L.a. Chargers vs Tennessee Titans Picks and Predictions November 10th 2024

Chargers vs Titans November 10th 2024

The Chargers are the heavy favorite in this week 10 matchup against the Titans, with their money line odds at -402. The game, played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA, is set for 4:05 ET on Sunday, November 10th. The Chargers are favored by -7.5 points, and the over/under line is at 38 points. FOX is handling the TV coverage of this AFC matchup.

Tennessee vs. Los Angeles Key Information

• Teams: Titans at Chargers
• Where: SoFi Stadium Inglewood
• Date: Sunday, November 10th
• Betting Odds LAC -402 | TEN +309 O/U 38

The Titans Can Win If…

Heading into week 10, the Titans sit 30th in our NFL power rankings and have just a 2.6% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2-6 overall, including a 1-3 record both at home and on the road. In week 9, Tennessee snapped a three-game losing streak by beating the Patriots 20-17, but they were unable to cover the 3.5-point spread as favorites. The combined points in the game (37) fell just short of the 38-point line.

The Titans are 1-7 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -9.1 points. They have failed to cover in four straight games. Their O/U record is 4-3-1, with their games averaging 44.1 points compared to a 40.5-point line.

Heading into week 10, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in both points per game (17.5) and yards per game (296.4). Despite being 15th in pass attempts, they are 31st in passing yards per game, averaging just 170.8. On the ground, they rank 10th in rushing attempts and 12th in rushing yards per game, with 125.6. Tennessee has struggled on third down, converting just 32.7% of their attempts, which ranks 25th in the league. However, they have been strong in the red zone, ranking 10th in conversion percentage.

Mason Rudolph threw for 240 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 9, going 20/33 with 1 interception. Calvin Ridley led the team with 5 catches for 73 yards, while Tony Pollard rushed for 128 yards on 28 carries. Tennessee scored 7 points in the first quarter, 3 in the third, and 7 in the fourth, adding a field goal in overtime. They converted 7 of 16 third downs and went 2/5 in the red zone.

In their 20-17 overtime win over the Patriots, the Titans’ defense allowed just 185 passing yards on 29 completions. They also intercepted two passes and held New England to 27.3% on third down conversions. Despite giving up 110 rushing yards on only 20 attempts, the Titans managed to limit the Patriots to 295 total yards.

Tennessee’s defense put pressure on the quarterback throughout the game, finishing with four sacks and winning the battles in both QB hits and tackles for loss. The Titans also forced the Patriots to work for their yards, as they averaged only 4.5 yards per pass attempt.

• The Titans have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. This includes going 0-3 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 2-1.
• Through their last ten regular season contests, Tennessee has a record of 3-7. Across these games, their ATS record was just 2-8, while posting an over-under record of 5-4-1.

The Chargers Can Win If…

With two straight wins, the Chargers now sit at 5-3 this season. After a week 7 loss to the Cardinals, they bounced back with wins over the Saints (28-6) and Browns (27-10) in weeks 8 and 9, respectively. L.A. was favored in both games and covered the spread each time, including a 17-point win over Cleveland as 2-point favorites.

Our projections give the Chargers a 78.2% chance of making the playoffs, but only a 3.7% chance of winning the AFC West. They rank 16th in our NFL power rankings. L.A. is 5-2-1 against the spread, with a +7.2 scoring margin per game. Their O/U record is 1-7, with the under hitting in three straight games.

Heading into week 10, the Chargers sit 16th in our offensive power rankings. They’re 23rd in the NFL in points per game (19.9) and 22nd in yards per game (315). Justin Herbert has been solid, throwing for 282 yards (18/27) and 2 touchdowns in week 9, following his 279-yard performance in week 8 and 349 yards in week 7. The Chargers have also been strong in the red zone, converting 68.4% of their trips, which ranks 2nd in the league.

On the ground, J.K. Dobbins rushed for 85 yards and 2 touchdowns on 14 carries in week 9. Quentin Johnston led the team in receiving with 4 catches for 118 yards. The Chargers are 11th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion rate, converting 39.8% of their attempts.

In their 27-10 win over the Browns, the Chargers’ defense was dominant, coming up with three interceptions and six sacks. They held Cleveland to just 79 yards rushing on 24 attempts and limited them to 10 points. The Chargers’ defense also allowed just 213 yards passing and a completion percentage of 56.5%. Despite this, they gave up one passing touchdown.

On third downs, the Browns converted just 35.3% of their chances, and the Chargers’ defense also had eight tackles for loss in the game.

• The Chargers have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. In terms of betting, the team went 2-0-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 0-3.
• Los Angeles has put together a record of 3-7 in their last ten games (regular season). In these contests, the team went just 4-5-1 against the spread, while going 2-8 on the over-under.

The Lean

Our pick against the spread is to take the Titans to cover as road underdogs in this week 10 matchup between the Titans and Chargers. The point spread line is currently at +7.5 in favor of the Titans, and we have them winning 23-11 over the Chargers.

For this week’s over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 34 points and the O/U line sitting at just 38 points.

Weekly Football Picks

As the Los Angeles Chargers prepare for a three-game home stretch through Thanksgiving, they’ll face off against the Tennessee Titans this Sunday in Inglewood, California. Both teams bring defensive strength to the field, making this a game where standout defense could be the difference-maker. Here’s a breakdown of what to expect and key factors to watch.

Chargers Set for Crucial Home Game Stretch

The Chargers (5-3) begin their November homestand with the first of three games, looking to build on their recent two-game winning streak. Having won two of their three home games, the Chargers are well-positioned to continue their momentum at home, where they recently defeated the New Orleans Saints in a convincing 26-8 victory.

Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert led his team to a 27-10 road win against the Cleveland Browns last Sunday, throwing for 250 of his 282 yards in the first half alone and adding two touchdowns. With the Chargers’ defense holding opponents to under 20 points per game, they’ll aim to capitalize on home-field advantage.

Chargers’ Defense: A Force Under Jim Harbaugh

Under new head coach Jim Harbaugh, the Chargers’ defense has become one of the most dominant units in the NFL. They lead the league with only 12.6 points allowed per game and rank eighth in rushing yards allowed (107.9) and total yards allowed (303.8).

Key defenders include Derwin James Jr., who has 45 tackles (third on the team), and Khalil Mack, who leads with 4.5 sacks. Last week, multiple Chargers defenders shone, with Elijah Molden, Alohi Gilman, and Tarheeb Still each intercepting passes, while Tuli Tuipulotu and Morgan Fox recorded multiple sacks. James praised the team’s defensive scheme, noting, “It’s complicated for the opposing offense but straightforward for us.” This depth and coordination make the Chargers a formidable defense.

However, injuries are a concern. Mack (groin) and linebackers Denzel Perryman (toe) and cornerback Kristian Fulton (hamstring) missed practice this week, with edge rusher Joey Bosa (hip) limited. Their availability could significantly impact the game’s defensive matchups.

Titans’ Defense: Dominant Passing Defense but Weak Points Persist

The Titans (2-6) have struggled with consistency this season but have displayed a strong pass defense, allowing just 155.8 passing yards per game—the best in the league. Their overall defense ranks highly, giving up just 269.1 total yards on average. Yet, they have struggled with points allowed, with an average of 26.6 points per game, ranking them among the league’s bottom six teams in this category.

With an offense that averages only 17.5 points per game, the Titans’ defense has been under significant pressure. Their passing offense has been lackluster, with only 170.8 yards per game, leaving them second to last in the NFL in this category.

Will Levis Returns to Quarterback for the Titans

Quarterback Will Levis is expected to return to the lineup after recovering from a shoulder injury that sidelined him for three games. His early season performance was inconsistent, as he averaged just 139.8 passing yards over five starts, with five touchdowns and seven interceptions. The Titans went 1-4 during this stretch, putting pressure on Levis to perform upon his return.

In Levis’s absence, backup quarterback Mason Rudolph found a rhythm with wide receiver Calvin Ridley, who caught 18 of his 27 total receptions over the past three games for 258 yards. Tennessee head coach Brian Callahan acknowledged the connection between Rudolph and Ridley but emphasized the need for Levis to find his own synergy with Ridley.

“The hope is that Will steps into an improved unit from when he was last in the lineup,” Callahan said. “But Will has to do his part. He’s got to be able to complete the ball, manage it, and protect it.”

Key Injuries and Roster Updates

Injuries could play a crucial role in Sunday’s matchup. For the Titans, center Lloyd Cushenberry (Achilles) and safety Quandre Diggs (foot) were placed on injured reserve this week, with both expected to miss the remainder of the season. Cornerback L’Jarius Sneed (quad) also missed practice, leaving the Titans with gaps in their defense and offensive line.

For the Chargers, linebacker Junior Colson (ankle) and wide receiver Simi Fehoko (elbow) have been placed on IR, with wide receiver Jalen Reagor being promoted to the active roster. These injuries could affect both their defensive rotation and offensive depth, although the return of star quarterback Herbert offsets some concerns on offense.

Defensive Standoff: Chargers vs. Titans

With both teams possessing strong defensive units, Sunday’s game is expected to be a low-scoring, hard-fought battle. The Chargers’ defense, which is adept at limiting scoring opportunities, will likely put pressure on Levis, testing his ability to perform under adverse conditions.

For the Chargers, Herbert’s passing game could meet resistance from Tennessee’s standout pass defense. However, if Herbert can execute plays early, as he did against Cleveland, it might be challenging for the Titans to keep up.

Key Matchups to Watch

• Justin Herbert vs. Titans’ Pass Defense: Herbert’s accuracy and big-play potential will go up against Tennessee’s secondary, which leads the league in passing yards allowed. Success here could tilt the game in the Chargers’ favor.
• Chargers Defensive Line vs. Will Levis: With Levis returning after a lengthy absence, he may be vulnerable to pressure from the Chargers’ defensive front, led by Khalil Mack and Joey Bosa. Tennessee’s offensive line will need to be solid to protect their quarterback.
• Calvin Ridley’s Chemistry with Levis: After building a successful rapport with backup QB Rudolph, Ridley’s integration with Levis will be key to the Titans’ offensive success. If Levis and Ridley can connect, the Titans’ scoring potential could improve.

Prediction

The Chargers come in as slight favorites, with the advantage of a strong defensive record, home-field familiarity, and momentum from recent victories. The Titans, while defensively strong, will need an improved offensive performance from Levis to keep up. If the Chargers’ defense can apply early pressure and disrupt the Titans’ passing game, Los Angeles could extend their winning streak. However, if Tennessee’s pass defense succeeds in stifling Herbert, this game could turn into a battle of field goals and defense.

Conclusion

The Titans and Chargers’ matchup promises to be a gritty contest, with both defenses expected to shine. While the Chargers have a slight edge on offense, the Titans’ return of Will Levis and their defensive prowess could lead to a competitive game. This clash is likely to hinge on which quarterback can make the most of their limited opportunities against two of the NFL’s top defenses.