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There does appear to be a chance of rain for Thursday’s Orioles vs. Yankees matchup in New York, as the forecasted temperature is 71 degrees. The game will get started at 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium.
Corbin Burnes will go for the Orioles, as they are facing a Yankees team that is 92-66 and they are on a two-game losing streak. The money line odds have the Yankees as the favorite at -147, while the Orioles are +123. Thursday’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and MLBN is carrying this game on TV.
Baltimore vs. New York Key Information
- Teams: Orioles at Yankees
- Where: Yankee Stadium New York
- Date: Thursday, September 26th
- Betting Odds NYY -147 | BAL +123 O/U 7.5
The Orioles Can Win If…
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 15-8 with an ERA of 2.95. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.11, and opponents are batting .212 off him this year. In his 31 appearances, Burnes has turned in 22 quality starts, and his ERA at home is 3.32 compared to 3.07 on the road. Burnes most recently faced the Yankees on September 8th, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work.
Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Not only are the Orioles near the top of the league in home runs, but they also have the 2nd best isolated power mark in the league. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league.
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Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 44 home runs are 3rd in the league. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .184 over his last 10 games. Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, going 14/41 in his last 10 games, and is currently on a seven-game hitting streak.
- The Orioles are 5-5 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Orioles are 3-2 vs. the run line.
- Baltimore has an over/under record of 6-4 in their last ten games.
- The Orioles have an average of 5.6 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten road games, the Orioles are 5-5
- Looking back across the Orioles last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
- Baltimore has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Orioles have averaged 4.2 runs per game on offense
The Yankees Can Win If…
Gerrit Cole will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Athletics and picked up the win. In that September 20th outing, he went nine innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Cole has made 16 starts, and his record for the season is 7-5. The right-hander’s ERA is 3.67, along with a WHIP of 1.18. Opposing batters have a batting average of .218 vs. Cole this season. Out of his 16 starts, he has seven quality starts and is averaging 9.58 strikeouts per nine innings.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top-scoring offense in the MLB, averaging 5 runs per game. This has been even better on the road, where they are averaging 5.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and have the best team on-base percentage in the league.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 10/26 with four homers over his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .324 and has a league-leading 142 RBIs. Juan Soto is also a big power threat in the Yankees lineup, as he has 41 homers this season, which is 4th in the league.
- The Yankees are 6-4 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Yankees are 3-2 vs. the run line.
- New York has an over/under record of 4-6 in their last ten games.
- The Yankees have an average of 6.2 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten home games, the Yankees are 7-3
- Looking back across the Yankees last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
- New York has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Yankees have averaged 4.8 runs per game on offense
The Lean
For an over/under pick, our lean would be to take the over, as this is projected to be the 7th highest-scoring game of today’s league slate. As for who is going to take this one straight-up, we have our lean on the Orioles to pick up the win. Baltimore’s offense has the 4th highest home run projection, and Corbin Burnes is 9th in our projections in starting pitcher strikeouts.
Orioles Look to Ride Loud Bats to Another Win Over Yankees
The Baltimore Orioles’ offense has come alive in recent games, keeping the New York Yankees’ American League East champagne on hold. As the two division rivals meet Thursday night for the final game of the season series, Baltimore hopes their bats can stay hot, while the Yankees aim to finally clinch the AL East title.
High-Stakes Pitching Duel: Burnes vs. Cole
Offensive production could be limited with a marquee pitching matchup on the horizon. Baltimore’s Corbin Burnes (15-8, 2.95 ERA) will face off against New York’s Gerrit Cole (7-5, 3.67 ERA) in a battle of right-handed Cy Young Award winners.
The Orioles (88-70) lead the season series 8-4 and have already secured a wild-card spot. A win Thursday would continue their momentum into the playoffs while also denying the Yankees (92-66) an opportunity to clinch the division title.
Orioles Riding Momentum After Recent Wins
The Orioles prevented the Yankees from securing the AL East by jumping out to an early seven-run lead in Wednesday’s 9-7 victory. Baltimore racked up 17 hits — 14 of which were singles — tying their third-highest total of the season.
Key contributions came from rookie Gunner Henderson, who had three hits and is batting .387 over his past seven games. Colton Cowser also impressed with three RBIs and a .344 batting average over his last nine games.
“We’ve been able to string together good at-bats,” Cowser said. “I think we were just missing the big hit the past couple of months, but now we’re finding that rhythm, and getting some key guys back has helped.”
Yankees Looking to Clinch the AL East
The Yankees are eager to secure their second AL East title in three seasons, but they’ll need to overcome Baltimore’s momentum. Aaron Judge has been instrumental in New York’s recent performances, hitting a three-run homer in the ninth inning of Wednesday’s game — his 57th of the season. Judge has homered in his last four games, providing a spark for the Yankees’ offense.
Juan Soto also contributed with a home run and an RBI single in a 10-hit night for New York. Despite missing the chance to clinch the division on Wednesday, Yankees manager Aaron Boone remains confident.
“Nothing’s been easy for us,” Boone said. “We’ve had to grind through everything, but we’ve persevered and we’ll keep pushing.”
Cole and Burnes: Pitching Stars Set to Shine
Gerrit Cole will make his final regular-season start on Thursday before the postseason begins. Cole has allowed two or fewer runs in nine of his last 12 outings and is coming off his longest start of the season, allowing just one run in nine innings against the Oakland Athletics. Cole is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA in two starts against Baltimore this season and boasts a 6-3 record with a 2.57 ERA in 14 career starts against the Orioles.
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On the other side, Corbin Burnes has been lights-out recently, posting back-to-back scoreless starts against the Detroit Tigers. Burnes has struck out 15 batters and allowed just five hits in 14 innings during those outings. He has given up two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, bouncing back after tough losses to the Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros last month. Burnes will look to avenge an early-season loss to the Yankees, where he allowed two runs in six innings.
Conclusion
With Burnes and Cole on the mound and both teams seeking crucial wins, Thursday’s game promises to be a thrilling contest as the Yankees look to finally clinch the division, and the Orioles aim to keep their bats hot heading into the playoffs.
