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Colorado State Rams vs Utah State Aggies November 29th 2024
At 3:30 ET, Utah State and Colorado State will face off on Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins. The game will be televised on FS1, and the Rams are the -6-point favorites at home. The over/under line is currently sitting at 60.5 points. The Rams come in with a 7-4 record, while the Aggies are 4-7 on the season.
Utah State vs. Colorado State Key Information
- Teams: Aggies at Rams
- Where: Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium Fort Collins
- Date: Friday, November 29th
- Betting Odds COLST -226 | UTAHST +184 O/U 60.5
The Aggies Can Win If…
Utah State enters Week 14 with a 4-7 record, ranked 110th in our power rankings. They have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. On the road, they are 1-4, while their home record stands at 2-3 this season.
The Aggies have been favored in three of their 11 games, going 2-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -5.9 points per game, and they are 4-6 against the spread, with a 4-1 record at home and 0-5 on the road.
Utah State’s over/under record is 8-2, with their games averaging 68.8 points. This week’s line is set at 60.5 points, slightly below their average line of 62 points for the season.
Utah State’s offense is averaging 31.5 points per game heading into week 14, placing them 37th in the nation. They are 88th in our offensive power rankings. The Aggies rank 10th in passing attempts, averaging 39 per game, and are 9th in completions, with 25.2 per game. They are 20th in passing yards, averaging 276.4 yards per game, and 28th in completion percentage, completing 64.6% of their passes.
Spencer Petras has thrown for 2,315 yards this season, with a 65.4% completion rate. He has 17 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, with a passer rating of 89. Utah State is also averaging 191.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 31st nationally. Rahsul Faison leads the team with 1,043 rushing yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Jalen Royals has 834 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 55 catches.
Utah State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 37.4 points per game. They rank 172nd in the nation against the run, giving up 228.2 rushing yards per game. In their latest game, they allowed 188 rushing yards and 224 passing yards against San Diego State.
Opposing quarterbacks have posted a 102.1 passer rating against Utah State, completing 67.9% of their passes. Utah State’s defense is ranked 130th in the country, allowing 245.2 passing yards per game.
- Spanning across their last three games, Utah State have gone 2-1. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 3-0.
- Through their last ten regular season contests, Utah State has a record of 3-7. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 4-6 and an over-under mark of 8-2.
The Rams Can Win If…
Colorado State enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, hosting Utah State. They are 4-1 at home and 2-2 on the road this season. The Rams have been favored in six games, going 6-0 as the favorite. They are ranked 101st in our power rankings, but they have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible.
Against the spread, Colorado State is 6-3, with a 4-1 home record. They are 6-0 ATS as the favorite and 0-3 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +0.3 points per game.
This week’s over/under line is 60.5 points. The Rams’ average over/under line is 51.6 points, and their over/under record is 2-7, with their games averaging 46.6 points.
Heading into week 14, Colorado State’s offense is averaging 23.5 points per game, placing them 80th in the nation. Our power rankings have them 101st. Their rushing game has been the highlight, with 181.5 yards per game on the ground, ranking 46th nationally.
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Avery Morrow leads the rushing attack with 876 yards, nine touchdowns, and an impressive 6 yards per carry. Quarterback Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has thrown for 2,086 yards with nine touchdowns and five interceptions, holding a passer rating of 86.
Colorado State’s defense ranks 42nd nationally, allowing 23.2 points per game. They’ve given up 144.1 rushing yards per game and 243 passing yards, ranking 126th in the country.
In their recent game against Fresno State, the defense allowed 28 points, giving up 344 total yards, including 163 rushing yards and 181 passing yards.
- Through their last three games, the Colorado State Rams have a record of 3-0. This also includes going 3-0 ATS and an over-under mark of 0-3.
- Colorado State has put together a record of 8-2 in their last ten games (regular season). The team’s record vs the spread was just 5-5, in addition to an over-under mark of 3-7.
The Lean
Utah State is coming into this one as the +6 point underdogs on the road vs. Colorado State. We have them not only winning straight up but also covering the +6 point spread, with a projected final score of 32-29 in their favor.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 60.5 points, our projection of 61 points suggests that taking the over is the best play here.
