Ny Yankees vs La Dodgers Picks and Predictions October 30th 2024

After rout, Yankees attempt to send World Series back to L.A.

At 8:08 PM ET, the Dodgers and Yankees will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -148. The money line odds for a Dodgers win are at +125. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Jack Flaherty will start for the Dodgers, and he will be facing Gerrit Cole. The Dodgers are 98-64 overall and have won five straight, while the Yankees are 1st in the AL East with a record of 94-68.

Los Angeles vs. New York Key Information

• Teams: Dodgers at Yankees
• Where: Yankee Stadium New York
• Date: Wednesday, October 30th
• Betting Odds NYY -148 | LAD +125 O/U 8

The Dodgers Can Win If…

Leading the series 3-1, the Dodgers are on the road for game five against the Yankees. Los Angeles finished the regular season with a 98-64 record, going 52-29 at home and 46-35 on the road. As favorites, they went 100-55, while posting an 8-14 record as underdogs.

Los Angeles has a run line record of 92-85, with a +1.1 scoring margin on the road and +0.9 at home. As favorites, their run line record is 81-74. Their over/under record is 100-71, and today’s line of 8 runs is below their season average of 9.

Jack Flaherty will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees today, as he comes in with a road record of 8-4 and an ERA of 4.49. Overall, he is 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA. Flaherty’s most recent outing came on October 25th, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he gave up two earned runs on five hits in 5 1/3 innings of work. Looking back, he has allowed at least two earned runs in each of his last three outings. Flaherty has made 28 starts this year and has 15 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.78 strikeouts compared to just 2.11 walks.

Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 54 home runs are the best mark in the league and he is also 2nd in the MLB with 130 RBIs. Ohtani is batting .310 for the season and has an OBP of .390. Teoscar Hernández is also a big power threat in the Dodgers lineup, as his 33 homers are 2nd on the team and 11th in the league. Hernández comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak.

Tommy Edman has been swinging a hot bat for the Dodgers of late, going 8/22 in his last six games with two homers and five RBIs. Freddie Freeman has also been hitting for power, going deep four times in his last five games, but he is just 5/21 in that stretch.

• The Dodgers are 7-3 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Dodgers are 4-1 vs. the run line.
• Los Angeles has an over/under record of 7-2-1 in their last ten games.
• The Dodgers have an average of 5.6 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Dodgers are 7-3
• Looking back across the Dodgers last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• Los Angeles has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Dodgers have averaged 7.1 runs per game on offense

The Yankees Can Win If…

Facing a must-win situation, the Yankees are down 3-1 in their series against the Dodgers as they prepare for game five at home. New York finished the regular season with a 94-68 record, going 44-37 at home and 50-31 on the road. As favorites, they posted an 84-63 mark, while going 18-10 as underdogs.

New York’s run line record for the season stands at 90-85, with a 38-49 mark at home. They have a +0.5 run-scoring margin at home, compared to +1.3 on the road. The Yankees’ over/under record is 91-78, and 69.1% of their games had higher totals than today’s 8-run line.

Gerrit Cole gets the start for the Yankees today and will be facing the Dodgers at home. So far this season, he has made 17 starts and has a record of 8-5 with an ERA of 3.41. Cole’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. Looking at his overall numbers, Cole has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.38 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Cole finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 3rd in runs scored at 5 per game. Overall, they are batting .248 as a team, which is 7th in the league. The Yankees have been very patient at the plate this season, as they lead the league in walks. So far, they have done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 11th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Over his last nine games, Giancarlo Stanton has five home runs, but is hitting just .229 during that stretch. For the season, he is batting .322 with 144 RBIs and is the league’s top home run hitter. Juan Soto is also having a great season for the Yankees, as he is batting .288 with 41 homers.

• The Yankees are 6-4 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Yankees are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• New York has an over/under record of 4-5-1 in their last ten games.
• The Yankees have an average of 4.6 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Yankees are 7-3
• Looking back across the Yankees last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
• New York has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Yankees have averaged 5.0 runs per game on offense

The Lean

Look for the Dodgers to come out on top in today’s matchup vs. the Yankees, and we are leaning towards taking the over. This game has the highest combined hits projection and 3rd highest combined home runs projection. Gerrit Cole is our 2nd highest projected starting pitcher in terms of strikeouts, but we have Jack Flaherty finishing with more than him for the Dodgers.

MLB Picks and Previews

NEW YORK — With their World Series hopes hanging by a thread, the New York Yankees rallied to an impressive 11-4 win against the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 4, powered by Anthony Volpe’s pivotal third-inning grand slam. Trailing 3-0 in the best-of-seven series, the Yankees faced the daunting task of staving off elimination, and Volpe’s homer helped propel them back into contention as they prepared for Game 5 on Wednesday.

If New York manages another victory, the series will return to Los Angeles for Game 6 on Friday, where the Yankees hope to edge even closer to an historic comeback. In the 24 previous instances where teams fell behind 3-0 in the World Series, only three managed to force a Game 5, making this Yankees team one of the rare few to mount such a comeback effort.

Yankees’ Offense Finds Its Rhythm

After hitting just .186 and scoring only seven runs over the first three games, the Yankees’ offense finally caught fire in Game 4. With a grand slam that electrified the stadium, Anthony Volpe led an aggressive attack that saw multiple players contribute to the Yankees’ highest-scoring World Series game since their 12-2 victory over the Dodgers in the 1978 Fall Classic. Austin Wells and Gleyber Torres each homered, and every Yankee except Anthony Rizzo reached base at least once. Aaron Judge also contributed with an RBI single and a walk, helping maintain pressure on the Dodgers throughout the game.

Manager Aaron Boone praised his players’ resilience and chemistry, saying, “These guys love playing with each other. You could feel that energy before the game, and as things unfolded, it just kept building.” Boone’s confidence in his players is evident as they head into Game 5 with fresh momentum.

Dodgers’ Hopes Rest on Flaherty as Freeman Sets Record

For the Dodgers, Freddie Freeman continued his historic power streak, becoming the first player in MLB history to homer in six consecutive World Series games and in the first four games of a single Fall Classic. However, despite Freeman’s efforts, Los Angeles’ offense struggled overall, managing just six hits and going 1-for-7 with runners in scoring position.

Right fielder Mookie Betts remains positive about the Dodgers’ chances, noting, “We feel pretty good. We’re up 3-1, but we know the Yankees are going to fight no matter the score. No lead is safe until you win the fourth game.”

Dodgers pitcher Jack Flaherty, who will start Game 5, has had a challenging postseason. After allowing eight runs in his NLCS appearance, he held his own in Game 1 of the World Series, allowing two runs over five innings but was pulled due to hamstring tightness after surrendering a home run to Giancarlo Stanton. Despite the extra work his injury has demanded, Flaherty said, “I’m feeling good now. I had a good bullpen session yesterday, and it’s not something I’m worried about at this point.”

Cole Takes the Mound for Yankees in Elimination Game

The Yankees are turning to ace Gerrit Cole for the high-stakes Game 5. Making his fourth career World Series start—and his first in an elimination game—Cole brings a 1-0 record with a 2.82 ERA this postseason. In Game 1, he allowed just one run on four hits across six innings, demonstrating his control and durability after an early-season elbow injury that sidelined him for two and a half months.

Cole expressed confidence in his readiness, stating, “I feel good, like I have a reserve to dip into if needed. My delivery’s more refined, and I’m hitting my spots.” His return to form will be critical if the Yankees hope to extend the series and bring it back to Los Angeles.

Path to Victory: Yankees Aim for Historic Comeback

With renewed energy, the Yankees are aiming to make World Series history by overcoming a 3-0 deficit. Should they win again on Wednesday, they’ll shift the pressure back to the Dodgers, who would then face the Yankees at home for Game 6. This momentum shift, paired with their resilient performance in Game 4, has revived fans’ hopes that the Yankees could potentially become the first team to erase a 3-0 World Series deficit.

In an upbeat yet grounded assessment, Volpe shared his outlook: “We just need to play our game. If we play the way we know we’re capable of, we’re confident we’ll win.” As the Yankees enter Game 5, their renewed offensive energy and leadership on the mound present a strong challenge to the Dodgers, who remain just one win away from the title.

Looking Ahead to Game 5

With everything on the line, the Yankees will lean on Cole’s experience and their newfound momentum, while the Dodgers will count on Flaherty and their lineup to finally close the series. This Game 5 matchup promises to be an intense showdown as New York looks to extend the series, keeping their World Series dreams alive.

Key Takeaways:

• Anthony Volpe’s grand slam sparked the Yankees’ 11-4 victory in Game 4, extending the series to a crucial Game 5.
• Yankees Manager Aaron Boone praised his team’s camaraderie and determination, reflecting the upbeat morale in New York’s clubhouse.
• Freddie Freeman’s record-setting home runs showcase the Dodgers’ firepower, but they’ll need more to fend off the Yankees’ rally.
• Pitching Showdown in Game 5: Gerrit Cole brings postseason experience and renewed form to the mound, while Jack Flaherty, despite recent injury concerns, remains confident in his ability to perform under pressure.

With stakes as high as they can get, baseball fans around the world will be watching closely to see if the Yankees can continue their improbable journey or if the Dodgers will clinch the championship and head back to L.A. as victors.

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