Georgia St. Panthers vs Arkansas St. Red Wolves Picks and Predictions November 16th 2024

Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves November 16th 2024

ESPN+ will be covering this week 12 college football matchup between the Arkansas State Red Wolves and Georgia State Panthers, set to kick off at 5:00 ET from Center Parc Stadium in Atlanta. The Panthers, despite their 2-7 record, are the slight -1.5-point favorites at home. The over/under line is currently at 58.5 points. Arkansas State enters the game with a 5-4 record for the season.

Arkansas State vs. Georgia State Key Information

Arkansas State enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, facing Georgia State. They are 3-0 at home but have struggled on the road, going 1-4. Despite being ranked 115th in our power rankings, they have a 76% chance of becoming bowl-eligible.

The Red Wolves are 3-0 as favorites this season but have gone 1-4 as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is -10.6 points per game, and they are 3-5 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week is 58.5 points, slightly above their average line of 57.4 points. Arkansas State’s over/under record is 4-4, with an average margin of -0.9 points.

Arkansas State’s offense is averaging 23.4 points per game, ranking 72nd nationally, and they are 98th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. They have focused on their passing game, ranking 23rd in passing attempts, with 36.9 per game, and 25th in completions, averaging 22.8. Overall, they are 56th in passing yards, with 244.1 yards per game, and they have converted 40.4% of their third downs.

Jaylen Raynor, the team’s quarterback, has thrown for 2,034 yards, completing 61.4% of his passes. He has eight touchdowns and eight interceptions, with a passer rating of 78. Ja’Quez Cross leads the rushing attack with 467 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Corey Rucker is the top receiver, with 776 yards and three touchdowns on 53 receptions.

Arkansas State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34 points per game. In their recent game against Louisiana, they gave up 55 points, including six rushing touchdowns, while allowing 580 total yards, with 279 rushing yards and 301 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 224 rushing yards per game against Arkansas State, and quarterbacks have completed 65.1% of their passes, totaling 243 passing yards per game. This season, Arkansas State’s defense has faced the 41st fewest pass attempts in the country.

Georgia State enters Week 12 with a 2-7 record, and they are out of bowl contention. The Panthers are ranked 107th in our power rankings and have gone 1-2 at home this season.

They’ve been favored in two games but have lost both, going 0-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -11.1 points per game, and they are 2-5-1 against the spread this season.

The over/under line for this week is 58.5 points. Georgia State’s games have averaged 52.7 points, and their over/under record stands at 4-3-1, with an average line of 52.9 points.

Georgia State’s offense has been underwhelming this season, averaging just 20.8 points per game, placing them 84th in the nation. They are ranked 83rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 36.9%, and their rushing game has struggled, producing only 125.1 yards per game.

Christian Veilleux leads the passing attack with 1,312 yards, but his passer rating is 79, with nine touchdowns and six interceptions. Georgia State ranks 18th in passing attempts per game, averaging 245.8 yards. Ted Hurst has caught eight touchdowns and has 606 receiving yards.

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Georgia State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 31.9 points per game. In their recent game against James Madison, they gave up 38 points, including 452 total yards, with 211 rushing yards and 241 passing yards, along with three passing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 205.6 rushing yards per game against Georgia State, while quarterbacks have posted a 98.7 passer rating and completed 62.8% of their passes. On average, opposing offenses have attempted 26.9 passes per game against the Panthers, which ranks 30th fewest in the nation.

Our projections have Georgia State winning their week 12 matchup against Arkansas State by a score of 27-26. However, with Arkansas State coming in as the +1.5 point underdogs, we like their chances to win straight-up and would recommend betting on them to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 58.5 points, our model is suggesting a combined score of 53 points, so the under looks like the best play.