Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Picks and Predictions November 14th 2024

Eagles vs Commanders November 14th 2024

The Eagles are favored at -3.5 as they host the Commanders at 8:15 ET on Thursday, a week 11 matchup. The Eagles’ money line odds are -174, and the game is being televised by AMZN. The over/under line is set at 48.5 points, and Washington’s money line odds are +147.

Washington vs. Philadelphia Key Information

After three straight wins, the Commanders couldn’t keep their streak going in week 10, falling 28-27 to the Steelers. Washington entered the game as 1.5-point favorites but couldn’t hold on at home, dropping their record to 7-3. This puts them 2nd in the NFC East with a 2-0 division record and 5-1 mark in conference play. Our power rankings have the Commanders 9th heading into week 11, and they have an 89.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 36.5% chance of winning the division.

Washington is 7-2-1 against the spread this season, with a +7.3 scoring margin. They are 5-1 ATS as favorites and 2-1-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-3, with the over hitting in two straight games. Their contests have averaged 50.7 points, with an average line of 46.

Heading into week 11, the Commanders are 2nd in our offensive power rankings. They rank 3rd in the NFL in points per game (29) and 4th in total yards per game (377). Despite being 26th in pass attempts, they are 11th in passing yards per game, averaging 223.5. On the ground, Washington ranks 4th in both rushing attempts and rushing yards per game, with 153.5. They are 5th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage (44.7%) and lead the NFL in red zone attempts, but rank 28th in red zone conversion percentage (9.1%).

In week 10, Jayden Daniels threw for 202 yards on 17/34 passing in a loss to the Steelers. Terry McLaurin had 5 catches for 113 yards, and Austin Ekeler rushed for 44 yards and 2 touchdowns. Washington scored 20 points in the first half but failed to score in the 4th quarter. They converted 5/14 on 3rd down and were 3/3 in the red zone.

In Washington’s 28-27 loss to the Steelers, they gave up three passing touchdowns, but overall, they allowed just 172 yards through the air on 14 completions. The Commanders’ defense picked off one pass and limited Pittsburgh to a 48.3% completion percentage. However, they did struggle against the run, allowing 140 yards on 43 attempts.

Washington’s defense also recorded three sacks and held the Steelers to a 43.8% third-down conversion rate. Despite their strong play against the pass, they gave up big plays in the passing game, with Pittsburgh managing to score three touchdowns through the air.

The Eagles extended their winning streak to five games with a dominant 34-6 road win over the Cowboys in week 10. This puts them at 7-2 on the season, keeping them atop the NFC East and 2nd in the conference standings. Our power rankings have Philadelphia 7th heading into week 11, and they have a 95.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 63.4% chance of winning the division.

Against the spread, the Eagles are 5-4, including a 3-4 record as favorites and a 2-0 mark as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is +8 points per game. Their O/U record is 4-5, with their games averaging 43.8 points compared to an average line of 45.4.

Philadelphia’s offense is currently 8th in our power rankings, and they are 6th in the NFL in both points per game (25.9) and yards per game (373.9). The Eagles have leaned heavily on their run game, leading the league in rushing attempts and ranking 2nd in rushing yards per game with 176.1. On the passing side, they are 31st in attempts per game and 20th in passing yards per game, averaging 197.8. They are 14th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions and 26th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 5th in red zone attempts.

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Jalen Hurts threw for 202 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 10, with one interception, after posting a passer rating of 132 in weeks 8 and 9. Saquon Barkley had 66 rushing yards on 14 carries in week 10, while A.J. Brown led the team with 5 catches for 109 yards. Philadelphia scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter against Dallas and converted 4 of 5 red zone opportunities.

In their 34-6 win over the Cowboys, the Eagles’ defense was outstanding, allowing just 49 yards passing. Dallas managed only 97 yards on 24 rushing attempts, averaging 4.0 yards per attempt. Philadelphia picked off one pass, held the Cowboys to a 21.4% conversion rate on third down, and limited them to 146 total yards. The Eagles also had three sacks in the game.

Our pick to win this week 11 matchup between Washington and Philadelphia is the Eagles, with a final score prediction of 27-24. Even though Washington is the favorite at +3.5, we like the Eagles to come out on top.

For this game, we are going with Washington to cover as our best bet against the spread. With the point spread sitting at 48.5, we are leaning towards taking the over, projecting a combined score of 51 points.