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Wednesday’s matchup between the Brewers and Pirates has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The Brewers are currently on a two-game winning streak and have an overall record of 90-67, which has them in 1st place in the NL Central. The Pirates are 5th in the NL Central with a record of 73-84.
Milwaukee is the money line favorite for today’s game, with the odds sitting at -155 compared to the Pirates at +131. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and SN PT will be televising this one.
Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh Key Information
- Teams: Brewers at Pirates
- Where: PNC Park Pittsburgh
- Date: Wednesday, September 25th
- Betting Odds MIL -155 | PIT +131 O/U 7.5
The Brewers Can Win If…
Freddy Peralta is starting for the Brewers today and comes into the game with a record of 11-8 and an ERA of 3.69. So far this year, he has made 31 starts, and opponents are batting .218 off the right-hander. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is 1.23. In his last outing, Peralta finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on two hits. He did give up a homer in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts. Peralta has allowed at least one homer in four of his last five outings.
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 8th in team batting average and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. Milwaukee’s offense has been strong in terms of avoiding strikeouts, and they are also 2nd in the league in walks.
Willy Adames has been a key run producer for the Brewers this season, as his 111 RBIs are 4th best in the league. He also leads the team with 32 homers. William Contreras is batting .283 for the season and is 3rd on the team with 23 homers. Over his last six games, Garrett Mitchell has gone 6/19 with two homers.
- The Brewers are 5-5 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Brewers are 1-4 vs. the run line.
- Milwaukee has an over/under record of 5-4-1 in their last ten games.
- The Brewers have an average of 4.4 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten road games, the Brewers are 7-3
- Looking back across the Brewers last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
- Milwaukee has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Brewers have averaged 6.4 runs per game on offense
The Pirates Can Win If…
Luis L. Ortiz is starting for the Pirates today and comes into the game with a record of 6-6 and an ERA of 3.43. So far, he has made 14 starts, and opponents have hit .219 this season. In his 36 appearances, Ortiz has turned in six quality starts. Most recently, he finished with a no-decision vs. the Cardinals, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had lost two straight starts. The right-hander’s ERA at home is 4.14 compared to 3.42 on the road.
So far this season, the Pirates’ offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 16th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage.
Bryan Reynolds has been the Pirates’ top power threat this season, as his 22 home runs are the most on the team. He also leads the team with 85 RBIs and is batting .276. Oneil Cruz is right behind him in the home run department, with 21, and has driven in 76 runs this season. Cruz has two homers in his last seven games but is just 5/20 in that stretch.
- The Pirates are 3-7 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Pirates are 2-3 vs. the run line.
- Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 3-7 in their last ten games.
- The Pirates have an average of 2.2 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten home games, the Pirates are 4-6
- Looking back across the Pirates last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
- Pittsburgh has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Pirates have averaged 2.5 runs per game on offense
Willy Adames Shines as Brewers Aim for Series Win Against Pirates
Willy Adames is adding another impressive dimension to his game this season for the Milwaukee Brewers. As they prepare to face the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday, Adames looks to continue his standout campaign, which now includes a career-high 20 stolen bases to complement his power at the plate.
A Historic Season for Adames
Adames’ speed on the bases has helped him become the first shortstop in Brewers’ history to notch at least 30 home runs and 20 stolen bases in a single season. After swiping his 20th base in Tuesday’s 7-2 win over the Pirates, Adames reflected on his surprise at reaching the milestone.
“I didn’t think in the beginning I was going to steal 20,” Adames admitted. “Maybe we can go to 25.”
Encouraged by the Brewers’ coaching staff and inspired by his aggressive teammates, Adames has shattered his previous career-high of eight stolen bases from last season. He now joins rookie sensation Jackson Chourio as the first teammates in franchise history to both hit 20 homers and swipe 20 bases in the same year.
“I feel like it was the right mentality to fit in with the boys,” Adames said. “They were aggressive since Day 1, and I just wanted to be involved with them.”
Brewers Preparing for the Playoffs
While Adames’ personal achievements are a bright spot, Brewers manager Pat Murphy remains focused on maintaining the team’s momentum as they prepare for the postseason. Milwaukee (90-67) clinched the National League Central earlier this week and is fine-tuning its performance ahead of the playoffs.
“We’ve got to continue playing decent baseball, we were decent [on Tuesday],” Murphy said. “I’ve said it all year, [Pittsburgh] is not a bad ballclub. They’ve got some hitters, and they’ve got some pitching that we all know about.”
Freddy Peralta Takes the Mound
The Brewers will turn to right-hander Freddy Peralta (11-8, 3.69 ERA) for Wednesday’s game. Peralta has been dominant over his past seven starts, going 4-1 with a 2.19 ERA. His most recent outing on Sept. 18 saw him allow just one run and two hits over five innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, though he didn’t factor into the decision in Milwaukee’s 2-1 win.
Peralta has a strong history against the Pirates, making 21 appearances (12 starts) with a 2-1 record and a 3.56 ERA. However, he last faced Pittsburgh in April, where he struggled with control, allowing five runs on five hits and five walks over 4 2/3 innings.
Pirates Turn to Luis Ortiz
For the Pirates (73-84), right-hander Luis L. Ortiz (6-6, 3.43 ERA) will get the start. Ortiz has had a mixed September, but he’s coming off a solid performance against the St. Louis Cardinals, where he allowed two runs on five hits over six innings and struck out seven.
“My whole focus today was to get weak contact, and the strikeouts showed up,” Ortiz said after that start. “That was not in my mind to strike people out, but making quality pitches, that’s what happened and we’re pretty happy.”
Ortiz has performed well against the Brewers, with a 1-0 record and a 2.93 ERA in four appearances (two starts). In two relief outings this year against Milwaukee, he posted a 3.86 ERA.
Game Outlook
As the Brewers look to secure a series win and continue building momentum for the playoffs, Adames will aim to add to his historic season, while Peralta seeks another quality start. Meanwhile, the Pirates, with Ortiz on the mound, hope to play spoiler and build on his recent success as they close out their season.
The Lean
Look for the Brewers to come out on top in today’s matchup vs. the Pirates, and we are leaning towards taking them on the money line. As for how we would play the over/under line, we would go with the over, as this is projected to be the 6th highest-scoring game of today’s slate. This game is also expected to have the 7th most hits, and the 2nd fewest home runs.
