Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Picks and Predictions November 4th 2024

Heat vs Kings November 4th 2024

The Sacramento Kings (+110) travel to Miami to take on the Heat (-131) in a non-conference matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:15 ET at the Kaseya Center. The Heat are currently favored by 2.5 points and the over/under line is set at 226.5.

This game will be televised on NBCS.

Kings vs. Heat Key Information

The Kings fell to 3-3 on the season after a 131-128 loss to the Raptors on Saturday. Sacramento, who were -9.5 point favorites, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 259.5 exceeded the O/U line of 235.5 by 23.5 points.

Sacramento’s 12-0 run in the 4th quarter, which took the score from 111-100 to 123-100, seemed to put them in control, but they couldn’t hold on. The Kings outscored the Raptors 34-24 in the final period but couldn’t complete the comeback.

DeMar DeRozan led the Kings with 33 points in their 131-128 loss to the Raptors, scoring 10 points in the 4th quarter and another 8 in overtime. De’Aaron Fox added 24 points, with 14 of those coming in the final period.

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Malik Monk contributed 21 points, hitting 3 threes at 42.9%, while the Kings as a team struggled from deep, making just 10 threes at a 25% rate. Overall, they shot 46% from the field.

The Kings gave up 131 points to the Raptors on Saturday, including 37 in the 1st quarter. They allowed 29 in the 2nd, 30 in the 3rd, and 24 in the 4th.

Defensively, Sacramento allowed Toronto to shoot 48% from the field and 45% from three, with the Raptors hitting 17 threes. The Kings sent Toronto to the line 31 times, where they made 22 free throws. Sacramento had 34 defensive rebounds, allowed 12 offensive boards, and recorded 16 steals.

Miami improved to 3-2 on the season with a 118-98 road win over the Wizards on Saturday. The Heat, who were favored by 10 points, covered the spread, while the total points of 216 fell short of the 224.5 O/U line.

Miami jumped out to a 31-21 lead after the 1st quarter. Although the Wizards edged them 27-25 in the 2nd quarter, the Heat responded by outscoring Washington 33-22 in the 3rd, taking an 89-70 lead into the 4th. Miami finished strong, winning the final quarter 29-28.

DeMar DeRozan led the Kings with 33 points in their 131-128 loss to the Raptors, scoring 10 points in the 4th quarter and adding 8 more in overtime. De’Aaron Fox contributed 14 of his 24 points in the final period, while Malik Monk added 21 points, including 10 in the 2nd quarter.

The Kings struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 10 threes at a 25% rate, though they shot 46% overall from the field. Monk connected on 3 threes, shooting 42.9% from deep, while DeRozan made 2 threes at 28.6%.

The Heat put on a strong defensive performance against the Wizards, holding them to just 98 points on Saturday. Miami limited Washington to 21 points in the 1st quarter and 22 in the 3rd, contributing to the win. The Wizards shot 41% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Heat were even better, allowing just 7 made threes on 20% shooting. Miami also controlled the boards, giving up 8 offensive rebounds while collecting 44 defensive boards. They added 6 steals and 3 blocks.

The Heat is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 153-135. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Heat at -2.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 226.5, and our model projects the Kings and Heat to reach a combined total of 288 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

DeMar DeRozan Leads High-Powered Kings Against Heat

The Sacramento Kings, with their dynamic scorer DeMar DeRozan, take their high-energy offense to Miami on Monday to face the Heat, as both teams navigate an early-season road stretch and international play.

DeRozan, a 16-year NBA veteran and six-time All-Star, has brought a new layer of experience and scoring prowess to the Kings since joining in a July trade. The 35-year-old continues to prove his value, averaging 25.3 points per game and hitting the 20-point mark in each of Sacramento’s six games this season. His season-high 33 points came in the Kings’ narrow 131-128 overtime loss to the Toronto Raptors on Saturday, ending a three-game winning streak.

Kings point guard De’Aaron Fox spoke highly of DeRozan’s refined offensive style, especially his mastery of the pump fake, a skill that has become notorious across the league. “He’s going to pump fake, and everyone knows it,” Fox shared. “At some point, he’s going to get you with it.”

DeRozan’s knack for mid-range shots adds depth to an already potent Sacramento roster, which includes fast-paced Fox, sharpshooter Kevin Huerter, emerging talent Keegan Murray, and All-Star big man Domantas Sabonis. Sabonis, a versatile center known for his passing and rebounding, complements DeRozan with a strong start this season, contributing 13.0 rebounds, 6.3 assists, and 21.5 points per game. Fox, one of the league’s fastest players, is averaging 23.5 points through six games, maintaining the scoring momentum from his breakout last season.

Miami’s Mexico City Win and Season Start

The Miami Heat, fresh off a 118-98 victory over the Washington Wizards in Mexico City as part of the NBA Global Games series, are eager to build on that win. Head coach Erik Spoelstra appreciated the international experience, praising the fans and his team’s performance. “We had a great time,” Spoelstra said. “The most important thing is that we were able to get a win.”

Miami has maintained a consistent starting lineup, featuring Tyler Herro and Terry Rozier in the backcourt, Jimmy Butler and Nikola Jovic at forward, and Bam Adebayo anchoring the team at center. Herro leads Miami in scoring with an average of 20.8 points, showcasing his shooting and offensive creativity.

Butler, known for his intensity and leadership, is pacing Miami with 5.6 assists per game, although his scoring has dipped slightly this season to 17.0 points per game, reflecting some age and injury concerns. Meanwhile, Jovic, only 21 and the youngest Heat starter, has shown promise after representing Serbia in the Olympics, offering versatility and energy to Miami’s lineup.

Adebayo remains a cornerstone for Miami, signing a significant three-year, $166 million extension in the offseason. His recent 32-point, 14-rebound performance in Mexico underlines his value as a reliable scorer and dominant rebounder.

The Heat also benefit from the contributions of Jaime Jaquez Jr., a second-year player named to the NBA All-Rookie First Team last season. Miami’s depth is supplemented by veteran presence in forward Kevin Love and sniper Duncan Robinson, although both missed the Mexico game due to personal reasons.

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Key Matchups and Game Outlook

1. DeMar DeRozan vs. Jimmy Butler
   Two experienced stars and seasoned competitors, DeRozan and Butler bring their respective skill sets to this matchup. DeRozan’s mid-range mastery and Butler’s two-way ability make this an intriguing faceoff, with each veteran contributing to both offensive setups and defensive stops.
2. Bam Adebayo vs. Domantas Sabonis
   Adebayo and Sabonis, both All-Stars and skilled rebounders, will clash in the paint. Adebayo’s defensive prowess and athleticism meet Sabonis’s craftiness and passing ability, making this a battle that could dictate tempo and scoring inside.
3. Kings’ Pace vs. Heat’s Defensive Tenacity
   The Kings, one of the fastest teams in the league with Fox leading the way, will challenge Miami’s organized defensive structure. Sacramento’s transition game will face a disciplined Miami defense focused on slowing the pace and controlling the glass.

Outlook and Implications

The Kings’ balanced offensive attack, fueled by DeRozan’s consistency and Sabonis’s all-around skill, offers challenges to a Miami team still finding its stride. Meanwhile, Miami will lean on their defensive discipline and look for another strong performance from Adebayo, whose recent games show his growing influence. With Butler’s leadership and Herro’s offensive spark, the Heat aim to make home-court advantage count against a Kings team keen on bouncing back from their overtime loss.