Texas A&m Aggies vs Missouri Tigers Picks and Predictions October 5th 2024

ABC will be covering the matchup between the Missouri Tigers and Texas A&M Aggies as they face off at 12:00 ET from Kyle Field in College Station. The over/under line is currently sitting at 48.5 points for this game. The Aggies are the slight -2 point favorites at home. Both teams come in with a 4-1 record, and Missouri is looking to stay perfect after a 4-0 start to their season.

Missouri vs. Texas A&M Key Information

Missouri heads into Week 6 against Texas A&M with a 4-0 record, sitting 14th in our power rankings. They have a 99.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 1.7% shot at winning the Southeastern, according to projections. The Tigers also have the 14th best odds to make the CFB playoff, with a 32.4% chance.

Missouri is 2-0 at home this season and has been favored in two of their four games. They’ve gone 2-0 as the favorite, with an average scoring margin of +24.5 points per game. Against the spread, they are 1-1 at home.

This season, Missouri’s games have averaged 48.5 points, while their average over/under line is 51.8 points. This week’s line is set at 48.5, with three games having higher lines and two games with lower totals.

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Missouri’s offense is averaging 36.5 points per game, ranking 25th in the nation as they head into week 6. They are also 6th in third-down conversions, with a 54.7% success rate. In our offensive power rankings, Missouri is 47th.

Quarterback Brady Cook has thrown for 946 yards, completing 68.7% of his passes. He has four touchdowns and one interception, with a passer rating of 95. Nate Noel leads the rushing attack with 441 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Theo Wease Jr. has 287 receiving yards on 26 catches.

Missouri’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 7th nationally by allowing just 12 points per game. They’ve also limited opponents to 127.2 passing yards per game, the 7th-lowest in the country, with quarterbacks managing a 48.7% completion rate and a 62.8 passer rating.

In their recent game against Vanderbilt, Missouri’s defense allowed 27 points, including 325 total yards. Vanderbilt rushed 35 times for 147 yards and completed 14 passes for 178 yards and two touchdowns.

Texas A&M enters Week 6 against Missouri with a 4-1 record, ranking 18th in our power rankings. The Aggies have a 97.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 1.3% shot at winning the Southeastern. At home, they are 2-1 this season.

They’ve been favored in four of their five games, going 3-1 as the favorite, but their ATS record is 1-3. At home, they are 0-3 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +11 points per game.

The over/under line for this week is 48.5 points. Texas A&M’s games have averaged 47 points, with their over/under record at 1-3 and an average line of 48.4 points.

Heading into week 6, Texas A&M’s offense is averaging 29 points per game, placing them 53rd in the nation. They are ranked 48th in our offensive power rankings. The Aggies have leaned heavily on their ground game, ranking 6th in rushing attempts and 7th in rushing yards, with an average of 232.6 yards per game.

Le’Veon Moss leads the rushing attack with 471 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. Quarterback Marcel Reed has thrown for 585 yards and six touchdowns without an interception. Texas A&M ranks 100th in passing yards per game, and their third-down conversion rate is 38.7%.

Texas A&M’s defense has been solid this season, allowing just 18 points per game, which ranks 31st nationally. In their recent game against Arkansas, they gave up 17 points but held the Razorbacks to 100 rushing yards on 30 attempts. Arkansas also threw for 279 yards, completing 23 of 41 passes, while Texas A&M’s defense forced one interception.

Opponents have averaged 123.8 rushing yards per game on 30 attempts against Texas A&M, and quarterbacks have posted a 68.2 passer rating, completing 57.4% of their throws for an average of 207 yards per game.

Our projections have Texas A&M winning this matchup as -2 point spreads at home, with a final score of 26-20. Given this, we would recommend taking the Aggies to cover the spread.

For the over/under line, which is set at 48.5 points, we have a combined score of 46 points, making the under the best bet for this game.

No. 9 Missouri-No. 25 Texas A&M Features Strong Running Games

COLUMBIA, Mo. — No. 9 Missouri will face its toughest challenge of the season as the Tigers head to College Station, Texas, to take on No. 25 Texas A&M on Saturday. The matchup features two teams boasting strong ground games and high stakes in the Southeastern Conference (SEC).

Missouri’s First Road Test Amid Heat and Noise

After starting the season with four home games, Missouri (4-0, 1-0 SEC) now faces a major test on the road. The Tigers will battle the Aggies (4-1, 2-0) in the imposing environment of Kyle Field, where more than 100,000 fans are expected to create distractions for the visiting team.

“It’s going to be hot,” Missouri coach Eli Drinkwitz said, referencing the forecast of 92-degree weather. “Then, you’re going to have to combine that with 105,000 people who joined forces and trying to create distractions for your team.”

Uncertainty at Quarterback for Texas A&M

Texas A&M is preparing for the game with questions at quarterback. Coach Mike Elko indicated that Conner Weigman could potentially return as the starter, but it remains a game-time decision due to a shoulder injury.

“Not trying to play games with that,” Elko said. “It’s just one of those things with the shoulder. So he’ll be a game-time decision again this week.”

Missouri coach Drinkwitz is preparing for the possibility that dual-threat quarterback Marcel Reed could be the Aggies’ starter. Reed has impressed with both his arm and his legs, passing for 585 yards and six touchdowns while rushing for 230 yards and two more scores.

“We’ll anticipate Marcel being the starting quarterback,” Drinkwitz said. “Marcel Reed is a little bit more mobile.”

Texas A&M’s Potent Running Game

Regardless of who starts at quarterback, Texas A&M has leaned heavily on its rushing attack, averaging 5.5 yards per carry this season. Running back Le’Veon Moss has been the standout, rushing for 471 yards and three touchdowns with an impressive 6.2 yards per carry.

“Moss has emerged as a more consistent performer,” Elko said. “He feels much better from a physical stature, strength, stamina standpoint than he ever has.”

Amari Daniels has also contributed with 211 rushing yards and two touchdowns, making the Aggies’ backfield a major threat for the Tigers’ defense.

Missouri’s Ground Attack Leads the Way

Missouri has also relied on its rushing game during its 4-0 start, averaging 5.2 yards per carry. Nate Noel has been the star of the Tigers’ ground game, racking up 441 yards on a 6.4-yard average.

Though Missouri has yet to fully unleash its passing game, quarterback Brady Cook has been effective, completing 92 of 134 passes for 946 yards and four touchdowns. Wide receivers Luther Burden III and Theo Wease Jr. are Cook’s top targets, with Burden recording 257 receiving yards and four touchdowns.

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Defensive Matchup and Key Playmakers

Texas A&M’s defense will have to contain Missouri’s running game while dealing with Burden, a standout receiver. “Luther Burden is the headliner,” Elko said. “He’s about to go on pace to [surpass 1,200 yards] again this year. An electric kid, they play him in the slot primarily.”

Elko also pointed out Missouri’s experienced offensive line, with three starters entering their third year, which will be pivotal in the battle for the trenches.

High Stakes in the SEC

With both teams performing well early in the season, the matchup carries significant weight in the SEC. Missouri is aiming to maintain its unbeaten record, while Texas A&M seeks to continue its momentum and solidify its standing in the conference.

This showdown between two teams with potent running games and evolving offenses promises to be a key game as the SEC season heats up.