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From Target Field in Minneapolis, the Orioles and Twins will face off in an AL matchup. This one gets started at 3:10 PM ET, and MASN will be televising the game. The Twins are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -169, while the Orioles are the +141 underdog.
Albert Suarez will be starting for the Orioles, and they are 90-71 overall and have won two straight. Bailey Ober is on the mound for the Twins, and he will be looking to help his team avoid a four-game losing streak. However, the Twins are 4th in the AL Central.
Baltimore vs. Minnesota Key Information
- Teams: Orioles at Twins
- Where: Target Field Minneapolis
- Date: Sunday, September 29th
- Betting Odds MIN -169 | BAL +141 O/U 7.5
The Orioles Can Win If…
Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.74 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32, and he has turned in six quality starts. In his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. He has lost each of his last three starts. The right-hander did have a stretch where he went 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA in three starts. Suárez has allowed a total of 15 home runs this season.
For the season, the Orioles are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are 2nd in the league in home runs and have a collective batting average of .250, which is 6th in the MLB.
Adley Rutschman has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/27 in his last six games. This stretch has pushed his season average up to .282. Anthony Santander is the team’s top power hitter, as his 44 home runs are 3rd in the league. However, he is batting just .235 for the season.
- The Orioles are 6-4 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Orioles are 4-1 vs. the run line.
- Baltimore has an over/under record of 8-2 in their last ten games.
- The Orioles have an average of 6.2 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten road games, the Orioles are 6-4
- Looking back across the Orioles last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
- Baltimore has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Orioles have averaged 4.5 runs per game on offense
The Twins Can Win If…
Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Orioles at home. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 12-8 with a 3.94 ERA. Opposing batters have hit .205 off Ober this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.00. Ober’s last outing came on September 24th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, going 7 innings and giving up just two earned runs while notching 12 strikeouts. Ober has one complete game and 18 quality starts this year.
Carlos Santana comes into the game with the Twins’ top batting average, but he is hitting just .237 this season. However, he does lead the team with 22 home runs and 70 RBIs. Willi Castro is batting .247 for the season and has gone deep 12 times. Ryan Jeffers is also near the top of the Twins’ home run leaderboard, but he has struggled to a batting average of just .226.
Over his last six games, Byron Buxton has gone 9/26, which is good for a batting average of .346. During this stretch, he has one home run and three RBIs. Carlos Santana is also on a four-game hitting streak.
- The Twins are 2-8 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Twins are 1-4 vs. the run line.
- Minnesota has an over/under record of 7-3 in their last ten games.
- The Twins have an average of 3.8 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten home games, the Twins are 2-8
- Looking back across the Twins last five games as the favorite, they are 1-4
- Minnesota has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Twins have averaged 2.3 runs per game on offense
Orioles Vie for Sweep of Twins Prior to Start of Playoffs
The Baltimore Orioles are looking to keep the positive energy flowing before they head into the playoffs. Baltimore (90-71) wraps up their regular season with a matchup against the Minnesota Twins (82-79) on Sunday afternoon in Minneapolis. The Orioles are eyeing a sweep after commanding wins in the first two games of the series, taking a 7-2 victory on Friday and following it up with a 9-2 rout on Saturday.
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde expressed his satisfaction with the team’s performance during their recent 4-1 road trip, as they gear up to host a Wild Card playoff series next week.
“A lot of guys have played really well on this road trip, so I’m encouraged by how we’re playing going into the postseason,” Hyde said.
Twins Hope to Salvage Finale Amid Fan Frustration
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Twins are set to play one last game before entering an offseason filled with uncertainties. Fan frustration has been palpable, with chants of “fire Rocco”—a reference to manager Rocco Baldelli—resounding amidst the team’s collapse over the final weeks of the season. Just a few weeks ago, the Twins were 16 games above .500 in mid-August, but their recent struggles have eroded much of the optimism around the team.
Twins right-hander Bailey Ober, who is set to start on Sunday, has been vocal in defending his manager, insisting that the blame falls squarely on the players.
“I feel like most of the blame should be on the players,” Ober said. “If the players hear that, I don’t think anyone is really agreeing with (firing Baldelli). It’s like, seriously, can’t you see what’s going on? He’s not the one at fault for this mishap that happened. We didn’t get it done.”
Orioles’ Probable Starter: Albert Suarez
The Orioles will turn to Albert Suarez (8-7, 3.74 ERA) for the regular-season finale. The 34-year-old right-hander will make his 32nd appearance and 24th start of the season. Suarez will be looking to bounce back after two consecutive losses in his last starts against the San Francisco Giants and Detroit Tigers.
In his most recent outing, Suarez allowed four runs on five hits over five innings against Detroit, walking one and striking out six. This will be his second career start against Minnesota. In his first outing back in April, Suarez pitched impressively, tossing 5 2/3 scoreless innings and allowing just three hits.
Twins’ Probable Starter: Bailey Ober
The Twins will counter with Bailey Ober (12-8, 3.94 ERA) in their final game of the season. Ober has been a consistent presence in Minnesota’s rotation, collecting 187 strikeouts across 173 2/3 innings. However, in his most recent outing against the Miami Marlins, Ober gave up four runs on eight hits over five innings, with two walks and seven strikeouts.
Ober has performed well against Baltimore in the past, boasting a 1-0 record with an impressive 0.69 ERA in two career starts. Over those 13 innings, he struck out 13 batters while issuing just three walks, making him a formidable opponent for the Orioles’ lineup.
/spa
Emmanuel Rivera Stays Hot
One standout performer for Baltimore has been infielder Emmanuel Rivera, who had an exceptional outing on Saturday. Rivera went 4-for-4, smashing a double, two home runs, and driving in four RBIs. This standout performance brings his season home run total to five, with four of those coming in the 26 games since he joined the Orioles from the Miami Marlins.
“It was something really special,” Rivera said through an interpreter. “I think every baseball player hopes to have a night like tonight, and thankfully I was able to have that one tonight.”
Keys to the Game
Momentum for the Orioles
The Orioles have been firing on all cylinders during their road trip, and a sweep of the Twins would provide crucial momentum heading into the postseason. The offense has been explosive, and their pitching has remained steady, giving the team a solid foundation as they approach their Wild Card matchup.
Pride for the Twins
While the Twins’ postseason dreams are over, a win on Sunday would end the season on a positive note and provide a boost of confidence heading into the offseason. With Bailey Ober on the mound, Minnesota is hoping to avoid the sweep and finish their season with some pride intact.
Pitching Matchup
Both starters are key to their team’s success in this game. Albert Suarez will aim to rebound after some recent struggles, while Bailey Ober hopes to end the season strong and prove his value as a rotation piece for Minnesota moving forward.
The Orioles are focused on the big picture—preparing for the playoffs—while the Twins are simply looking to wrap up their season on a positive note. Sunday’s game presents one last opportunity for both teams to showcase their strengths and finish their regular season campaigns on a high note.
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The Lean
For an over/under pick, our lean is on the over, as we have this as the 8th highest-scoring game of the day. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we have our lean on the Twins to come out on top. Bailey Ober has the 2nd best chance to pick up a win among today’s starters, and Albert Suárez has the 6th best strikeout projection compared to Bailey Ober (5th best).
