Georgia Southern Eagles vs Troy Trojans Picks and Predictions November 16th 2024

Georgia Southern Eagles vs Troy Trojans November 16th 2024

Georgia Southern is the heavy favorite in this week 12 matchup against Troy, with a -7.5 point spread in their favor. The game is set to kick off at 4:00 ET from Allen E. Paulson Stadium in Statesboro and will be broadcast on ESPN+. The over/under line is currently at 54.5 points. Georgia Southern enters the game with a 6-3 record, while Troy is looking to improve on their 2-7 season.

Troy vs. Georgia Southern Key Information

With a 2-7 record, Troy is out of bowl contention and ranks 105th in our CFB power rankings. They are 1-3 on the road and 0-4 at home this season.

Troy has been favored in two games but lost both, going 0-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -5.3 points per game, and they are 3-5 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week is 54.5 points. Troy’s games have averaged 50.2 points, with an average line of 49.5 points. Their over/under record is 4-4 this season.

Heading into week 12, Troy’s offense is averaging 22.4 points per game, placing them 77th in the nation. They are ranked 94th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing game is averaging 153.6 yards per game, and they are 54th in rushing attempts. Damien Taylor leads the team with 682 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored four touchdowns.

Quarterback Matthew Caldwell has thrown for 903 yards, with six touchdowns and six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 78. Troy is 93rd in passing yards per game, averaging 202.4. Devonte Ross has caught 53 passes for 783 yards and nine touchdowns. Troy ranks 15th in third-down conversions, converting 47.4% of their attempts.

Heading into their matchup with Georgia Southern, Troy’s defense is allowing 27.8 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 211.8 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks completing 68.3% of their passes. On the ground, Troy is allowing 173.3 rushing yards per game.

In their recent game against Coastal Carolina, Troy’s defense allowed 24 points, including 213 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns. They also gave up 150 passing yards on 14 completions.

Georgia Southern enters Week 12 with a 6-3 record, and they are 100% bowl-eligible. They have a 2-1 record at home and rank 78th in our power rankings. The Eagles have a 23.9% chance of winning the Sun Belt this season.

Against the spread, Georgia Southern is 5-2-1, with a perfect 2-0-1 record at home. They’ve been favored in only two games this season, and their average scoring margin is -1.2 points per game.

Their over/under record stands at 4-4, with an average line of 58.6 points. This week’s line is set at 54.5 points, and their games have averaged 59.7 points per contest.

Georgia Southern’s offense is averaging 29.2 points per game, placing them 44th in the nation. They are ranked 53rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. The Eagles have leaned on their passing game, ranking 22nd in completions and 27th in attempts, averaging 249.8 yards per game. They are converting 45.3% of their third downs, and their completion percentage is 64.9%, both of which rank 25th nationally.

Quarterback JC French has thrown for 1,988 yards with a 65.4% completion rate, recording 14 touchdowns and six interceptions. He has a passer rating of 92. On the ground, Georgia Southern is averaging 126.3 rushing yards per game. Jalen White leads the team with 464 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. Dalen Cobb is the top receiver with 488 yards and four touchdowns on 42 catches.

Bet Confidently with NCAA Expert Picks! Access NCAA football expert picks and stay informed.

Georgia Southern’s defense has had its struggles this season, allowing an average of 30.4 points per game. In their recent matchup against South Alabama, they gave up 30 points but managed to secure a 34-30 victory. The defense allowed 458 total yards, including 274 passing yards, while also forcing one interception.

Opponents have averaged 272.7 passing yards per game against Georgia Southern, completing 65% of their passes. The Eagles rank 141st in the nation against the run, giving up 186.8 rushing yards per game on an average of 34 attempts per contest.

Our projections have Troy winning this matchup 35-24 over Georgia Southern, making Troy a strong bet to cover as +7.5 point road underdogs. The over/under line is set at 54.5 points, but with our projected combined score of 59 points, the over looks like the best play.