Atlanta Braves vs Ny Mets Mets Picks and Predictions September 24th 2024

From Truist Park in Atlanta, we have an NL East matchup between the Mets and Braves. The Braves are favored on the money line (-143) and have won two straight, while the Mets are +121 and have won two in a row. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 7:20 PM ET, and SNY will be televising the game. Luis Severino is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Spencer Schwellenbach. The Braves are 85-71, while the Mets are 87-69.

New York vs. Atlanta Key Information

Luis Severino is coming off a solid outing vs. the Phillies, where he picked up the win. In that start, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking back over his last three outings, Severino has finished with a no-decision in two of them. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 11-6 with a 3.79 ERA. Opponents are batting .229 off the right-hander this season. Severino has one complete game shutout this year and 14 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.89 strikeouts and 2.98 walks.

For the season, the Mets are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 9th in the league, and are 4th in the league in home runs.

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Francisco Lindor has been hot of late, going 8/32 with three homers over his last eight games. Overall, he is batting .271 with 31 homers. Pete Alonso has also been a big power threat for the Mets, as he is 8th in the league with 34 homers and has driven in a team-high 88 runs. Over his last nine games, Luisangel Acuna is batting .379 with three homers.

Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 7-7 with a 3.61 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Schwellenbach has a WHIP of 1.10 and has turned in 10 quality starts. In his 19 outings, he has allowed a total of 13 home runs. Schwellenbach has been particularly good at home, coming in with a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 4.06. His ERA on the road is the same as his overall mark, 3.61.

Coming into the game, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd best home run-hitting team and have the 6th best isolated power mark in the MLB. Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson have been the team’s top power threats this season, as Ozuna leads the team with 38 homers, and Olson is 2nd on the team with 29 homers.

Over his last five games, Matt Olson has been on fire, going 8/17 with three homers and nine RBIs. Michael Harris II has also been swinging a hot bat, going 12/25 with three homers in his last five games. Harris II is also on a seven-game hitting streak.

Despite this Mets vs. Braves matchup being the 5th lowest projected scoring game in today’s slate, we are leaning towards taking the over. As for a straight-up pick, we are leaning towards the Braves to come out on top. Atlanta starter Spencer Schwellenbach has the 5th best strikeout projection among today’s starters.

Mets, Braves Meet in Critical Series with Wild-Card Implications

The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves face off in a pivotal three-game series starting Tuesday in Atlanta, with both teams looking to solidify their postseason positions in the National League wild-card race. With just six games left in the regular season, the Mets (87-69) hold a narrow half-game lead over the Arizona Diamondbacks (87-70) for the second wild-card spot, while the Braves (85-71) sit two games behind New York, fighting to extend their streak of seven straight playoff appearances.

“These are big games that we’re going to play,” Braves manager Brian Snitker said. “We’ve got six more and they’re all going to be big. We’ll just come up Tuesday and try to go 1-0.”

The season series between these two division rivals is tied at 5-5, and the Mets can secure a playoff spot by winning two out of three games in this series.

Mets Look to Maintain Momentum

The Mets come into the series with confidence, especially after outfielder Brandon Nimmo hit a game-winning home run to secure a victory over the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday.

“It’s going to be a lot of fun,” Nimmo said. “It’s going to be a playoff atmosphere down there, and we’ve been playing playoff baseball honestly for a week now. So we’re just going to take the same energy and attack it with everything we have.”

Right-hander Luis Severino (11-6, 3.79 ERA) will take the mound for New York. Severino has been a consistent presence in the Mets’ rotation, failing to pitch five innings in just two of his 30 starts this season. He has won four straight decisions, including his last outing against the Phillies on Thursday, where he allowed three runs over six innings while striking out seven. Severino has faced Atlanta twice this season without earning a decision, posting a 3.60 ERA over 10 combined innings.

Braves Counter with Rookie Sensation Schwellenbach

For the Braves, rookie right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach (7-7, 3.61 ERA) will start the opener. Schwellenbach has impressed since being called up from Double-A in May, bypassing Triple-A altogether. He’s made 19 starts for the Braves and has won two straight, including a dominant six-inning, one-run performance against the Cincinnati Reds last Wednesday. In his only career appearance against the Mets on July 27, Schwellenbach dazzled, throwing seven scoreless innings with a career-high 11 strikeouts and allowing just two hits.

Initially, it was expected that ace Chris Sale would start the opener for Atlanta, but the Braves opted to give him an extra day of rest. Sale and fellow left-hander Max Fried are slated to pitch the final two games of the series.

Key Players Return for Both Sides

Atlanta will be boosted by the return of second baseman Ozzie Albies from the injured list, though he will only be batting from the right side as he continues to recover. Albies went 2-for-15 with one home run in his return over the weekend against the Miami Marlins.

The Mets may also get a key player back in star shortstop Francisco Lindor, who has been dealing with back pain that has limited him to just one inning since Sept. 13. Lindor took limited batting practice on Sunday, and his return would be a huge boost for New York. He’s hitting .271 with 31 homers, 86 RBIs, and 27 stolen bases in 148 games this season.

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In Lindor’s absence, the Mets have turned to Luisangel Acuna, younger brother of Atlanta star Ronald Acuna Jr., who is currently injured. Luisangel Acuna has made an immediate impact, batting .379 with three home runs and six RBIs in nine games since being recalled from Triple-A Syracuse on Sept. 14.

High Stakes for Both Teams

With the wild-card race heating up, both the Mets and Braves will be fighting hard for every win in this series. New York can clinch its playoff berth with two victories, while the Braves are looking to keep their postseason hopes alive and continue their streak of playoff appearances.

This series promises to be an intense, playoff-like battle between two teams with everything to play for in the final week of the regular season.