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James Madison Dukes vs Georgia State Panthers November 9th 2024
ESPN+ will be covering the 3:30 ET kickoff between the James Madison Dukes and Georgia State Panthers this Saturday, November 9th. The game is being played at Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field in Harrisonburg. The Dukes are favored by -16.5 points, with the over/under line currently set at 54.5 points. Georgia State enters the game with a 2-6 record, while James Madison is 6-2 on the season.
Georgia State vs. James Madison Key Information
- Teams: Panthers at Dukes
- Where: Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field Harrisonburg
- Date: Saturday, November 9th
- Betting Odds JMAD -829 | GAST +545 O/U 54.5
The Panthers Can Win If…
Georgia State enters Week 11 with a 2-6 record, ranked 106th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 1.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Panthers are 1-2 at home and 0-4 on the road this season.
Against the spread, Georgia State is 2-4-1, with an average scoring margin of -8.6 points per game. They are 0-2 ATS as favorites and 2-2-1 as underdogs.
Their over/under record stands at 4-2-1, with an average line of 52.8 points. This week’s line is set at 54.5 points, slightly higher than their average line.
Georgia State’s offense ranks 80th in points per game, averaging 22.5, and they are 88th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their third-down conversion rate is also 80th, at 38%. Christian Veilleux has thrown for 1,312 yards with a passer rating of 79, and he has nine touchdowns and six interceptions this season.
Georgia State ranks 25th in passing attempts, averaging 38.1 per game, and they are 24th in completions. They are 61st in passing yards, with 249.9 per game, and 45th in completion percentage at 62%. Leading receiver Ted Hurst has 597 yards and seven touchdowns. On the ground, Georgia State averages 135 rushing yards per game.
Georgia State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 31.1 points per game. In their recent game against UConn, they gave up 34 points, including 272 rushing yards on 42 attempts. The Panthers also allowed 75 passing yards and one passing touchdown.
Opponents have averaged 204.9 rushing yards per game against Georgia State, ranking them 157th nationally. The Panthers have faced the 27th fewest passing attempts in the country, allowing 207.5 yards per game through the air and a 62.6% completion rate.
- Over their last three regular season games, the Georgia State Panthers have gone 0-3 straight up. Their record vs the spread sits at 1-1-1 in these matchups, while posting a 2-0-1 over-under mark.
- Georgia State has put together a record of 3-7 in their last ten games (regular season). This includes going 3-5-2 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 5-4-1.
The Dukes Can Win If…
James Madison enters Week 11 against Georgia State with a 6-2 record, ranked 50th in our power rankings. They are a perfect 3-0 at home this season and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. However, their odds of winning the Sun Belt stand at 6.1%.
The Dukes have been favored in six of their eight games, going 4-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +17.4 points per game, and they are 4-3 against the spread this season.
James Madison’s over/under record is 2-5, with their games averaging 52.6 points. This week’s line is set at 54.5 points, slightly above their average line of 53.1 points.
James Madison’s offense is averaging 35 points per game, placing them 22nd in the nation heading into week 11. Quarterback Alonza Barnett III has thrown for 1,793 yards with 18 touchdowns and just two interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 101. Overall, the Dukes are ranked 101st in our offensive power rankings.
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On the ground, James Madison is averaging 184.8 rushing yards per game. George Pettaway leads the team with 564 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Omarion Dollison has 385 receiving yards and four touchdowns this season.
James Madison’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 12th nationally by allowing just 17.6 points per game. They’ve given up 122.9 rushing yards per game on average and 205.4 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks managing a passer rating of only 56.5, the fifth-lowest in the country.
In their recent game against Southern Miss, the Dukes allowed 15 points, giving up 141 rushing yards on 44 attempts and 178 passing yards. They also forced an interception while allowing just 11 completions on 34 pass attempts.
- Over their last three games, the James Madison Dukes have gone 3-0 straight up. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2.
- The James Madison Dukes have gone 9-1 over their last ten regular season games. Against the spread, James Madison went 5-5 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 4-6.
The Lean
Our projections have James Madison winning this matchup 36-16, which is right in line with the current -16.5 point spread in their favor. We expect them to cover as the heavy favorite at home in week 11.
For the over/under, with the line set at 54.5 points, we see the under as the best play, with our model projecting a combined 52 points.
