Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Picks and Predictions November 17th 2024

The Ravens are favored on the road in their week 11 matchup against the Steelers. The Ravens’ money line odds are -175, while the Steelers are at +146. The game is being played at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, with a 1:00 ET kickoff time. The Ravens are -3 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 47.5 points. On TV, this one will be on CBS.

Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh Key Information

• Teams: Ravens at Steelers
• Where: Acrisure Stadium Pittsburgh
• Date: Sunday, November 17th
• Betting Odds BAL -175 | PIT +146 O/U 47.5

The Ravens Can Win If…

Heading into week 11, the Ravens are riding a two-game winning streak, including a 41-10 win over the Broncos in week 9 and a 35-34 victory over the Bengals in week 10. Baltimore is now 7-3, putting them 2nd in our power rankings and giving them a 99.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 63.1% chance of winning the AFC North. They are 2-1 in division games and 4-3 in conference play.

So far, the over has hit in 9 of the Ravens’ 10 games, including the last 6 in a row. Their games are averaging 57.1 points, with an average O/U line of 47.8. Against the spread, Baltimore is 5-4-1, with a +6.5 scoring margin. They are 5-3-1 as favorites and 0-1 as underdogs.

Heading into week 11, the Ravens lead the NFL in scoring with 31.8 points per game and are also 1st in total offense, averaging 440.2 yards per game. They rank 3rd in passing, with 257.6 yards per game, despite being 25th in pass attempts. Baltimore also leads the league in rushing, averaging 182.6 yards per game on 31.9 attempts.

Lamar Jackson has been on fire, posting a passer rating of 141 in week 10, with 290 yards and 4 touchdowns against the Bengals. He had a perfect passer rating of 158 in week 9 and threw for 289 yards in week 8. Derrick Henry rushed for 68 yards on 16 carries in week 10, and Tylan Wallace had 3 catches for 115 yards.

In the Ravens’ 35-34 win over the Bengals, their defense gave up 421 passing yards and allowed four passing touchdowns. Cincinnati had some success pushing the ball downfield, with 12 of their 34 completions going for 15 yards or more. Despite the big yardage numbers, the Ravens’ defense did come up with three sacks and held the Bengals to 3.1 yards per attempt on the ground.

Baltimore’s defense forced the Bengals into 16 rushing attempts, as Cincinnati focused on attacking them through the air. The Ravens also allowed the Bengals to convert on 50% of their third down attempts and finish with 470 total yards in the game.

• The Ravens have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. Against the spread, they have gone 1-2 and logged an over-under record of 3-0 in these games.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Ravens have gone 7-3 straight up. This includes going 5-4-1 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 9-1.

The Steelers Can Win If…

With four straight wins, the Steelers are now 7-2, putting them in first place in the AFC North. They rank 10th in our power rankings and have a 94.0% chance of making the playoffs. Pittsburgh narrowly beat the Commanders 28-27 in week 10, bouncing back from a 3-point home loss to the Cowboys in week 5. Since then, they’ve beaten the Raiders, Jets, and Giants.

Against the spread, the Steelers are 7-2, including four consecutive wins. They covered as 1.5-point underdogs vs. Washington and are 3-0 as underdogs this season. The over has hit in four straight Pittsburgh games, including week 10, when they and the Commanders combined for 55 points, surpassing the 45.5-point line.

Heading into week 11, the Steelers are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 10th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.9, and are 18th in yards per game with 326.3. Pittsburgh leans heavily on the run, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game with 138.3. They rank 29th in passing attempts and 26th in passing yards per game, averaging 188 yards through the air.

In week 10, the Steelers scored 7 points in each quarter against the Commanders, with Russell Wilson throwing for 195 yards and 3 touchdowns. George Pickens led the team with 5 catches for 91 yards and a touchdown, while Jaylen Warren had 66 rushing yards on 14 carries. Pittsburgh converted 7 of 16 third downs and went 3/4 in the red zone.

The Steelers’ defense played well on third downs in their 28-27 win over Washington, holding them to a 35.7% conversion rate. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed just 182 passing yards on 17 completions, and they didn’t give up any passing touchdowns. They also limited Washington to 60 rushing yards on 22 attempts.

Pittsburgh’s defense recorded three sacks in the game and held Washington to a 50% completion percentage. The Steelers’ defense was also effective in the passing game, allowing just 5.4 yards per attempt.

• Pittsburgh will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
• Across Pittsburgh’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 6-4. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 6-4 and an over-under mark of 5-5.

The Lean

For this week 11 matchup between the Ravens and Steelers, we have the Steelers pulling off the upset by a score of 25-23. With the point spread sitting at -3 in favor of the Ravens, our pick is to take the Steelers to not only win straight-up but to cover as home underdogs.

As for the over/under, we have the over as a great bet, with a projected combined score of 48 points and the O/U line at 47.5 points.

North Lead at Stake, Lamar Jackson, Ravens Set Sights on Steelers

The battle for AFC North supremacy takes center stage in Week 11 as the Baltimore Ravens (7-3) visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2) on Sunday. With both teams at the top of their game, this rivalry clash promises fireworks, featuring the league’s top offense against a stingy Steelers defense.

A Pivotal AFC North Matchup

The Steelers are embarking on a challenging stretch of their schedule, facing division rivals in six of their final eight games. Head coach Mike Tomlin, however, remains unfazed.

“I’ll play them whenever they schedule us,” Tomlin said. “Our goal is to beat everybody, but specifically week to week, we get singly focused on this week’s opponent.”

Pittsburgh enters the matchup riding a four-game winning streak, with an offense averaging 30.8 points during that span. New quarterback Russell Wilson has been instrumental in their success, including last week’s 28-27 win over the Washington Commanders.

Meanwhile, the Ravens have been equally impressive, winning seven of their past eight games. Led by Lamar Jackson, Baltimore boasts the NFL’s top offense, averaging 31.8 points and 440.2 yards per game.

Key Storylines

Lamar Jackson’s Rivalry Record

Jackson’s impressive season comes with one blemish: a 1-3 record against the Steelers. Determined to change the narrative, Jackson enters this game with renewed focus.

“It’s a new year, I’m looking forward to the game,” Jackson said. “I’m just focused right now, I’m having fun. I hate every team in the league when I’m going against them.”

Steelers’ New-Look Offense

For the first time, Russell Wilson will face Baltimore in a Steelers uniform. Acquired in the offseason, Wilson’s experience and leadership have been key in Pittsburgh’s recent resurgence.

Baltimore coach John Harbaugh acknowledged the challenge Wilson presents.

“Russ brings a lot to the table, kind of playing the way he plays. We’re getting ready to play our best defensive game on Sunday.”

Derrick Henry’s Impact

Adding to the Ravens’ arsenal is Derrick Henry, the NFL’s rushing leader with 1,120 yards and 12 touchdowns. Henry’s dominance on the ground will be pivotal in a game where time of possession and physicality are likely to decide the winner.

Key Matchups

Steelers Defense vs. Lamar Jackson

Pittsburgh linebacker Patrick Queen, a former Ravens teammate of Jackson, relishes the opportunity to compete against the electrifying quarterback.

“He’s just a great competitor, he’s a great athlete. He can do whatever he wants on the field,” Queen said.

Derrick Henry vs. Steelers Front Seven

Henry’s ability to control the tempo will test Pittsburgh’s defensive line, which will be without standout linebacker Alex Highsmith due to an ankle injury.

Russell Wilson vs. Ravens Secondary

Wilson’s decision-making will be critical against a Ravens defense that thrives on turnovers. Baltimore star safety Kyle Hamilton is questionable with an ankle injury, potentially leaving an opening for the Steelers’ passing game.

Injury Updates

Ravens

• Kyle Hamilton (ankle): Missed practice Wednesday; status uncertain.
• Kyle Van Noy (illness): Did not practice.

Steelers

• Alex Highsmith (ankle): Out for Week 11.
• Najee Harris (ankle): Did not practice.
• Van Jefferson (quadriceps): Did not practice.
• MyCole Pruitt (knee): Did not practice.
• Donte Jackson (hamstring): Did not practice.

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Outlook

The Steelers and Ravens both bring playoff-caliber intensity to this pivotal Week 11 showdown. While Pittsburgh’s opportunistic defense will look to stymie Jackson and Henry, Baltimore’s high-powered offense aims to exploit a banged-up Steelers lineup.

With the AFC North lead on the line, this clash could shape the playoff picture in the conference and further ignite one of football’s fiercest rivalries.

Prediction: Ravens 27, Steelers 23