L.a. Rams Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks and Predictions October 20th 2024

Rams vs Raiders October 20th 2024

With the over/under line set at 43.5 points, the Raiders and Rams will face off at 4:05 ET on Sunday, October 20th at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. The Rams are favored by -5.5 points on the point spread, and their money line odds are -247. The game is a non-conference matchup, and you can catch the action on CBS.

Las Vegas vs. Los Angeles Key Information

Teams: Raiders at Rams
Where: SoFi Stadium Inglewood
Date: Sunday, October 20th
Betting Odds LAR -247 | LV +203 O/U 43.5

The Raiders Can Win If…

Heading into week 7, the Raiders are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 32-13 home loss to the Steelers in week 6. Las Vegas was a 3.5-point underdog in that game, and they were unable to cover the spread. The O/U line was set at 37 points, and the teams combined for 45. The over has now hit in two straight Raiders games.

Las Vegas currently sits 28th in our NFL power rankings and has a 6.8% chance of making the playoffs. They have a 0.3% chance of winning the AFC West, where they are 0-2. The Raiders are 2-4 overall and 1-2 both at home and on the road.

Heading into week 7, the Raiders are 28th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 24th in the NFL in points per game (18.2) and 27th in yards per game (293.3). Las Vegas has relied heavily on the passing game, with 35.3 attempts per game, which ranks 6th in the league, while they are 17th in passing yards per game (213.8). On the ground, the Raiders are near the bottom of the league, ranking 29th in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards per game (79.5). They are 23rd in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 11th in red zone conversion percentage.

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In week 6, Aidan O’Connell threw for 227 yards (27/40), with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Brock Bowers led the team with 9 catches for 71 yards, and Alexander Mattison had 33 rushing yards on 14 carries. The Raiders scored 7 points in the 1st quarter and 6 in the 4th, but were shut out in the 2nd and 3rd quarters. They struggled on 3rd down, converting just 2 of 11 attempts, but scored on 2 of 3 red zone trips.

Despite giving up 183 rushing yards on 35 attempts, the Raiders’ defense held the Steelers to just 110 yards passing in their 32-13 loss. Las Vegas allowed only 14 completions on 24 attempts (58.3%) and didn’t give up any passing touchdowns. They also recorded three sacks and held Pittsburgh to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down.

However, the Raiders struggled to stop the run, as the Steelers were able to gain 183 yards on the ground, averaging 5.2 yards per attempt. Overall, the Raiders’ defense allowed 293 yards, with their offense managing just 13 points in the defeat.

The Raiders have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. Their record vs the spread sits at 1-2 in these matchups, while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
Las Vegas has put together a record of 5-5 in their last ten games (regular season). Against the spread, Las Vegas went 6-4 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 7-3.

The Rams Can Win If…

Heading into week 7, the Rams are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 24-19 home loss to the Packers in week 5. This dropped their record to 1-4, putting them 4th in the NFC West. Our power rankings have them 18th, and we give them an 11.6% chance of making the playoffs. Their odds of winning the division sit at 9.4%.

Against the spread, the Rams are 1-4, with their only win coming in week 3 when they beat the 49ers. They were 6-point underdogs in that game. Their O/U record is 3-2, with their games averaging 46.6 points compared to an average line of 47.1.

Heading into week 7, the Rams rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in scoring, averaging 18.8 points per game, and 16th in total yards, with 324 per game. Los Angeles ranks 12th in passing yards per game (226.6) and 27th in rushing, with 97.4 yards per game on the ground. They are 15th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 40.3% success rate, and 14th in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 7th in red zone attempts.

Matthew Stafford threw for 260 yards (29/45) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception in week 5. Kyren Williams rushed for 102 yards on 22 carries, while Jordan Whittington had 7 catches for 89 yards. The Rams scored 13 points in the 2nd quarter and 6 in the 4th, converting 8 of 16 3rd-down attempts and 2 of 3 red zone trips.

In the Rams’ 24-19 loss to the Packers, their defense allowed just 15 completions for 197 yards but gave up two passing touchdowns. The Rams’ defense held the Packers to just 12.5% on third down and forced one interception. However, they allowed 126 rushing yards on 30 attempts, with Green Bay finishing with 323 total yards.

Despite allowing only 197 passing yards, the Rams’ defense struggled to pressure the quarterback, finishing with just two sacks and a -7 differential in quarterback hits. The Packers found success through the air, averaging 7.6 yards per attempt.

Los Angeles has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 2-1.
The Rams have gone 6-4 over their last ten regular season games. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 5-4-1 and an over-under mark of 4-6.

The Lean

Our pick vs. the spread for this week seven matchup between the Raiders and Rams is to take the Raiders to cover as road underdogs. The point spread currently sits at +5.5 in favor of the Raiders, and we have them winning 24-15.

For this game, we also like the under as a strong play. The line is currently at 43.5 points, and our projections have these teams combining for just 39 points.