Carolina Panthers vs Kansas City Chiefs Picks and Predictions November 24th 2024

Panthers vs Chiefs November 24th 2024

On the money line, the Chiefs are -607 favorites as they head to Charlotte to take on the Panthers at Bank of America Stadium. The Panthers are +440 underdogs. The Chiefs are favored by -11 points on the road in this week 12 non-conference matchup. Kickoff is at 1:00 ET, and the over/under line is at 41.5 points. The game is being televised on CBS.

Kansas City vs. Carolina Key Information

Despite a week 11 loss to the Bills, the Chiefs remain atop the AFC standings with a 9-1 record. They rank 4th in our NFL power rankings and have a 93.3% chance of winning the AFC West and a 100% chance of making the playoffs. Kansas City is 3-0 in division games and 5-1 against the AFC, and they are 5-0 at home and 4-1 on the road.

The Chiefs have an average scoring margin of +4.9 points per game and are 4-5-1 against the spread this season. They have failed to cover in four straight games, including a 2-point win over the Broncos in week 10 and a 9-point loss to the Bills in week 11. Their O/U record is 5-5, with their games averaging 43.1 points per game.

Patrick Mahomes threw for 196 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 11, completing 23 of 33 passes, but he also had 2 interceptions. Kareem Hunt had 14 carries for 60 yards, and Xavier Worthy led the team with 61 receiving yards on 4 catches. The Chiefs scored 7 points in the 4th quarter against the Bills after being shut out in the 1st and 3rd quarters.

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Heading into week 12, the Chiefs are 10th in the NFL in passing yards per game (226.5) and 16th in total yards, averaging 337.9 per game. They lead the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage (51.9%) but rank 23rd in red zone conversion percentage. Kansas City is currently 9th in our offensive power rankings.

In their 30-21 loss to the Bills, the Chiefs’ defense allowed Buffalo to convert on 60% of their third down attempts. They gave up 262 passing yards on 27 completions, with one touchdown allowed through the air. Despite forcing one interception, the Chiefs didn’t manage to record any sacks in the game.

The Chiefs also allowed 104 rushing yards on 31 attempts, and Buffalo finished with 366 total yards in the game. Kansas City’s defense allowed a 67.5% completion percentage to Buffalo and struggled to generate consistent pressure on the quarterback.

After snapping their six-game losing streak with back-to-back wins, the Panthers now sit at 3-7. In week 9, they edged out the Saints 23-22, and in week 10, they secured a 20-17 victory over the Giants. Carolina was the underdog in both games, but they covered the spread each time, including a +6.5 line against New York.

Despite their recent wins, the Panthers have just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs, and they rank 30th in our power rankings. Their average scoring margin this season is -14.3, and they are 3-7 against the spread. Their O/U record is 7-3, with their games averaging 47.7 points.

Heading into week 12, the Panthers rank 29th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 16.7 points per game (27th in the NFL). They are 32nd in the league in total yards, with 280.7 per game, and 29th in passing yards, with 170.7 per game, despite being 15th in pass attempts. On the ground, they rank 24th in both rushing attempts and yards. Carolina ranks 27th in 3rd-down conversions but is 8th in red zone conversion percentage.

Bryce Young threw for 126 yards and a touchdown in week 10, finishing with a passer rating of 86. Chuba Hubbard had a big game, rushing for 153 yards on 28 carries, while Jalen Coker led the team with 41 receiving yards. Carolina scored 17 points in regulation, adding 3 in overtime to beat the Giants.

In their 20-17 overtime win over the Giants, the Panthers’ defense allowed 342 total yards, but they played well in the passing game, giving up just 175 yards through the air. Carolina struggled against the run, allowing 167 yards on 34 attempts. Despite this, they kept the Giants out of the end zone in the passing game, coming up with two interceptions and not allowing any passing touchdowns.

On third downs, the Panthers allowed the Giants to convert 46.7% of their chances. They also had two sacks and forced two turnovers in the secondary.

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chiefs to cover as 11-point road favorites in this week 12 matchup between the Chiefs and Panthers. We have the Chiefs winning by a score of 27-15.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 41.5 points, we have these teams combining for 42 points, making the over our best bet for this matchup.

Chiefs Move Past First Loss, Place Target on Panthers

Rested and rejuvenated, the Carolina Panthers will host the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday afternoon in Charlotte, where Patrick Mahomes is set to play for the first time.

The Panthers (3-7) have found momentum with two straight victories and are coming off a bye week. Meanwhile, the Chiefs (9-1) aim to bounce back from their first loss of the season, a 31-27 defeat to the Buffalo Bills that snapped their 10-game winning streak.

Despite the setback, Mahomes maintained a forward-thinking approach.

“The undefeated thing was cool, but that’s not our ultimate goal,” Mahomes said. “Try to use this as a spark so that we can be a better football team in the end.”

Chiefs Refocus After Rare Loss

The Chiefs, who boast the NFL’s best record alongside the Detroit Lions, haven’t lost back-to-back games since early 2022. Head coach Andy Reid emphasized the team’s ability to quickly pivot from Buffalo to preparing for Carolina.

“I don’t really hear a lot of that talk from them or think they care too much about that, other than exhausting yourself the best you can to prepare yourself for that team there that week,” Reid said. “Then you get to a point where you say, ‘Listen, I’ve done everything I possibly can. Here’s a product.’ And you go play.”

Mahomes continues to anchor the offense despite injuries. Running back Isiah Pacheco (broken leg) might return from injured reserve, though Reid said the decision would be made closer to game day. Pacheco’s aggressive running style could provide a boost, but the Chiefs are still focused on containing Carolina’s growing confidence.

Panthers’ Young Progressing Under Center

Rookie quarterback Bryce Young has shown improvement since reclaiming the starting role, leading the Panthers to consecutive wins.

“This is about the continued progress,” Panthers head coach Dave Canales said. “Bryce looks more and more confident.”

With Young under center, the Panthers anticipate Kansas City’s defense will present a variety of schemes designed to disrupt his rhythm.

“They’re going to have variety,” Canales said. “Let’s do our best stuff as fast as we can to try to put a little bit of stress on them.”

The Panthers’ defense is also showing signs of improvement, particularly in the secondary.

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“Making plays when the ball comes to them,” Canales said. “A lot of growth there.”

Key Panthers Returning From Injury

Carolina’s offense could receive a significant boost with the expected return of wide receiver Adam Thielen, sidelined since September with a hamstring injury. Running back Jonathan Brooks is also set to make his NFL debut after recovering from a knee injury. With Miles Sanders (ankle) out, Brooks will join Chuba Hubbard in the backfield.

“I have really high hopes for him playing this Sunday,” Canales said of Brooks.

Panthers Aware of the Challenge Ahead

Despite their recent success, the Panthers are under no illusions about the challenge posed by the Chiefs.

“I feel like we just got to tighten up our details even more knowing that they’re coming in to find a way to win,” Carolina cornerback Jaycee Horn said.

With a sharpened focus and reinforcements on the way, the Panthers will look to disrupt Kansas City’s high-powered attack and continue their recent surge. The Chiefs, however, will be eager to reestablish their dominance and avoid consecutive losses for the first time in nearly two years.