Arkansas Razorbacks vs Mississippi Rebels Picks and Predictions November 2nd 2024

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Ole Miss Rebels November 2nd 2024

ESPN is set to televise this week 10 Southeastern matchup between the Ole Miss Rebels and Arkansas Razorbacks, with kick-off scheduled for 12:00 ET at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville. The Rebels are favored by -7 points, and the over/under line is currently 53.5 points. Ole Miss comes in with a 6-2 record, while Arkansas is 5-3 on the season.

Ole Miss vs. Arkansas Key Information

With a 6-2 record, Ole Miss is 100% bowl-eligible and ranks 7th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 3.2% chance of winning the Southeastern but hold a 19.4% shot at making the CFB playoff, which is 21st in the nation.

The Rebels have been favored in six of their eight games this season, going 5-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +28.5, and they are 4-2 against the spread.

Ole Miss’s over/under record is 0-6, with their games averaging 50.5 points. This week’s line is 53.5 points, while their average over/under line has been 59.2 points.

Ole Miss heads into week 10 with the 13th-best scoring offense in college football, averaging 39.5 points per game. They are also ranked 14th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been their strength, ranking 3rd nationally with 354 yards per game. They are 15th in passing completions, averaging 22.9 per game, and their completion percentage is 68.3%, which ranks 14th. The Rebels are 35th in third-down conversions, converting 43.6% of their attempts.

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Jaxson Dart leads the Rebels’ passing attack with 2,695 yards and a passer rating of 122. He has completed 70.6% of his passes, throwing 15 touchdowns and just three interceptions. On the ground, Ole Miss averages 185 rushing yards per game. Henry Parrish Jr. has rushed for 656 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Tre Harris leads the receiving corps with 987 yards and six touchdowns on 59 receptions.

Ole Miss’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 4th in the nation by allowing just 11 points per game. They’ve also been tough against the run, giving up only 79.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks 5th nationally.

In their last game, a 26-14 win over Oklahoma, Ole Miss gave up 14 points and 329 total yards. Oklahoma ran the ball 50 times for 147 yards, while Ole Miss’s secondary allowed 182 passing yards.

Arkansas enters Week 10 with a 5-3 record, ranked 25th in our power rankings. They have a 98.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.1% chance of winning the Southeastern. At home, they are 2-1, and they’ve been favored in just two of their eight games this season.

The Razorbacks have a +11.5 average scoring margin and a 4-2 record against the spread. They are 3-0 ATS on the road but 1-2 at home. As favorites, they are 1-1 ATS, while they’ve gone 3-1 against the spread as underdogs.

Arkansas’ over/under record stands at 2-4, with their games averaging 55 points. Their average over/under line is 56.6 points, and this week’s line is set at 53.5 points.

Arkansas is ranked 27th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10, and they are also 27th in points per game, scoring 33.2. Their third-down conversion rate is impressive, ranking 11th in the nation at 48.6%. On the ground, they average 201 rushing yards per game, ranking 25th, and they have 37.1 rushing attempts per game.

Ja’Quinden Jackson leads the rushing attack with 592 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Taylen Green has thrown for 2,055 yards, and Arkansas ranks 19th in passing yards per game. Green has 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions, with a passer rating of 90. Andrew Armstrong leads the receiving corps with 722 yards on 49 catches, but he has only one touchdown this season.

Arkansas’ defense has allowed 21.8 points per game this season, ranking 42nd nationally. In their latest game, a 58-25 win over Mississippi State, they gave up 25 points and forced two interceptions. Mississippi State totaled 471 yards, including 309 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 229.2 passing yards per game against Arkansas, completing 60.2% of their passes. On the ground, Arkansas has allowed 120.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 42nd in the country.

Our pick against the spread is Arkansas, as they come into this one as +7 point underdogs at home vs. Ole Miss. Even though Ole Miss is the favorite, we have them winning by a final score of 33-27. This is a week 10 matchup in college football.

With the over/under line sitting at 53.5 points, we see a lot of value in taking the over, as our projections have these teams combining for 60 points.

No. 19 Ole Miss Prepares for Tough SEC Battle Against Arkansas

In the fierce landscape of the Southeastern Conference (SEC), No. 19 Ole Miss is gearing up for a potentially challenging clash against Arkansas this Saturday. Despite the Razorbacks being unranked, the SEC’s competitive nature means that every matchup is a battle, and Ole Miss, now 6-2 and holding a 2-2 conference record, will need to bring its best to Fayetteville, Arkansas, if it wants to maintain its standing and keep postseason aspirations alive.

Navigating the SEC’s Grueling Race

With both teams holding two SEC losses, this game is pivotal for each team’s path forward. Ole Miss and Arkansas, alongside other two-loss SEC teams like No. 14 Alabama and No. 25 Missouri, are all fighting to avoid a third setback that would end any realistic hopes for a College Football Playoff (CFP) bid. This game is not just about survival in the SEC standings but a litmus test of each team’s potential in the larger postseason picture.

Coach Lane Kiffin of Ole Miss knows the weight of games like these. The SEC schedule has no easy games, and even favored matchups can prove dangerous, especially when they’re on the road. He only needs to recall his former team, Tennessee, which suffered a shocking 19-14 upset against Arkansas earlier this month after reaching a top-five rank. This history brings an extra layer of focus to the Rebels’ preparation.

Ole Miss and Arkansas: An SEC Rivalry Renewed

The head-to-head battles between Kiffin’s Ole Miss and Sam Pittman’s Arkansas have provided unforgettable moments in recent seasons. The last time they met in 2021, Ole Miss pulled off a dramatic 52-51 win at home, narrowly avoiding defeat after Arkansas failed on a last-second, two-point conversion attempt. Since Kiffin and Pittman took the reins of their respective teams, the home team has won each of their four encounters.

Kiffin acknowledged the challenges Arkansas poses, noting, “We’ve had a lot of really tough matchups over time with them since we’ve been here.” This time, he’ll be hoping the Rebels can break the pattern of home-field success in the series and emerge with a win on the road.

Arkansas’ Offensive Surge Behind Taylen Green

The Razorbacks have shown resilience this season, bouncing back from losses to accumulate a 5-3 record. Since conference play began, Arkansas has alternated wins and losses, including a recent 58-25 rout over Mississippi State. In that game, quarterback Taylen Green was a standout, throwing five touchdowns, rushing for another, and leading the Razorbacks’ offense to an impressive 675-yard performance.

Green, who took over after former starter KJ Jefferson’s transfer to UCF, has brought energy to the Razorbacks’ offense, racking up 2,451 all-purpose yards and 16 total touchdowns this season. His dual-threat capability has helped Arkansas achieve a top-10 ranking in total offense, averaging 482.5 yards per game. But Ole Miss will be a formidable opponent, boasting the SEC’s second-ranked offense at 538.1 yards per game.

A Revamped Ole Miss Defense

Under Kiffin, Ole Miss has developed a defense that might be even stronger than its well-known offense. Former Arkansas linebacker Chris “Pooh” Paul Jr. has been a key asset, leading the Rebels with 58 tackles. The defense ranks first in the nation against the rush and first in points allowed, a sharp contrast to the high-flying offensive reputation that Ole Miss usually holds.

Arkansas coach Sam Pittman has taken notice of this new defensive prowess, highlighting that this season, “You think about Ole Miss, you (usually) think about offense.” But now, the Rebels’ defense may be the key to their success in games like these, with their talented depth and aggressive tackling proving effective against opposing offenses.

Key Players and Injury Report

Injuries could play a role in Saturday’s matchup. Arkansas’s leading running back, Ja’Quinden Jackson, along with defensive back Jaylon Braxton, are listed as doubtful for the game. Running back Rodney Hill is probable, which could provide a boost to Arkansas’s offense if he’s able to play effectively. For Ole Miss, maintaining a high level of defensive play and containing Taylen Green will be crucial, particularly as they head into the home stretch of the season.

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Game Outlook

For Ole Miss, maintaining defensive discipline while capitalizing on offensive opportunities will be crucial to avoid falling into an upset trap. With Green’s ability to create big plays, Arkansas poses a threat that Ole Miss can’t afford to overlook. But with their reshaped defense and a chance to secure a pivotal road win, the Rebels are in a strong position to continue their climb within the SEC.