Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots Picks and Predictions November 10th 2024

Bears vs Patriots November 10th 2024

The Patriots and Bears will face off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th at Soldier Field in Chicago. The Bears are the heavy favorite with a money line of -278, and they are favored by -6 points on the point spread. This non-conference matchup is being televised on FOX, and the over/under line is set at 39 points.

New England vs. Chicago Key Information

Teams: Patriots at Bears
Where: Soldier Field Chicago
Date: Sunday, November 10th
Betting Odds CHI -278 | NE +226 O/U 39

The Patriots Can Win If…

Heading into week 10, the Patriots sit at 2-7, putting them 32nd in our power rankings and giving them just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs. New England has a -8.4 scoring margin this season, and they’ve been the underdog in all of their games so far. Against the spread, they are 3-5-1, with two straight ATS wins.

In week 9, the Patriots lost 20-17 to the Titans, but they covered the 3.5-point spread. The O/U line was 38 points, and the teams combined for 37. In week 8, New England picked up their second win of the season, beating the Jets 25-22.

Heading into week 10, the Patriots rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 29th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 15.7, and 31st in yards per game with 264.8. Despite ranking 16th in passing attempts, they are last in the league in passing yards, with 153.8 per game. On the ground, they are 23rd in rushing attempts and 24th in rushing yards, averaging 111 per game. New England is 23rd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 34.4%, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 6th with a 50% conversion rate.

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Drake Maye threw for 206 yards in week 9, completing 29 of 41 passes with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. He was sacked 4 times but also led the team in rushing with 95 yards on 8 carries. Hunter Henry had 7 receptions for 56 yards. The Patriots scored 17 points against the Titans, with 3 in the 2nd quarter and 7 in each of the 3rd and 4th quarters.

In their 20-17 overtime loss to the Titans, the Patriots’ defense allowed 400 yards, including 233 passing yards and 167 rushing yards on 39 attempts. They gave up two rushing touchdowns and allowed Tennessee to convert on 43.8% of their third down attempts. New England did come up with one interception in the game.

The Patriots struggled to generate consistent pressure, managing only one sack and losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials to the Titans. New England’s run defense allowed 4.3 yards per attempt, and they also gave up two rushing touchdowns in the game.

The Patriots have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. This also includes going 2-1 ATS, and posting an over-under record of 2-1.
Over their last ten regular season games, the Patriots have gone 2-8 straight up. In these contests, the team went just 3-6-1 against the spread, while going 5-5 on the over-under.

The Bears Can Win If…

After three consecutive wins, the Bears have dropped two straight, including a 29-9 loss to the Cardinals in week 9. This leaves Chicago at 4-4, with all four wins coming at home. Despite their even record, our power rankings place the Bears 19th, and they have a 13.5% chance of making the playoffs.

Chicago is 5-3 against the spread this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two games. Their O/U record stands at 3-5, with the under hitting in two straight games.

Heading into week 10, the Bears are 24th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 18th in points per game (21.5) and 27th in yards per game (294.6). Chicago is 12th in passing attempts but 29th in passing yards per game, averaging 182.1. On the ground, they rank 14th in rushing attempts and 23rd in rushing yards per game, with 112.5. The Bears have struggled on third down, converting just 31.5% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the NFL. However, they are 6th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 9, Chicago scored just 9 points, all in the 2nd quarter, in a 29-9 loss to the Cardinals. Caleb Williams threw for 217 yards on 22/41 passing and was sacked 6 times. D’Andre Swift had 51 rushing yards on 16 carries, while Rome Odunze led the team with 5 catches for 104 yards. Chicago converted only 3 of 14 third downs and failed to score on their lone red zone trip.

In their 29-9 loss to the Cardinals, the Bears’ defense gave up 213 rushing yards on just 34 attempts. Despite this, they held Arizona to 137 passing yards on 13 completions. Chicago’s defense managed to get off the field on 3rd down, allowing the Cardinals to convert just 38.5% of their third down attempts.

The Bears’ defense also recorded three sacks and limited Arizona to just a 65% completion percentage. However, the Bears struggled to stop the run, allowing the Cardinals to gain 350 total yards, with 213 of those coming on the ground.

Chicago will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 3-0 over their past three games. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 3-0 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 3-0 in those same games.
Through their last ten regular season contests, Chicago has a record of 9-1. In these contests, the team went just 8-1-1 against the spread, while going 6-4 on the over-under.

The Lean

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Patriots to cover as road underdogs in this week 10 matchup between the Patriots and Bears. Even though the Patriots are 6-point underdogs, we have the Bears winning by a score of 19-14.

For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 33 points and the O/U line sitting at just 39 points.

Rookie Quarterbacks Square Off as Patriots Face Bears in High-Stakes Matchup

This Sunday, the spotlight will be on two rookie quarterbacks as the New England Patriots travel to Chicago to take on the Bears. The game features a head-to-head clash between Drake Maye and Caleb Williams, who were the top picks in this year’s NFL Draft. While the game itself carries plenty of weight, it also presents a unique opportunity for both first-year quarterbacks to make a statement against one another.

A Battle Between the Top Picks

Drake Maye, who was drafted third overall, and Caleb Williams, the No. 1 overall pick, have been on parallel paths since their high school days. Now, they’ll face each other on an NFL field for the first time. Maye acknowledges the familiarity and friendly rivalry with Williams, but he’s focused on treating this game like any other.

“We’ve kept in touch since high school,” Maye said. “We were friends, and I enjoyed watching him do his thing. Now I get a chance to compete. Anytime you’re going against a rookie quarterback in your class, it’s a little extra.”

Tough Seasons for Both Rookies

Both Maye and Williams have experienced growing pains in their rookie campaigns. Maye enters the game with a 1-3 record as a starter for New England, while Williams has a slightly better 4-4 record with Chicago. However, Williams and the Bears have struggled recently, dropping their last two games in disappointing fashion.

The Bears were routed 29-9 by the Arizona Cardinals last week, following a close 18-15 loss to the Washington Commanders. The back-to-back defeats have sparked concern in Chicago, with head coach Matt Eberflus emphasizing the urgency to get back on track.

“Whenever you lose two in a row in the NFL, there’s always a heightened sense of urgency,” Eberflus said. “We have to find answers and solutions to where we are right now.”

New England’s Narrow Miss in Overtime Thriller

The Patriots are coming off a heart-wrenching overtime loss to the Tennessee Titans. Drake Maye engineered a miraculous comeback to force overtime, escaping pressure to deliver a last-second touchdown pass to Rhamondre Stevenson. However, the Patriots fell short when Maye threw an interception in overtime, sealing their fate.

Maye’s resilience was on full display, but his turnovers (three against Tennessee) remain a concern.

“I think the Bears’ defense, they’re always going to be physical,” Maye said. “They’re good up front and have some good edge guys. We’re focusing on ball security this week.”

Injury Concerns for Both Teams

Both squads are dealing with significant injuries heading into Sunday’s matchup:

New England Patriots:

Safety Kyle Dugger (ankle) and linebacker Christian Elliss (abdomen) did not practice on Wednesday.
Defensive end Keion White (knee) was limited in practice.

Chicago Bears:

Safety Jaquan Brisker (concussion), defensive tackle Andrew Billings (pectoral), and defensive back Jaylon Jones (shoulder) missed practice.
Defensive end Montez Sweat (shin) and four other players were limited participants.

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Key Matchups to Watch

Drake Maye vs. Bears’ Defensive Line
The Bears are known for their physical defense, especially up front. Maye will need to protect the football and avoid turnovers if the Patriots hope to pull off a win.
Caleb Williams vs. Patriots’ Secondary
Williams has been up and down, but he remains a threat with his ability to extend plays. The Patriots’ defense, even if missing key players like Kyle Dugger, will need to keep Williams in check.
Rhamondre Stevenson vs. Bears’ Run Defense
The Patriots’ running game has been one of the few bright spots this season. Look for Stevenson to play a crucial role in taking pressure off Maye.

Outlook

Both teams are desperate for a win, but for different reasons. The Bears are looking to bounce back after two straight losses, while the Patriots hope to build momentum and salvage what’s left of their season.

While Caleb Williams has the home-field advantage, Drake Maye has shown flashes of brilliance that could be the difference-maker in a game where both rookie quarterbacks have something to prove. With both teams battling injuries and inconsistencies, this game could come down to which quarterback can make the fewest mistakes and capitalize on scoring opportunities.