Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Marshall Thundering Herd Picks and Predictions November 9th 2024

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Marshall Thundering Herd November 9th 2024

Marshall is the heavy favorite as they head into this week 11 matchup against Southern Miss, with the point spread currently at -14 in their favor. The game is set for 3:00 ET at M.M. Roberts Stadium in Hattiesburg and will be broadcast on ESPN+. Marshall has a 5-3 record for the season, while Southern Miss is still looking for their second win, with an overall record of 1-7. The over/under line is at 55 points for this game.

Marshall vs. Southern Miss Key Information

Marshall enters Week 11 with a 5-3 record, but they’ve gone 4-0 at home and 0-3 on the road. They’ve been favored in four games this season, winning all four, and they hold a +3.9 average scoring margin. Our projections give them a 97.4% chance of reaching bowl eligibility, but only a 5.8% chance of winning the Sun Belt.

Against the spread, Marshall is 5-1-1, with a 3-1 record as the favorite and a 2-0-1 mark as the underdog. They’ve covered the spread in all three road games (2-0-1) and are 3-1 ATS at home.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 55 points. Marshall’s games have averaged 55.6 points, and their over/under record is 4-3. Their average over/under line this season has been 54.1 points, with an average margin of +2.6 points.

Marshall’s offense has been driven by their running game, averaging 215.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 25th nationally. A.J. Turner leads the team with 766 rushing yards, averaging 9 yards per carry, and has scored six touchdowns. Overall, Marshall is scoring 29.8 points per game, placing them 44th in the country.

Quarterback Braylon Braxton has thrown for 662 yards, with nine touchdowns and just one interception, giving him a passer rating of 116. Marshall ranks 117th in passing yards per game. Christian Fitzpatrick leads the receivers with 379 yards and four touchdowns. Heading into week 11, Marshall is ranked 68th in our offensive power rankings.

Marshall’s defense has allowed an average of 25.9 points per game this season, including 23 points in their recent matchup against UL Monroe. They gave up 388 total yards, with 239 rushing yards on 45 attempts and 149 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.

Opponents have averaged 188.2 rushing yards per game against Marshall, ranking them 140th nationally. The defense has faced 30.1 pass attempts per game, allowing an average of 210.4 passing yards and a 62% completion rate.

Southern Miss enters Week 11 against Marshall with a 1-7 record. They are ranked 125th in our CFB power rankings, and their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are at 0.0%.

The Golden Eagles have an average scoring margin of -16 points per game and are 2-5 against the spread this season.

The over/under line for this week is set at 55 points. Southern Miss games have averaged 51.8 points, and their average over/under line has been 53.7 points.

Southern Miss has struggled offensively this season, averaging just 17.9 points per game, which ranks 98th in the nation. Heading into week 11, they are 125th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 26.9%, and they are 116th in rushing, averaging 109.1 yards per game.

Quarterback Ethan Crawford has thrown for 772 yards and has a passer rating of 54. He has yet to throw a touchdown pass and has four interceptions. Southern Miss ranks 129th in passer rating nationally. Leading rusher Rodrigues Clark has 341 yards and one touchdown, while top receiver Larry Simmons has 307 yards but no touchdowns.

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Southern Miss’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 33.9 points per game. In their latest game, a 32-15 loss to James Madison, they gave up 32 points and 358 total yards, including 200 rushing yards. The defense also allowed two passing touchdowns but managed to force one interception.

Opponents have averaged 228 rushing yards per game against Southern Miss, while the secondary has allowed 190.2 passing yards per game, ranking 43rd nationally. Quarterbacks have completed 66.6% of their passes with a passer rating of 102.8 against the Golden Eagles.

Marshall is the -14 point favorite on the road in this week 11 matchup against Southern Miss. We have a projected score of 32-15 in favor of Marshall, so we would go with Marshall to cover the -14 point spread.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 55 points, our projection of 47 points suggests that taking the under is the best play.