep

The Giants, meanwhile, come into Monday’s game riding a wave of momentum after a three-game sweep of the Kansas City Royals. San Francisco (77-79) has been on fire during their current road trip, going 5-1, including two wins against the Baltimore Orioles. They outscored Kansas City 13-1 over the three-game set, with back-to-back shutouts to finish the series, capped off by a 2-0 victory on Sunday.

San Francisco manager Bob Melvin praised his team’s resilience, saying, “It’s just nice to get a sweep against a good team. We’re playing good right now.” Despite a disappointing overall season, the Giants are fighting to avoid a losing campaign, needing four more wins in their final six games.

Giants left-hander Blake Snell acknowledged that their recent success is bittersweet, wishing the team had found this form earlier in the season. “It’s frustrating because we know how good we are,” Snell said.

“For us to not get it done the way we could, that’s frustrating, but it speaks a lot about how we want to win. We’re not just going to cave in. We want to play, we want to win.”

Pitching Matchup

The Diamondbacks will send left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez (3-3, 5.09 ERA) to the mound. Rodriguez is coming off an impressive outing against the Colorado Rockies, where he recorded a season-high 11 strikeouts while allowing just two runs over 6 1/3 innings. Rodriguez is looking to build on that success and earn his second consecutive win after losing three straight starts.

Rodriguez has only faced the Giants once in his career, a 2019 start while with the Boston Red Sox, in which he struck out 10 and allowed just one run over six innings. The veteran southpaw will need to replicate that form to help Arizona rebound from Sunday’s setback.

The Giants will counter with right-hander Hayden Birdsong (4-5, 4.74 ERA). Birdsong is coming off a solid performance against the Orioles, where he allowed three runs over 5 2/3 innings, snapping a seven-start winless streak. One of those losses came against the Diamondbacks on Sept. 4, where Birdsong gave up two runs in just three innings, struggling with control as he walked five batters and gave up a solo homer to Eugenio Suarez.

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Key Matchups

Arizona will look to exploit its familiarity with Birdsong, especially after hitting him hard earlier in September. Meanwhile, Giants hitters like Matt Chapman, who is 6-for-14 with four doubles against Rodriguez, will be key to breaking through against the Diamondbacks’ starter.

What’s at Stake

The Diamondbacks need to shake off Sunday’s breakdown and pull together on getting a wild-card spot as the season finisher race warms up. In the interim, the not entirely settled to continue playing spoiler while attempting to complete their season on a high note.

With the two groups having a lot to play for, Monday’s down vows to be a serious undertaking as Arizona hopes to reassert itself and San Francisco intends to proceed with its triumphant ways.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Sun, Sep 22, 19:47 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Arizona Diamondbacks
-1.5
115
-180
O 9
100
San Francisco Giants
+1.5
-135
150
U 9
-120
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