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Nevada Wolf Pack vs Colorado State Rams November 2nd 2024
Colorado State is the slight -1.5-point favorite on the road as they head into this week 10 matchup against the Nevada Wolf Pack. Kick-off is set for 8:00 ET at Mackay Stadium in Reno on Saturday, November 2nd. The over/under line is at 44.5 points for this one, which can be seen on CBSS. The Rams come in with a 5-3 record, while Nevada is 3-6 on the season. The money line odds are -120 for Colorado State and -101 for Nevada.
Colorado State vs. Nevada Key Information
- Teams: Rams at Wolf Pack
- Where: Mackay Stadium Reno
- Date: Saturday, November 2nd
- Betting Odds COLST -120 | NEVADA -101 O/U 44.5
The Rams Can Win If…
Colorado State enters Week 10 with a 5-3 record, ranking 103rd in our power rankings. They have a 96% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to projections. On the road, they are 1-1, while their home record stands at 3-1 this season.
The Rams are 4-0 as the favorite and 0-2 as the underdog, with an average scoring margin of -2.8 points per game. Against the spread, they are 4-2, covering in all four games as the favorite.
Colorado State’s over/under record is 0-6, with their games averaging 46.2 points. Their average over/under line is 54.1 points, and this week’s line is set at 44.5 points.
Colorado State’s offense has been driven by their rushing attack, ranking 30th in rushing attempts and averaging 182.9 yards per game, placing them 36th nationally. Avery Morrow has rushed for 711 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored six touchdowns. The Rams are averaging 21.8 points per game, and they are ranked 105th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10.
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Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi, Colorado State’s quarterback, has thrown for 1,454 yards with seven touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 84. The team ranks 100th in passing yards per game, with an average of 186.5. Tory Horton leads the receiving corps with 353 yards and one touchdown.
Colorado State’s defense heads into their matchup against Nevada ranked 55th nationally, allowing 24.5 points per game. They’ve given up 265 passing yards per game, ranking 144th, and 139.4 rushing yards per game.
In their recent 17-6 win over New Mexico, the defense allowed 6 points and forced two interceptions. They gave up 453 total yards, including 319 passing yards and 134 rushing yards.
- Over their last three games, the Colorado State Rams have gone 3-0 straight up. In these games, they have a 3-0 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 0-3.
- Colorado State has put together a record of 6-4 in their last ten games (regular season). Across these games, their ATS record was just 5-5, while posting an over-under record of 3-7.
The Wolf Pack Can Win If…
Nevada enters Week 10 with a 3-6 record, hosting Colorado State. They rank 97th in our CFB power rankings and have an 11.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, they are 1-3, and they’ve been the underdog in all nine games this season.
The Wolf Pack’s average scoring margin is -2.6 points per game, and they are 4-3-1 against the spread. As underdogs, they’ve gone 4-2-1 ATS, and their over/under record is 4-4, with an average line of 48.8 points.
Nevada’s games have averaged 52.6 points, and this week’s over/under line is set at 44.5. They’ve had five games with higher lines and four with lower totals than this week’s line.
Nevada’s offense is centered around their run game, ranking 6th in rushing attempts per game and averaging 189.1 yards on the ground, placing them 14th nationally. Savion Red leads the team with 656 rushing yards, 8 touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Nevada is 67th in scoring, with 25 points per game, and we have them 61st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10.
Quarterback Brendon Lewis has thrown for 1,290 yards, completing 67.2% of his passes with 10 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Nevada ranks 15th in completion percentage and 4th in third-down conversions, converting 52.1% of their attempts. Jaden Smith leads the receiving corps with 595 yards and 3 touchdowns on 42 catches.
Nevada’s defense struggled in their recent game against Hawaii, allowing 34 points in a 34-13 loss. They gave up 399 total yards, including 246 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns, though they did manage to force one interception.
On the season, Nevada is ranked 82nd in the nation, giving up 27.6 points per game. Opponents are averaging 159.3 rushing yards per game and 237.6 passing yards against Nevada’s defense.
- Nevada will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-0-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 2-1 in those same games.
- Nevada has put together a record of 3-7 in their last ten games (regular season). In these contests, the team went just 5-4-1 against the spread, while going 5-5 on the over-under.
The Lean
Colorado State is favored by -1.5 points on the road in their week 10 matchup against Nevada. We expect the Rams to come out on top with a final score of 21-19, making them the best bet to cover the spread.
With the over/under line set at 44.5 points, our projection of 40 total points suggests that taking the under is the way to go.
