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David Peterson will start for the Mets on Sunday, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak. New York is 87-72 this season and they are 3rd in the NL East. The Brewers have won three straight and are 93-68 overall. Colin Rea will be on the mound for Milwaukee.
The over/under line for Sunday’s matchup is at 8 runs, and the Mets are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -123 compared to the Brewers at +104. This one will get started at 3:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the game will be televised on BSWI.
New York vs. Milwaukee Key Information
- Teams: Mets at Brewers
- Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
- Date: Sunday, September 29th
- Betting Odds NYM -123 | MIL +104 O/U 8
The Mets Can Win If…
Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is 1.33. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had pitched well, going 7 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. So far, he has made 11 quality starts and is averaging 7.34 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets offense is 7th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, the Mets are 6th in the league in home runs and have the 10th best team batting average in the league.
Francisco Lindor comes into the game with a batting average of .271 and is 2nd on the team with 31 homers. Pete Alonso is right ahead of him in the home run department, as he leads the Mets with 34 homers but is batting just .241 this season. Over his last five games, Jose Iglesias is hitting .421 and is currently on a 19-game hitting streak.
- The Mets are 6-4 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Mets are 2-3 vs. the run line.
- New York has an over/under record of 6-4 in their last ten games.
- The Mets have an average of 2.6 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten road games, the Mets are 4-6
- Looking back across the Mets last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
- New York has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Mets have averaged 3.4 runs per game on offense
The Brewers Can Win If…
Milwaukee is sending Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he has made 26 starts this season. Rea’s record is 12-5, and his ERA is 4.17. So far, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.22 strikeouts per nine innings. Rea’s last outing came out of the bullpen, where he went 1 1/3 innings, giving up two hits and not allowing a run. He didn’t factor into the decision in that outing. Before that, he had gone 2 2/3 innings out of the bullpen and didn’t allow a run in that appearance either.
As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Milwaukee is also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and walks. The Brewers have been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, but they are just 15th in home runs.
Willy Adames has been a key power threat for the Brewers this season, as his 32 home runs are 11th in the league and the top mark on the team. He is also 4th in the league in RBIs, with 112. William Contreras has also been a key run producer, as his 92 RBIs are 2nd on the team and he is hitting .281 for the season.
- The Brewers are 6-4 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Brewers are 4-1 vs. the run line.
- Milwaukee has an over/under record of 4-6 in their last ten games.
- The Brewers have an average of 5.4 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten home games, the Brewers are 6-4
- Looking back across the Brewers last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
- Milwaukee has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Brewers have averaged 5.1 runs per game on offense
With Wild Card on the Line, Mets Clash with Brewers
The New York Mets find themselves in a precarious position as they face the Milwaukee Brewers in the regular-season finale on Sunday afternoon. Their playoff fate hangs in the balance, as they need to win all their remaining games to clinch a wild-card spot in the National League. However, standing in their way are the red-hot Brewers, who have already taken the first two games of this crucial series.
Current Playoff Picture
The Mets (87-72) have hit a rough patch at the worst possible time, losing their past three games, including the first two of this series against the Brewers. Saturday’s 6-0 loss saw six Milwaukee pitchers combine on a two-hit shutout, pushing the Mets further back in the wild-card race. The Brewers (93-68), having already secured the NL Central title and the No. 3 seed, are gearing up for a wild-card series beginning on Tuesday.
Currently, the Mets are a game behind the Atlanta Braves for the second NL wild-card spot and tied with the Arizona Diamondbacks (88-73) for the final spot. The Braves (88-71) won against the Kansas City Royals on Saturday night, while Arizona fell to the San Diego Padres. This outcome left the Mets with little room for error; winning on Sunday is essential to keep their postseason hopes alive.
“Not winning the past couple of days is putting us in a difficult situation,” said Mets manager Carlos Mendoza on Saturday night. “But we have to come back tomorrow, and we have to win the game tomorrow. That’s the bottom line. And then see where we are at the end of the day tomorrow and then go to Atlanta and see what we’ve got.”
Pitching Matchup: David Peterson vs. Colin Rea
The Mets are sending left-hander David Peterson (9-3, 3.08 ERA) to the mound for Sunday’s do-or-die game. Peterson has been solid recently, posting a 3.14 ERA over his past seven starts, although he struggled in his last outing on September 20, allowing five runs (four earned) in just 3 2/3 innings during a 12-2 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. Historically, Peterson has not fared well against Milwaukee, with a 1-1 record and a 6.14 ERA in four career appearances (three starts).
The Brewers will counter with right-hander Colin Rea (12-5, 4.17 ERA), who has had an up-and-down season. While Rea was consistent through much of the year, he has stumbled lately, posting an 8.44 ERA in five appearances (three starts) this month. His struggles were highlighted by a rough start on September 11, when he allowed ten runs in four innings in a loss to the San Francisco Giants. However, Rea has performed well against the Mets in his career, boasting a 3-0 record with
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The Lean
Today’s matchup between the Mets and Brewers has the highest projected runs total in the league, and our lean would be to the over in this one. As for how we are playing the money line, we would be leaning toward the Brewers to come out on top. Colin Rea is our 6th ranked starting pitcher in terms of innings pitched, and David Peterson is 4th in projected strikeouts.
