Sacramento Kings vs Atlanta Hawks Picks and Predictions November 18th 2024

Sacramento Kings vs Atlanta Hawks NBA Mon, Nov 18, 22:00 pm.
Sacramento Kings
ML: -170
0
0
Atlanta Hawks
ML: 145
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At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-187) will host the Atlanta Hawks (+157) in a non-conference matchup. The Kings are favored by 4.5 points, and the over/under line is currently set at 234.5.

This game will be played at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento and can be seen on NBCS. The Hawks are currently 6-8 and sit 7th in the Eastern Conference, while the Kings are 8-6 and 9th in the Western Conference.

Hawks vs. Kings Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Atlanta Hawks at Sacramento Kings
  • Where: Sacramento at Golden 1 Center
  • Date: Monday, November 18th
  • Betting Odds SAC -4.5, ATL +157 | SAC -187 O/U 234.5

The Hawks Can Win If…

The Hawks dropped to 6-8 on the season after a 114-110 road loss to the Trail Blazers on Sunday. Atlanta, favored by four points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 224 points fell short of the 230-point O/U line.

Atlanta started strong, going on an 11-0 run early and leading 33-21 after the 1st quarter. However, a rough 3rd quarter, where they were outscored 38-17, put them in a 94-82 hole heading into the 4th. Despite a 28-20 advantage in the final quarter, it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.

Trae Young knocked down 5 threes at a 50% clip, finishing with a team-high 29 points and 8 assists in the Hawks’ 110-point effort against the Trail Blazers. Jalen Johnson followed with 25 points on 71.4% shooting, while Dyson Daniels contributed 12 points despite hitting just 29.4% of his shots.

Young came alive in the 4th quarter, scoring 14 points, while Johnson added 8 in the final period. Daniels did most of his damage in the 1st, scoring 10 of his 12 points early. The Hawks made 11 threes at a 34.4% rate, shooting 45.9% from the field overall.

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Defensively, the Hawks had a strong start and finish, giving up just 21 points in the 1st quarter and 20 in the 4th. However, they struggled in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, allowing 35 and 38 points, respectively, leading to a 114-110 loss to the Trail Blazers.

Atlanta allowed Portland to shoot 46% from the field, including 36% from beyond the arc, where the Blazers hit 14 threes. The Hawks sent Portland to the free-throw line 19 times, with the Blazers converting 12. Atlanta recorded 10 steals and 7 blocks but gave up 18 offensive rebounds.

  • Across their last three road contests, Atlanta has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 116 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Hawks have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Atlanta posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
  • Over their last three games, the Hawks have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Kings Can Win If…

With a 121-117 win over the Jazz on Saturday, the Kings improved to 8-6 on the season. Sacramento was favored by 7.5 points but didn’t cover the spread. The total points of 238 exceeded the O/U line of 228.5.

Utah went on an 11-0 run, extending their lead from 62-52 to 73-52. The Kings rallied, holding the Jazz to 23 points in the 4th quarter while scoring 31 to secure the win.

De’Aaron Fox was unstoppable in the Kings’ win over the Jazz, pouring in 49 points and 9 assists while shooting 53.3% from the field. He also hit 3 threes at a 75% clip, with 18 points in the 1st quarter and another 14 in the 4th.

The Kings hit 19 threes as a team, shooting 46.3% from beyond the arc and 50.6% overall. Kevin Huerter added 5 threes, finishing with 18 points, while Trey Lyles also connected on 5 threes, shooting 71.4% from deep and finishing with 17 points.

Despite a shaky defensive performance, the Kings managed to hold off the Jazz, giving up 117 points on 49% shooting. Sacramento allowed 31 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters but tightened up in the 4th, where they gave up just 23 points to secure the win.

From beyond the arc, the Kings allowed Utah to hit 12 threes at a 46% clip. Sacramento also sent the Jazz to the line 42 times, where they converted 31 free throws. The Kings finished with 26 defensive rebounds, while allowing 11 offensive boards.

  • In their last five home games, Sacramento has averaged 117 points per game while allowing 118. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Kings have an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 against the spread.
  • In their last three games, the Kings have an over/under record of 3-0 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

As the underdogs with a spread of +4.5, we recommend going with the Hawks on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 234.5 and our model has the Hawks and Kings finishing with a combined 222 points. Our pick is to take the under.

Fox Looks to Stay Hot as Kings Host Hawks

The Sacramento Kings will rely on their red-hot star, De’Aaron Fox, as they host the Atlanta Hawks on Monday night. Fox is coming off an epic scoring stretch, becoming just the third player in NBA history to score 109 points over two consecutive nights, joining legends Kobe Bryant and Wilt Chamberlain.

Fox erupted for a franchise-record 60 points in a 130-126 overtime loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. He followed that performance by dropping 49 points in a 121-117 win over the Utah Jazz the next night.

The Kings have been shorthanded, missing key contributors like DeMar DeRozan (back), Malik Monk (ankle), and Domantas Sabonis (back). Despite this, Fox has shouldered the load.

“For him to come through with us missing three of our top six guys, that’s what says OK, he’s De’Aaron Fox and he did his job,” Kings coach Mike Brown said. “Wilt, Kobe, (and) Foxy.”

Fox shot an impressive 22 of 35 from the field against Minnesota and followed that up with a 16 of 30 effort versus Utah. The star guard has been relentless in attacking the basket and getting to his spots.

“Being able to get downhill and touching the paint has worked wonders,” Fox explained. “Whenever you are able to do that, you’re able to get to the rim, get to the free-throw line, and still create for teammates.”

Kings Look to Extend Winning Streak Against Hawks

The Kings have had the upper hand against the Hawks recently, winning their last three matchups, including a 123-115 road victory on November 1. In that game, Fox scored 31 points, while Atlanta’s Trae Young countered with 25 points and 12 assists.

Sacramento will again be without DeRozan and Monk, while Sabonis is listed as doubtful for Monday’s game.

Hawks Struggle with Turnovers in Loss to Blazers

The Hawks are coming off a 114-110 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday, the first of a four-game road trip. Despite Trae Young’s strong outing with 29 points and eight assists, Atlanta was plagued by a season-high 27 turnovers, which led to 32 Portland points.

Young, while efficient offensively, has struggled with turnovers lately, committing six turnovers in each of his last three games. He’ll need to clean that up against a Kings team looking to capitalize on mistakes.

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One bright spot for the Hawks has been Dyson Daniels, who has been a defensive force with six or more steals in each of his last four games, totaling 25 steals in that stretch. However, Daniels’ offense was inconsistent on Sunday, shooting just 5 of 17 with six turnovers.

“He’s letting the game come to him,” Young said of Daniels. “Defensively, we’re playing off of him. That’s what we love from him, and we’re going to need him to keep doing it.”

Key Game Notes:

  • Kings: De’Aaron Fox leads the charge, with Sacramento missing key players like DeRozan and Monk. Sabonis remains doubtful.
  • Hawks: Trae Young continues to be Atlanta’s focal point but must limit turnovers. Dyson Daniels will be crucial on both ends of the floor.
  • Injury Updates: Atlanta’s De’Andre Hunter is expected to return after sitting out Sunday’s game against Portland.

Expect fireworks as the high-flying Kings look to extend their winning streak against a Hawks team hungry to bounce back.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Mon, Nov 18, 09:26 am.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Sacramento Kings
-2.5
-115
-170
O 120
-110
Atlanta Hawks
+2.5
-105
145
U 120
-110
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