San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos Picks and Predictions November 8th 2024

San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos November 8th 2024

San Diego State is favored by -3 points as they host the New Mexico Lobos in a week 11 matchup on Friday, November 8th, with a 10:30 ET kickoff at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego. The game can be seen on FS1, and the over/under line is currently set at 67.5 points. Both teams come in with a 3-5 record for the season. The money line odds are -155 for the Aztecs and +130 for the Lobos.

New Mexico vs. San Diego State Key Information

New Mexico enters Week 11 against San Diego State with a 3-6 record, ranked 116th in our power rankings. They have just a 1.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Lobos are 1-2 at home and 2-3 on the road this season.

New Mexico has been favored in four of their nine games, going 3-1 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is -6 points per game, and they are 4-4 against the spread, with a 3-2 road ATS record.

The Lobos’ over/under record is 6-2, with their games averaging 75.6 points. This week’s line is 67.5 points, higher than their average over/under line of 61.2 points.

New Mexico’s offense has been driven by their rushing attack, ranking 5th in the nation with 232 yards per game. Eli Sanders leads the team with 661 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored six touchdowns. The Lobos are 23rd in scoring, putting up 34.8 points per game, and they are 37th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.

Devon Dampier has thrown for 2,243 yards this season, but he has struggled with 12 interceptions and a passer rating of 75. New Mexico is 23rd in passing attempts per game. Dampier has 10 passing touchdowns, and Luke Wysong leads the receivers with 663 yards on 50 catches, though he has only one touchdown.

New Mexico’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 40.8 points per game. In their recent game against Wyoming, they gave up 49 points and 606 total yards, including 342 passing yards and three touchdowns, though they did manage one interception.

Opponents have averaged 255.1 passing yards per game against New Mexico and 238 rushing yards. The defense has faced 40.4 rushing attempts per game and 28.7 pass attempts, with quarterbacks completing 62.9% of their throws.

San Diego State enters Week 11 with a 3-5 record, facing New Mexico at home. They are ranked 109th in our power rankings and have a 31.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 1-2 at home this season.

The Aztecs have been favored in just one game this season, going 1-0 as the favorite and 1-5 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is -5.1 points per game, and they are 4-3 against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is set at 67.5 points, the highest for any San Diego State game this season. Their over/under record is 3-4, with their games averaging 50.1 points and an average line of 50.3 points.

San Diego State’s offense is averaging 22.5 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 123rd in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is low, at 31.3%, and they are averaging 123.8 rushing yards per game.

Bet Smarter with NCAA Picks Against the Spread! Discover NCAA football picks against the spread.

Quarterback Danny O’Neil has thrown for 1,395 yards, with a passer rating of 85. He has eight touchdowns and four interceptions. Leading the ground game is Marquez Cooper, who has rushed for 842 yards and nine touchdowns.

San Diego State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 27.6 points per game. In their recent matchup against Boise State, they gave up 56 points, surrendering 541 total yards, including 322 passing yards and four touchdowns through the air.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed 63.5% of their passes against the Aztecs, averaging a passer rating of 93.8. San Diego State’s defense has also allowed 170.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 118th nationally.

Our projections have San Diego State winning their week 11 matchup against New Mexico by a slim margin of 37-36. However, with New Mexico coming in as +3 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 67.5 points, our model is projecting a combined 73 points, making the over the more favorable bet.