Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Picks and Predictions November 24th 2024

Raiders vs Broncos November 24th 2024

The Raiders are +197 on the money line as they host the Broncos at 4:05 ET on Sunday, November 24th at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The Broncos are favored by -5.5 on the road, with the over/under line set at 41.5 points. The game is being televised on CBS, and the Broncos’ money line odds are -238. Both teams are looking to improve their records in this AFC West matchup.

Denver vs. Las Vegas Key Information

After two straight losses, the Broncos bounced back in week 11 with a 38-6 win over the Falcons, improving their record to 6-5. Denver was favored by 2 points and easily covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 8-3 this season. They have covered in two straight games and are 4-0 against the spread when favored. Their average scoring margin this season is +4.7 points per game.

Heading into week 12, the Broncos rank 23rd in our NFL power rankings and have a 50.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3-2 at home and 3-3 on the road. In division games, they are 1-2, and they are 2-4 against AFC opponents.

Heading into week 12, the Broncos rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 19th in the NFL in points per game (21.4) and 23rd in passing yards per game (196.5), despite ranking 11th in passing attempts. Denver is 20th in rushing yards per game (116) and 18th in rushing attempts. They rank 19th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage (37%) and 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 7th in red zone attempts.

Bo Nix is coming off a strong performance in week 11, throwing for 307 yards and 4 touchdowns on 28/33 passing in a win over the Falcons. Courtland Sutton had 7 catches for 78 yards, and Javonte Williams added 59 rushing yards on 9 carries. Denver scored in every quarter in week 11 after being shut out in the 2nd half in week 10 and failing to score in the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th quarters in week 9.

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In their most recent game, the Broncos’ defense was dominant, allowing just 176 passing yards and no touchdowns in a 38-6 win over the Falcons. They defended the run well, giving up only 50 yards on 21 attempts. The defense also came away with four sacks and an interception, while holding Atlanta to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down.

The Broncos put pressure on the quarterback throughout the game, winning the QB hit differential by +3. Their performance limited big plays in the passing game, as the Falcons averaged only 5.7 yards per attempt. Additionally, Denver’s defense held opposing quarterbacks to a completion percentage of just 64.5%.

Heading into week 12, the Raiders are looking to snap a six-game losing streak, which includes a 34-19 loss to the Dolphins in week 11. This puts Las Vegas at 2-8, leaving them 4th in the AFC West and 15th in the conference. Our power rankings have them 26th, and they have just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs.

Las Vegas is 4-6 against the spread and has failed to cover in two straight games. They were 8-point underdogs against Miami but couldn’t keep it close. The over has hit in three straight Raiders games, including week 11, when they and the Dolphins combined for 53 points, surpassing the 43.5-point line.

Heading into week 12, the Raiders rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in scoring, averaging 18.7 points per game, and 30th in total yards per game (285). Despite ranking 5th in passing attempts, they are 16th in passing yards per game (209.8). On the ground, Las Vegas ranks 28th in rushing attempts and last in rushing yards per game, with 75.2.

Gardner Minshew threw for 282 yards (30/43) and 2 touchdowns in week 11 against the Dolphins. Brock Bowers led the team with 13 catches for 126 yards and a touchdown. Jakobi Meyers had a 20-yard run, and the Raiders converted 8 of 14 third downs in the loss.

In their 34-19 loss to the Dolphins, the Raiders’ defense allowed Miami to convert on 66.7% of their third down attempts. The Raiders gave up 271 passing yards on 28 completions, with three passing touchdowns. The Dolphins found success through the air, completing 77.8% of their passes. Las Vegas managed two sacks and allowed Miami to hit the quarterback more often, with a -2 differential in that category.

On the ground, the Raiders’ defense fared better, giving up just 82 yards on 26 attempts (3.2 yards per attempt). Despite this, the Dolphins were still able to move the ball effectively through the air and put up 34 points on the Raiders.

• Las Vegas has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). This also includes going 2-1 ATS, and posting an over-under record of 2-1.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Raiders have gone 5-5 straight up. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 6-3-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 6-4.

Our pick against the spread in this week 12 matchup between the Broncos and Raiders is to take the Broncos to cover as road favorites. Right now, the point spread lines have the Broncos at -5.5, and we have them winning 26-19.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 41.5 points, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 45 points.

Reeling Raiders look to slow down Bo Nix, Broncos

The Las Vegas Raiders will aim to snap a six-game losing streak when they host the Denver Broncos on Sunday.

The Raiders’ season-defining skid began with a 34-18 loss to the Broncos in Denver on Oct. 6, and the team has struggled to recover since. None of the six losses have been within a touchdown margin, except for a five-point defeat to the Los Angeles Rams on Oct. 20, in which the Raiders trailed 20-6 before a trio of late field goals made the scoreline appear more competitive.

The Broncos (6-5), however, are trending in the opposite direction.

Bo Nix leads Denver’s resurgence

Expectations for rookie quarterback Bo Nix were modest coming into the season, but the signal-caller has far exceeded them with his recent performances. Nix has thrown for 2,275 yards and 14 touchdowns this season, including an impressive stretch over the past two games with 522 passing yards, six touchdowns, and zero interceptions.

“It’s hard to pick out specific things (that he’s doing well),” Broncos coach Sean Payton said. “I mean, we’re blocking well. I think we have balance. I say this all the time, your allies at that position are your defense. He’s certainly settled in third down (and) red zone. You’re learning each week and then pretty soon you’re like, ‘I belong here.’ It’s clear (Nix) belongs here.”

For his efforts, Nix earned his first career AFC Player of the Week honor.

“It’s a great honor,” Nix said. “It’s a great responsibility, but at the same time, it doesn’t end with just that. You obviously got to go back, continue, and they only remember your last game. You got to go out there and continue to do it.”

Raiders struggling on offense

Las Vegas starter Gardner Minshew hasn’t found the same level of success as Nix. Minshew has thrown for just eight touchdowns against nine interceptions, and his 1,783 passing yards rank 24th among starting quarterbacks.

The Raiders’ rushing attack hasn’t provided much relief either, with the team sitting last in the league in rushing yards per game (75.2).

Injuries have compounded the Raiders’ struggles. Cornerback Jakorian Bennett exited the first quarter of last Sunday’s 34-19 loss to the Miami Dolphins with a shoulder injury. Coach Antonio Pierce acknowledged the team’s challenges but stressed the importance of resilience.

“It’s one of the ones you’ve got to just swallow, you’ve got to take it,” Pierce said. “There’s been some non-contact injuries. There’s been guys getting rolled up. Think about the Cincinnati Bengals game, you get six guys with ankle injuries, that’s kind of unheard of. Just been having some bad breaks, but nobody feels sorry for us. Nobody feels sorry for me. You’ve got to roll out there with 11 players, and that’s what we’re going to do come Sunday.”

Injury concerns for both teams

The Raiders’ injury list is extensive. In addition to Bennett (shoulder), cornerbacks Jack Jones (back) and Nate Hobbs (ankle), running backs Alexander Mattison (ankle) and Zamir White (quadricep), tight ends Harrison Bryant (ankle) and Justin Shorter (illness), and center Andre James (ankle) all missed practice on Wednesday.

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The Broncos have injury concerns of their own, with guard Ben Powers (shoulder) sitting out Wednesday’s practice.

Denver will look to keep its momentum alive, while the Raiders desperately search for answers to end their slide.