Pittsburgh Steelers vs N.y. Jets Jets Picks and Predictions October 20th 2024

Pittsburgh Steelers vs N.Y. Jets Jets NFL Sun, Oct 20, 20:20 pm.
Pittsburgh Steelers
ML: 125
0
0
N.Y. Jets Jets
ML: -145
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The Jets are the road favorite in their week seven AFC matchup against the Steelers. The game, which kicks off at 8:20 ET on Sunday, October 20th, is being televised on NBC. The Jets’ money line odds are -118, while the Steelers’ odds are -102. The Jets are favored by -1.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 36.5 points.

New York vs. Pittsburgh Key Information

  • Teams: Jets at Steelers
  • Where: Acrisure Stadium Pittsburgh
  • Date: Sunday, October 20th
  • Betting Odds NYJ -118 | PIT -102 O/U 36.5

The Jets Can Win If…

Heading into week 7, the Jets are on a three-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-4. After a week 3 win over the Patriots, New York has lost to the Broncos (10-9), Vikings (23-17), and Bills (23-20). They were unable to cover the spread in any of these games, including a 1-point loss to Denver as 8-point favorites. Against Buffalo, the Jets were +1 and couldn’t pull off the win at home.

Despite their losing streak, the Jets still have a 46.1% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They currently rank 11th in our NFL power rankings and are 3rd in the AFC East with a 1-1 division record. New York is +0.8 in scoring margin and is 2-4 against the spread this season.

Heading into week 7, the Jets rank 24th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 18.8 points per game, and 22nd in total yards with 304.3 per game. Despite ranking 3rd in the league in passing attempts, they are 16th in passing yards, averaging 217.2 per game. On the ground, they rank 30th in rushing yards per game, with 87.2, on 22.3 attempts per game. New York ranks 11th in 3rd-down conversions and 10th in red zone conversion percentage, with a 41.2% success rate.

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Aaron Rodgers threw for 294 yards (23/35) and 2 touchdowns in week 6, with 1 interception. Breece Hall had 18 carries for 113 yards, and Allen Lazard caught 6 passes for 114 yards and a touchdown. The Jets scored 20 points against Buffalo, with 10 coming in the 1st quarter, but they were shut out in the 4th quarter. New York converted 4 of 12 3rd downs and went 1/4 in the red zone.

In their 23-20 loss to the Bills, the Jets’ defense allowed Buffalo to convert on 45.5% of their third down attempts. The Jets gave up 149 rushing yards on 33 attempts and allowed 210 passing yards on 19 completions. Overall, the Jets gave up 359 total yards in the game.

The Jets’ defense struggled to stop the big plays, as Buffalo averaged 8.4 yards per attempt through the air and had two passing touchdowns. New York managed only two sacks and lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials, both by a margin of -3. Additionally, the Bills’ quarterbacks completed 76% of their passes against the Jets.

  • Over their last three regular season games, the Jets have gone 0-3 straight up. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 0-3 and an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Over their last ten regular season games, the Jets have gone 4-6 straight up. Against the spread, New York went 3-7 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 4-5-1.

The Steelers Can Win If…

After two straight losses, the Steelers got back on track in week 6 with a 32-13 road win over the Raiders. Pittsburgh entered the game as 3.5-point favorites and easily covered the spread, improving their record to 4-2. The win keeps the Steelers in 2nd place in the AFC North, and our projections give them a 70.7% chance of making the playoffs.

Heading into week 7, the Steelers rank 16th in our NFL power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +6.3 points per game and are 4-2 against the spread. Their O/U record is 2-4, with their games averaging 35 points compared to an average line of 39.5.

Heading into week 7, the Steelers rank 18th in our offensive power rankings, scoring 20.7 points per game, which also places them 18th in the NFL. They are 26th in passing yards per game (166.8) and 27th in passing attempts. On the ground, Pittsburgh leans heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 9th in rushing yards per game (131.5). They are 17th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 39% success rate.

In week 6, the Steelers put up 32 points in a win over the Raiders, scoring 10 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters. Justin Fields threw for 145 yards on 14/24 passing, while Najee Harris rushed for 106 yards on 14 carries. George Pickens led the receiving corps with 53 yards on 3 catches.

In their 32-13 win over the Raiders, the Steelers’ defense was dominant, allowing just 57 rushing yards on 19 attempts. They also held Las Vegas to an 18.2% third-down conversion rate and limited them to 218 passing yards. Pittsburgh defended the run well, allowing only 3 yards per attempt.

The Steelers’ defense picked off one pass and held the Raiders to one touchdown through the air. They finished with one sack and forced Las Vegas into a number of long-yardage situations, as the Raiders’ offense managed just 275 total yards.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Pittsburgh have gone 2-1. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Across Pittsburgh’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 6-4. Across these games, their ATS record was just 6-4, while posting an over-under record of 4-6.

The Lean

For this week seven matchup between the Jets and Steelers, we have the Jets pulling off the upset with a 16-14 win over the Steelers. With the Jets being 1.5-point road favorites, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Jets to cover.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 36.5 points, we have a projection of 30 combined points, making the under a good play in this one.

The New York Jets are in the midst of significant changes, aiming to turn their season around as they prepare for a Sunday night matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Jets (2-4) are coming off a tumultuous stretch, with a coaching change and a key acquisition that could alter their fortunes.

Major Changes in New York

Last week, the Jets fired head coach Robert Saleh following a 23-20 loss to the Minnesota Vikings on Oct. 6. Interim head coach Jeff Ulbrich has taken over, hoping to reverse the Jets’ three-game losing streak. However, the big news in New York is the addition of star wide receiver Davante Adams, acquired from the Las Vegas Raiders. Adams will reunite with quarterback Aaron Rodgers, rekindling a partnership that thrived for years with the Green Bay Packers.

Adams and Rodgers were one of the most productive duos in the NFL during their time in Green Bay. Over six seasons, Adams hauled in 581 catches for 7,192 yards and 69 touchdowns, earning five consecutive Pro Bowl selections. Now, he joins a Jets team in need of offensive firepower.

“I’ll be able to roll,” Adams said after practicing with the Jets on Wednesday. “I’m feeling good right now.”

Adams had 18 catches for 209 yards and one touchdown in three games with the Raiders this season before missing the past three contests with a hamstring injury. His reunion with Rodgers could provide a major spark to a Jets offense that has struggled, averaging just 18.8 points and 304.3 yards per game, both ranking 22nd in the NFL.

Rodgers, who has thrown for 1,387 yards, nine touchdowns, and five interceptions this season, expressed excitement about Adams’ return. “He infuses a lot of energy into the team right away,” Rodgers said. “He’s a proven star player, he’s an asset, he’s an incredible locker room presence.”

The Jets will also look for continued production from running back Breece Hall, who had a breakout performance against the Buffalo Bills last week with 169 total yards from scrimmage.

New York Jets

Steelers’ Quarterback Situation

The Steelers (4-2) face their own quarterback uncertainty heading into Sunday’s game. Veteran signal-caller Russell Wilson practiced with the first team this week, raising the possibility that he could start for the first time this season. Wilson has been sidelined with a calf injury but has been practicing and may be ready to return.

“Now it’s about knocking the rust off,” Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin said. “He did some of that last week. He is in consideration this week. We’ll see where that leads us.”

Tomlin declined to provide specifics on why Wilson is receiving first-team reps over Justin Fields, who has started the first six games. Fields has thrown for 1,106 yards and five touchdowns this season, while also rushing for 231 yards and five scores. Wilson, entering his 13th season, brings experience and leadership, but his readiness after missing the first six games remains a question.

Tomlin suggested that Wilson’s extensive NFL experience makes him a viable option to start with minimal preparation time. “With veteran players, that comfort comes with experience,” Tomlin said.

Key Injuries for Both Teams

The Steelers’ running back situation is also in flux, with Najee Harris (ribs) and Cordarrelle Patterson (ankle) missing practice on Wednesday. In addition, center Zach Frazier (ankle) and linebacker Nick Herbig (hamstring) are dealing with injuries, with both players ruled out for Sunday.

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The Jets are battling injuries in the secondary. Cornerbacks Michael Carter II (back) and D.J. Reed (groin) missed practice on Wednesday and are questionable for the game. Safety Chuck Clark (ankle) was placed on injured reserve after suffering an injury against the Bills. Rodgers (ankle) did not participate in the team’s walk-through, but he is expected to practice later in the week. Adams, however, practiced fully and will play on Sunday.

Outlook and Recent History

With Adams back alongside Rodgers, the Jets hope to end their three-game losing streak and breathe life into their season. New York has won three of the last four meetings against Pittsburgh, and the addition of Adams gives the Jets an added edge. Meanwhile, the Steelers, with their quarterback situation still up in the air, will look to lean on their defense and running game to secure a victory.

This matchup is pivotal for both teams, with the Jets looking to climb out of their early-season struggles and the Steelers trying to solidify their place in the AFC playoff race. Whether Wilson or Fields gets the nod at quarterback, Pittsburgh will need to be at its best to contend with a reinvigorated Jets offense featuring one of the NFL’s top receivers.

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Thu, Oct 17, 16:44 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Pittsburgh Steelers
+2.5
-110
125
O 40
-110
N.Y. Jets Jets
-2.5
-110
-145
U 40
-110
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